ScoreProb
Football League - Lowland League Scotland Regular Season 2026

Bo'ness United vs Dunipace

Bo'ness United Home · Elo 1,474
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Dunipace Away · Elo 1,458
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Bo'ness United win
Bo'ness United winPick
66.5%
Draw
11.9%
Dunipace win
21.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.6%
No44.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%

How much we know

Bo'ness United history48 matches
Dunipace history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (66.5%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Bo'ness United are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,474 against 1,458. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Bo'ness United score far more

    1.54 goals a game over 48 matches for Bo'ness United, against 0.80 over 5 for Dunipace.

  • Bo'ness United concede fewer

    Bo'ness United concede 1.75 a game, Dunipace 2.40.

  • Dunipace games more often go over 2.5 goals

    65% of Bo'ness United matches, against 80% for Dunipace. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Bo'ness United
Dunipace
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1473.5
ELO
1457.6
48
ELO · Matches
5
1473.5
Current Team ELO
1457.6
1457.6
Current Opponent ELO
1473.5
15.97
Current ELO Difference
-15.97
0.52
Expected score
0.48
48
History Matches
5
-0.02
Residual Mean
-0.37
48.39
Overperformance
42.63
0.08
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.37
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.80
1.40
Goals against per game
2.40
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
5
1.30
PPG
0.20
1.50
Goals for per game
0.80
1.80
Goals against per game
2.40
30.0%
Win rate
0.0%
1.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.02
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.40
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.79
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
5
1.21
PPG
0.20
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
20.8%
Draw rate
20.0%
45.8%
Loss rate
80.0%
85.4%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
64.6%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
47.9%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.95
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
1
1.52
PPG
0.00
44.0%
Win rate
0.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
36.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
92.0%
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
68.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
52.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
25
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.54
Goals for per game
0.80
79.2%
Scoring rate
60.0%
64.6%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.80
Goals for per game
0.00
84.0%
Scoring rate
0.0%
56.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
1.40
Goals for per game
1.00
60.0%
Scoring rate
75.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
48
History Matches
5
1.54
Goals Mean
0.80
1.26
Goals Std
0.75
79.2%
Scored 1+ rate
60.0%
45.8%
Scored 2+ rate
20.0%
16.7%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.80
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.75
Goals against per game
2.40
81.3%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.80
Goals against per game
1.00
68.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
60.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
48
History Matches
5
1.75
Conceded Mean
2.40
1.33
Conceded Std
1.02
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
80.0%
31.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
40.0%
1.80
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.8%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
5
0.96
Result entropy
0.46
1.95
Goal Difference Std
1.36
4.37
Stability score
54.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
5
15
Lead Matches
2
73.3%
Lead Win Rate
0.0%
0.82
Lead Points Retention
0.17
22
Trailing Matches
2
18.2%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
4.5%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.66
First Half Goals For Mean
0.60
0.98
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
0.91
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.20
0.74
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
1
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
1
1.11
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
17
Long Rest History Matches
2
1.12
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.50
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
4
1.60
PPG
0.25
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.71
5
Current Competition Matches
4
1.60
Current Competition PPG
0.25
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
4
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.37
Portability PPG Std
—
0.87
Portability PPG Range
—
57.64
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO15.97
PPG1.01
GF0.74
GA-0.65
PPG1.35
PPG1.52
PPG1.40
PPG1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches43
Clean-sheet rate18.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches24
Clean-sheet rate32.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.84
History Matches43
Goals Mean0.74
Goals Std0.51
Scored 1+ rate19.2%
Scored 2+ rate25.8%
Scored 3+ rate16.7%
Venue Goals Mean1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std0.28
History Matches43
Conceded Mean-0.65
Conceded Std0.31
Clean-sheet rate18.8%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.30
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.38
History Matches43
Result entropy0.50
Goal Difference Std0.59
Stability score-50.08
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.44
Eligible Matches42
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate73.3%
Lead Points Retention0.66
Trailing Matches20
Non-loss rate18.2%
Trailing Win Rate4.5%
Halftime Coverage Matches42
First Half Goals For Mean0.06
First Half Goals Against Mean0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.06
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG1.35
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match2.00
Normal Rest History Matches26
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.11
Long Rest History Matches15
Long Rest Points Per Match0.62
Current Team ELO15.97
Current Opponent ELO-15.97
Current ELO Difference31.93
Expected score0.05
History Matches43
Residual Mean0.35
Overperformance5.76
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.44

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Bo'ness United

L
Tranent Juniors5–1Bo'ness United31 Oct · away
Pick: Tranent Juniors 65% · hit
W
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic0–1Bo'ness United27 Oct · away
Pick: Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 70% · missed
W
Bo'ness United2–1Forfar Athletic24 Oct · home
Pick: Forfar Athletic 50% · missed
W
Bo'ness United3–1Brechin17 Oct · home
Pick: Brechin 46% · missed
W
Stirling University2–5Bo'ness United29 Aug · away
Pick: Bo'ness United 47% · hit

Dunipace

L
Dunipace1–5Largs Thistle24 Oct · home
Pick: Largs Thistle 55% · hit
L
Dunipace1–5Gala Fairydean Rovers17 Oct · home
Pick: Dunipace 40% · missed
L
Dunipace0–3East Stirlingshire29 Aug · home
Pick: Dunipace 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Bo'ness United and Dunipace meet in Football League - Lowland League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Bo'ness United win 66.5%, draw 11.9%, Dunipace win 21.6%. The pick is Bo'ness United win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.5%. Both teams to score: 55.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.