ScoreProb
4. liga - Divizie F Czechia Group F - 15 2026

Břidličná vs Frýdlant

Břidličná Home · Elo 1,428
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Frýdlant Away · Elo 1,445
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Břidličná win
Břidličná winPick
44.9%
Draw
22.3%
Frýdlant win
32.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes61.0%
No39.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.4%
Under 2.533.6%

How much we know

Břidličná history50 matches
Frýdlant history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 09:15 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Břidličná are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,428 against 1,445. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.34 goals a game over 50 matches for Břidličná, against 1.36 over 50 for Frýdlant.

  • Defences are close

    Břidličná concede 1.90 a game, Frýdlant 1.94.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    54% of Břidličná matches, against 62% for Frýdlant. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Břidličná
Frýdlant
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1428.1
ELO
1445.1
50
ELO · Matches
50
1428.1
Current Team ELO
1445.1
1445.1
Current Opponent ELO
1428.1
-17.08
Current ELO Difference
17.08
0.48
Expected score
0.52
50
History Matches
50
-0.07
Residual Mean
-0.06
45.16
Overperformance
45.59
-0.17
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
0.80
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
2.40
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.60
PPG
0.80
0.90
Goals for per game
1.30
2.30
Goals against per game
2.50
10.0%
Win rate
10.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.27
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.91
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.62
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.94
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
50
1.10
PPG
1.12
28.0%
Win rate
28.0%
26.0%
Draw rate
28.0%
46.0%
Loss rate
44.0%
82.0%
Over 1.5 rate
86.0%
54.0%
Over 2.5 rate
62.0%
44.0%
Over 3.5 rate
44.0%
1.96
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
27
1.23
PPG
0.93
30.8%
Win rate
22.2%
30.8%
Draw rate
25.9%
38.5%
Loss rate
51.9%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
92.6%
53.8%
Over 2.5 rate
74.1%
42.3%
Over 3.5 rate
55.6%
1.69
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.24
26
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.34
Goals for per game
1.36
74.0%
Scoring rate
74.0%
62.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.48
73.1%
Scoring rate
77.8%
65.4%
BTTS rate
70.4%
0.67
Goals for per game
0.67
33.3%
Scoring rate
33.3%
33.3%
BTTS rate
33.3%
50
History Matches
50
1.34
Goals Mean
1.36
1.23
Goals Std
1.13
74.0%
Scored 1+ rate
74.0%
36.0%
Scored 2+ rate
40.0%
14.0%
Scored 3+ rate
18.0%
1.50
Venue Goals Mean
1.48
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.90
Goals against per game
1.94
82.0%
Conceding rate
82.0%
1.58
Goals against per game
2.44
84.6%
Conceding rate
88.9%
3.33
Goals against per game
3.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
50
1.90
Conceded Mean
1.94
1.55
Conceded Std
1.68
54.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
26.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
28.0%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
2.44
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.0%
26.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.0%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.0%
26.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.0%
15.4%
Clean-sheet rate
11.1%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
18.0%
Clean-sheet rate
18.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
50
0.97
Result entropy
0.98
1.96
Goal Difference Std
2.12
3.16
Stability score
2.23
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
50
14
Lead Matches
12
78.6%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.86
Lead Points Retention
0.83
19
Trailing Matches
18
15.8%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
50
0.62
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.84
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.78
1.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.12
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.72
Rest days
76.78
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
30
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.10
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.04
19
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.17
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
0.00
PPG
0.00
0.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
3
Current Competition Matches
3
0.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
-2.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-3.00
5
Competition Season Count
6
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.60
Portability PPG Std
0.53
1.43
Portability PPG Range
1.21
45.36
Portability Score
48.69
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-17.08
PPG-0.02
GF-0.02
GA-0.04
PPG0.00
PPG0.30
PPG0.00
PPG-0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate4.3%
Failed-to-score rate4.7%
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.02
Goals Std0.10
Scored 1+ rate0.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.04
Venue Goals Mean0.02
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std0.05
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.04
Conceded Std-0.13
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate4.0%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.87
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.64
History Matches0
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.16
Stability score0.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.31
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate3.6%
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.04
First Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.06
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.08
Portability PPG Range0.22
Portability Score-3.33
Rest days0.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.06
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Current Team ELO-17.08
Current Opponent ELO17.08
Current ELO Difference-34.16
Expected score-0.05
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.01
Overperformance-0.44
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.04

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Břidličná

L
Stonava2–1Břidličná31 Oct · away
Pick: Stonava 52% · hit
L
Břidličná0–1Valašské Meziříčí24 Oct · home
Pick: Valašské Meziříčí 48% · hit
L
Frydek-Mistek B4–2Břidličná18 Oct · away
Pick: Frydek-Mistek B 41% · hit
W
Břidličná3–1Bílovec29 Aug · home
Pick: Bílovec 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Frýdlant

L
Frýdlant0–5Bospor Bohumín31 Oct · home
Pick: Bospor Bohumín 68% · hit
L
Zabreh2–1Frýdlant25 Oct · away
Pick: Zabreh 56% · hit
L
Frýdlant1–4Opava II17 Oct · home
Pick: Opava II 48% · hit
L
Frýdlant1–5Šumperk29 Aug · home
Pick: Šumperk 47% · hit
L
Frýdlant0–10Zbrojovka Brno26 Aug · home
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno 59% · hit

About this match

Břidličná and Frýdlant meet in 4. liga - Divizie F on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 09:15 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Břidličná win 44.9%, draw 22.3%, Frýdlant win 32.8%. The pick is Břidličná win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.4%. Both teams to score: 61.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.