ScoreProb
Liga II Romania Round 13 2026

Bihor Oradea vs Slatina

Bihor Oradea Home · Elo 1,548
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Slatina Away · Elo 1,589
Stadionul Iuliu Bodola, Oradea Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Slatina win
Bihor Oradea win
27.9%
Draw
21.7%
Slatina winPick
50.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.7%
No43.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.3%
Under 2.541.7%

How much we know

Bihor Oradea history57 matches
Slatina history69 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Slatina are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Slatina are rated 41 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,589 against 1,548. On rating alone Slatina would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.65 goals a game over 57 matches for Bihor Oradea, against 1.58 over 69 for Slatina.

  • Defences are close

    Bihor Oradea concede 1.39 a game, Slatina 1.26.

  • Bihor Oradea games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Bihor Oradea matches, against 57% for Slatina. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bihor Oradea
Slatina
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1548.5
ELO
1589.3
57
ELO · Matches
69
1548.5
Current Team ELO
1589.3
1589.3
Current Opponent ELO
1548.5
-40.87
Current ELO Difference
40.87
0.44
Expected score
0.56
57
History Matches
69
0.04
Residual Mean
0.07
53.23
Overperformance
55.31
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.30
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
2.60
1.00
Goals for per game
2.20
0.60
Goals against per game
0.20
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
2.30
1.20
Goals for per game
2.00
1.10
Goals against per game
0.70
30.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.98
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.34
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.14
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.37
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.42
Overall performance9 signals
90
57
Matches
69
1.56
PPG
1.58
43.9%
Win rate
44.9%
24.6%
Draw rate
23.2%
31.6%
Loss rate
31.9%
86.0%
Over 1.5 rate
81.2%
64.9%
Over 2.5 rate
56.5%
35.1%
Over 3.5 rate
31.9%
1.63
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.07
Venue performance10 signals
100
29
Matches
33
1.72
PPG
1.52
48.3%
Win rate
45.5%
27.6%
Draw rate
15.2%
24.1%
Loss rate
39.4%
89.7%
Over 1.5 rate
90.9%
65.5%
Over 2.5 rate
75.8%
48.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.60
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
29
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.65
Goals for per game
1.58
82.5%
Scoring rate
73.9%
68.4%
BTTS rate
55.1%
1.86
Goals for per game
1.76
89.7%
Scoring rate
84.8%
75.9%
BTTS rate
69.7%
0.50
Goals for per game
2.50
50.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
57
History Matches
69
1.65
Goals Mean
1.58
1.19
Goals Std
1.29
82.5%
Scored 1+ rate
73.9%
49.1%
Scored 2+ rate
53.6%
26.3%
Scored 3+ rate
18.8%
1.86
Venue Goals Mean
1.76
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.39
Goals against per game
1.26
80.7%
Conceding rate
71.0%
1.52
Goals against per game
1.55
82.8%
Conceding rate
81.8%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
57
History Matches
69
1.39
Conceded Mean
1.26
1.00
Conceded Std
1.36
42.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
29.0%
12.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
14.5%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
1.55
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.0%
17.5%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
17.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.0%
17.5%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
17.2%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
10.3%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
19.3%
Clean-sheet rate
29.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
57
History Matches
69
0.97
Result entropy
0.97
1.63
Goal Difference Std
2.07
2.57
Stability score
3.26
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
57
Eligible Matches
68
18
Lead Matches
22
72.2%
Lead Win Rate
81.8%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.86
14
Trailing Matches
20
42.9%
Non-loss rate
30.0%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
15.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
57
Halftime Coverage Matches
68
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.63
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.66
0.93
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.88
0.75
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.10
Rest days
77.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
7
Short Rest History Matches
13
1.71
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.15
25
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.52
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.63
24
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.63
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.71
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
3.00
0.0%
Win rate
100.0%
75.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
25.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
0.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.22
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-0.50
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
6
Competition Season Count
8
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
7
0.38
Portability PPG Std
0.57
0.95
Portability PPG Range
1.92
57.03
Portability Score
46.77
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
57
Clean History Matches
69
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-40.87
PPG-0.02
GF0.07
GA0.13
PPG-2.25
PPG0.21
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.09
History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches-12
Goals Mean0.07
Goals Std-0.10
Scored 1+ rate8.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate7.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.36
History Matches-12
Conceded Mean0.13
Conceded Std-0.35
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Conceded 2+ rate13.1%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.03
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches-12
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.44
Stability score-0.68
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches-11
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.10
Lead Points Retention-0.09
Trailing Matches-6
Non-loss rate12.9%
Trailing Win Rate-0.08
Halftime Coverage Matches-11
First Half Goals For Mean0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.14
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.50
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std-0.19
Portability PPG Range-0.97
Portability Score10.27
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-6
Short Rest Points Per Match0.56
Normal Rest History Matches-13
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.11
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Current Team ELO-40.87
Current Opponent ELO40.87
Current ELO Difference-81.75
Expected score-0.12
History Matches-12
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-2.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.29

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Bihor Oradea

D
Cetatea Suceava2–2Bihor Oradea31 Oct · away
Pick: Cetatea Suceava 51% · missed
W
Csikszereda1–2Bihor Oradea27 Oct · away
Pick: Csikszereda 46% · missed
W
Bihor Oradea2–0CSM Reşiţa22 Oct · home
Pick: Bihor Oradea 38% · hit
W
Dumbrăviţa0–2Bihor Oradea17 Oct · away
Pick: Dumbrăviţa 41% · missed
D
Corona Braşov2–2Bihor Oradea1 Sep · away
Pick: Bihor Oradea 45% · missed

Slatina

L
Slatina1–2Concordia1 Nov · home
Pick: Slatina 57% · missed
L
Cetatea Suceava2–0Slatina24 Oct · away
Pick: Slatina 50% · missed
W
Slatina1–0Unirea Slobozia17 Oct · home
Pick: Slatina 73% · hit
D
FC Bacau0–0Slatina31 Aug · away
Pick: Slatina 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Bihor Oradea and Slatina meet in Liga II on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:30 UTC. The match is played at Stadionul Iuliu Bodola, Oradea. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Bihor Oradea win 27.9%, draw 21.7%, Slatina win 50.4%. The pick is Slatina win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.3%. Both teams to score: 56.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.