ScoreProb
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 Spain Group 17 - 10 2026

Belchite 97 vs Robres

Belchite 97 Home · Elo 1,455
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Robres Away · Elo 1,444
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Belchite 97 win
Belchite 97 winPick
48.9%
Draw
27.5%
Robres win
23.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.4%
No51.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.544.9%
Under 2.555.1%

How much we know

Belchite 97 history49 matches
Robres history33 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (48.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Belchite 97 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,455 against 1,444. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Robres score more

    0.92 goals a game over 49 matches for Belchite 97, against 1.15 over 33 for Robres.

  • Belchite 97 concede fewer

    Belchite 97 concede 1.20 a game, Robres 1.42.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    37% of Belchite 97 matches, against 36% for Robres. The model puts this match at 45% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 11 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Belchite 97
Robres
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1454.7
ELO
1444.3
49
ELO · Matches
33
1454.7
Current Team ELO
1444.3
1444.3
Current Opponent ELO
1454.7
10.35
Current ELO Difference
-10.35
0.51
Expected score
0.49
49
History Matches
33
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.09
46.42
Overperformance
44.60
-0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.17
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.80
1.40
Goals for per game
0.60
1.60
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
0.70
1.20
Goals for per game
1.10
1.40
Goals against per game
1.90
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.17
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.08
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
33
1.04
PPG
1.09
22.4%
Win rate
30.3%
36.7%
Draw rate
18.2%
40.8%
Loss rate
51.5%
69.4%
Over 1.5 rate
75.8%
36.7%
Over 2.5 rate
36.4%
12.2%
Over 3.5 rate
24.2%
1.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.56
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
17
0.96
PPG
1.24
17.4%
Win rate
35.3%
43.5%
Draw rate
17.6%
39.1%
Loss rate
47.1%
69.6%
Over 1.5 rate
76.5%
34.8%
Over 2.5 rate
41.2%
8.7%
Over 3.5 rate
23.5%
1.11
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
23
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.92
Goals for per game
1.15
61.2%
Scoring rate
63.6%
46.9%
BTTS rate
42.4%
0.91
Goals for per game
1.12
60.9%
Scoring rate
64.7%
56.5%
BTTS rate
47.1%
49
History Matches
33
0.92
Goals Mean
1.15
0.99
Goals Std
1.10
61.2%
Scored 1+ rate
63.6%
20.4%
Scored 2+ rate
36.4%
6.1%
Scored 3+ rate
12.1%
0.91
Venue Goals Mean
1.12
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.20
Goals against per game
1.42
71.4%
Conceding rate
75.8%
1.17
Goals against per game
1.47
82.6%
Conceding rate
76.5%
49
History Matches
33
1.20
Conceded Mean
1.42
1.07
Conceded Std
1.10
32.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.5%
12.2%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.2%
1.17
Venue Conceded Mean
1.47
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
38.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
17.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
39.1%
Failed-to-score rate
35.3%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
38.8%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
17.4%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
39.1%
Failed-to-score rate
35.3%
28.6%
Clean-sheet rate
24.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
33
0.97
Result entropy
0.92
1.53
Goal Difference Std
1.56
2.70
Stability score
7.75
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
49
Eligible Matches
33
11
Lead Matches
10
72.7%
Lead Win Rate
80.0%
0.79
Lead Points Retention
0.83
17
Trailing Matches
14
17.6%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
49
Halftime Coverage Matches
33
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
0.45
0.59
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
0.47
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
182.0
Rest days
182.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
26
Normal Rest History Matches
14
0.92
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.07
22
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.23
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
1
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.11
Portability PPG Std
—
0.22
Portability PPG Range
—
82.12
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
33
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO10.35
PPG-0.05
GF-0.23
GA-0.22
PPG-0.28
PPG0.00
PPG0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches16
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Failed-to-score rate2.4%
History Matches6
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate3.8%
History Matches16
Goals Mean-0.23
Goals Std-0.12
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.16
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.12
History Matches16
Conceded Mean-0.22
Conceded Std-0.03
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.13
Conceded 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.08
History Matches16
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std-0.04
Stability score-5.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.96
Eligible Matches16
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate3.4%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches16
First Half Goals For Mean-0.01
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.15
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days-0.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches12
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match0.23
Current Team ELO10.35
Current Opponent ELO-10.35
Current ELO Difference20.71
Expected score0.03
History Matches16
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance1.82
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Belchite 97

D
Caspe2–2Belchite 971 Nov · away
Pick: Caspe 41% · missed
L
Belchite 970–2La Almunia24 Oct · home
Pick: La Almunia 36% · hit
L
CD Sietamo3–0Belchite 974 Oct · away
Pick: CD Sietamo 36% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Robres

D
Robres1–1Ejea1 Nov · home
Pick: Ejea 41% · missed
D
Brea0–0Robres25 Oct · away
Pick: Robres 38% · missed
D
Robres2–2Cuarte18 Oct · home
Pick: Cuarte 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Belchite 97 and Robres meet in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Belchite 97 win 48.9%, draw 27.5%, Robres win 23.6%. The pick is Belchite 97 win. Over 2.5 goals: 44.9%. Both teams to score: 48.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.