ScoreProb
Football League - Lowland League Scotland Regular Season 2026

Civil Service Strollers vs Gala Fairydean Rovers

Civil Service Strollers Home · Elo 1,449
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Gala Fairydean Rovers Away · Elo 1,450
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Civil Service Strollers win
Civil Service Strollers winPick
49.4%
Draw
20.6%
Gala Fairydean Rovers win
30.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.0%
No37.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.569.5%
Under 2.530.5%

How much we know

Civil Service Strollers history50 matches
Gala Fairydean Rovers history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.4%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Civil Service Strollers are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,449 against 1,450. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Gala Fairydean Rovers score more

    1.20 goals a game over 50 matches for Civil Service Strollers, against 1.53 over 53 for Gala Fairydean Rovers.

  • Defences are close

    Civil Service Strollers concede 2.10 a game, Gala Fairydean Rovers 1.98.

  • Gala Fairydean Rovers games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Civil Service Strollers matches, against 74% for Gala Fairydean Rovers. The model puts this match at 70% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Civil Service Strollers
Gala Fairydean Rovers
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1449.3
ELO
1450.1
50
ELO · Matches
53
1449.3
Current Team ELO
1450.1
1450.1
Current Opponent ELO
1449.3
-0.81
Current ELO Difference
0.81
0.50
Expected score
0.50
50
History Matches
53
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.04
46.72
Overperformance
47.07
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.00
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.40
Goals against per game
3.80
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.00
1.10
Goals for per game
1.20
2.10
Goals against per game
2.10
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.47
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.10
1.64
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.81
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.57
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.62
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
53
1.18
PPG
1.25
32.0%
Win rate
37.7%
22.0%
Draw rate
11.3%
46.0%
Loss rate
50.9%
86.0%
Over 1.5 rate
90.6%
62.0%
Over 2.5 rate
73.6%
46.0%
Over 3.5 rate
43.4%
2.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.22
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
25
1.35
PPG
1.24
38.5%
Win rate
36.0%
19.2%
Draw rate
16.0%
42.3%
Loss rate
48.0%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
84.0%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
68.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.40
26
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.20
Goals for per game
1.53
68.0%
Scoring rate
77.4%
52.0%
BTTS rate
56.6%
1.35
Goals for per game
1.40
73.1%
Scoring rate
76.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
52.0%
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
60.0%
Scoring rate
40.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
50
History Matches
53
1.20
Goals Mean
1.53
1.08
Goals Std
1.13
68.0%
Scored 1+ rate
77.4%
36.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.9%
14.0%
Scored 3+ rate
20.8%
1.35
Venue Goals Mean
1.40
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.10
Goals against per game
1.98
80.0%
Conceding rate
75.5%
1.92
Goals against per game
1.84
69.2%
Conceding rate
68.0%
1.40
Goals against per game
2.60
80.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
50
History Matches
53
2.10
Conceded Mean
1.98
1.66
Conceded Std
1.68
60.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
56.6%
32.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.8%
1.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.84
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.5%
32.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.6%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
32.0%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
60.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.5%
32.0%
Failed-to-score rate
22.6%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
32.0%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
24.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
53
0.96
Result entropy
0.87
2.24
Goal Difference Std
2.22
3.98
Stability score
12.80
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
51
14
Lead Matches
19
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
78.9%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.82
23
Trailing Matches
16
17.4%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
51
0.58
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.90
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.71
1.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.14
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
73.84
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.39
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.16
19
Long Rest History Matches
14
0.89
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.43
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.20
40.0%
Win rate
0.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
80.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.40
Current Competition PPG
0.20
0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.80
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.25
Portability PPG Std
0.88
0.60
Portability PPG Range
2.47
66.79
Portability Score
36.18
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-0.81
PPG-0.07
GF-0.33
GA0.12
PPG1.20
PPG0.11
PPG1.40
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate9.4%
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate2.9%
History Matches-3
Goals Mean-0.33
Goals Std-0.05
Scored 1+ rate-0.09
Scored 2+ rate-0.15
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.17
History Matches-3
Conceded Mean0.12
Conceded Std-0.01
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate3.4%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Conceded Mean0.08
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.17
History Matches-3
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std0.02
Stability score-8.83
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.06
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate-0.08
Lead Points Retention-0.02
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate17.4%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.63
Portability PPG Range-1.86
Portability Score30.62
Rest days3.20
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.23
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.53
Current Team ELO-0.81
Current Opponent ELO0.81
Current ELO Difference-1.62
Expected score0.00
History Matches-3
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.36
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Civil Service Strollers

D
Broxburn Athletic1–1Civil Service Strollers31 Oct · away
Pick: Broxburn Athletic 54% · missed
D
Civil Service Strollers3–3East Stirlingshire17 Oct · home
Pick: Civil Service Strollers 53% · missed
L
Tranent Juniors4–0Civil Service Strollers29 Aug · away
Pick: Tranent Juniors 69% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Gala Fairydean Rovers

L
Gala Fairydean Rovers2–3Brechin31 Oct · home
Pick: Brechin 62% · hit
L
Gala Fairydean Rovers0–4Broxburn Athletic28 Oct · home
Pick: Broxburn Athletic 46% · hit
D
Gala Fairydean Rovers1–1Berwick Rangers24 Oct · home
Pick: Gala Fairydean Rovers 44% · missed
W
Dunipace1–5Gala Fairydean Rovers17 Oct · away
Pick: Dunipace 40% · missed
L
Gala Fairydean Rovers0–2Hamilton Academical13 Oct · home
Pick: Hamilton Academical 55% · hit

About this match

Civil Service Strollers and Gala Fairydean Rovers meet in Football League - Lowland League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Civil Service Strollers win 49.4%, draw 20.6%, Gala Fairydean Rovers win 30.0%. The pick is Civil Service Strollers win. Over 2.5 goals: 69.5%. Both teams to score: 63.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.