ScoreProb
Elite One Cameroon Round 4 2027

Canon vs Aigle Royal

Canon Home · Elo 1,528
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Aigle Royal Away · Elo 1,519
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Canon win
Canon winPick
38.0%
Draw
32.7%
Aigle Royal win
29.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.7%
No51.3%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.546.7%
Under 2.553.3%

How much we know

Canon history48 matches
Aigle Royal history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.0%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Canon are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,528 against 1,519. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Aigle Royal score more

    1.15 goals a game over 48 matches for Canon, against 1.50 over 44 for Aigle Royal.

  • Canon concede fewer

    Canon concede 0.92 a game, Aigle Royal 1.14.

  • Aigle Royal games more often go over 2.5 goals

    29% of Canon matches, against 55% for Aigle Royal. The model puts this match at 47% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 28 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Canon
Aigle Royal@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1528.1
ELO
1519.0
48
ELO · Matches
44
1528.1
Current Team ELO
1519.0
1519.0
Current Opponent ELO
1528.1
9.06
Current ELO Difference
-9.06
0.51
Expected score
0.49
48
History Matches
44
0.03
Residual Mean
0.02
52.42
Overperformance
51.70
0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.00
2.00
Goals for per game
0.60
1.00
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
1.20
1.10
Goals for per game
1.10
0.70
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.22
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.19
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
44
1.38
PPG
1.57
37.5%
Win rate
45.5%
25.0%
Draw rate
20.5%
37.5%
Loss rate
34.1%
60.4%
Over 1.5 rate
70.5%
29.2%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
18.8%
Over 3.5 rate
27.3%
1.57
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.60
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
21
1.20
PPG
0.90
32.0%
Win rate
23.8%
24.0%
Draw rate
19.0%
44.0%
Loss rate
57.1%
56.0%
Over 1.5 rate
81.0%
32.0%
Over 2.5 rate
61.9%
24.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.51
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.55
25
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.15
Goals for per game
1.50
66.7%
Scoring rate
79.5%
33.3%
BTTS rate
52.3%
1.16
Goals for per game
1.24
68.0%
Scoring rate
81.0%
44.0%
BTTS rate
61.9%
48
History Matches
44
1.15
Goals Mean
1.50
1.14
Goals Std
1.22
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
79.5%
29.2%
Scored 2+ rate
40.9%
12.5%
Scored 3+ rate
18.2%
1.16
Venue Goals Mean
1.24
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.92
Goals against per game
1.14
56.3%
Conceding rate
65.9%
1.04
Goals against per game
1.52
68.0%
Conceding rate
76.2%
48
History Matches
44
0.92
Conceded Mean
1.14
1.00
Conceded Std
1.01
27.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.6%
6.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
6.8%
1.04
Venue Conceded Mean
1.52
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
34.1%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
32.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.0%
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
34.1%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
32.0%
Failed-to-score rate
19.0%
43.8%
Clean-sheet rate
34.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
44
0.99
Result entropy
0.96
1.57
Goal Difference Std
1.60
1.49
Stability score
4.44
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
43
13
Lead Matches
18
76.9%
Lead Win Rate
72.2%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.78
12
Trailing Matches
11
0.0%
Non-loss rate
27.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
9.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.42
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.44
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.77
0.54
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
133.1
Rest days
133.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
7
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.57
21
Normal Rest History Matches
18
1.05
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
20
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.60
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.39
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.14
Portability PPG Std
0.66
0.27
Portability PPG Range
1.32
78.57
Portability Score
43.06
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO9.06
PPG-0.19
GF-0.35
GA-0.22
PPG0.30
PPG0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate9.7%
Failed-to-score rate12.9%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate8.2%
Failed-to-score rate13.0%
History Matches4
Goals Mean-0.35
Goals Std-0.08
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.12
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean-0.08
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.08
History Matches4
Conceded Mean-0.22
Conceded Std-0.02
Clean-sheet rate9.7%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.12
Conceded 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Conceded Mean-0.48
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.41
History Matches4
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.03
Stability score-2.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.10
Eligible Matches5
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate4.7%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches1
Non-loss rate-0.27
Trailing Win Rate-0.09
Halftime Coverage Matches5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.13
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.52
Portability PPG Range-1.05
Portability Score35.51
Rest days0.07
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.07
Normal Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.62
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.21
Current Team ELO9.06
Current Opponent ELO-9.06
Current ELO Difference18.12
Expected score0.03
History Matches4
Residual Mean0.01
Overperformance0.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Canon

No earlier results with our pick yet

Aigle Royal

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

Canon and Aigle Royal meet in Elite One on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Canon win 38.0%, draw 32.7%, Aigle Royal win 29.3%. The pick is Canon win. Over 2.5 goals: 46.7%. Both teams to score: 48.7%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.