ScoreProb
Elite One Cameroon Round 4 2027

PWD Bamenda vs APEJES Academy

PWD Bamenda Home · Elo 1,492
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
APEJES Academy Away · Elo 1,548
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: PWD Bamenda win
PWD Bamenda winPick
43.3%
Draw
25.4%
APEJES Academy win
31.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.6%
No48.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.8%
Under 2.548.2%

How much we know

PWD Bamenda history45 matches
APEJES Academy history28 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.3%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why PWD Bamenda are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • APEJES Academy are rated 57 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,548 against 1,492. On rating alone APEJES Academy would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • APEJES Academy score more

    1.40 goals a game over 45 matches for PWD Bamenda, against 1.89 over 28 for APEJES Academy.

  • APEJES Academy concede fewer

    PWD Bamenda concede 1.33 a game, APEJES Academy 1.04.

  • PWD Bamenda games more often go over 2.5 goals

    53% of PWD Bamenda matches, against 43% for APEJES Academy. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 1 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
PWD Bamenda
APEJES Academy@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1491.7
ELO
1548.4
45
ELO · Matches
28
1491.7
Current Team ELO
1548.4
1548.4
Current Opponent ELO
1491.7
-56.74
Current ELO Difference
56.74
0.42
Expected score
0.58
45
History Matches
28
-0.01
Residual Mean
0.07
49.48
Overperformance
54.20
-0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.25
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
1.60
1.00
Goals for per game
1.80
2.00
Goals against per game
0.80
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
2.30
1.80
Goals for per game
2.70
1.80
Goals against per game
0.70
30.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
1.54
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.00
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.37
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.19
Overall performance9 signals
90
45
Matches
28
1.31
PPG
1.71
33.3%
Win rate
50.0%
31.1%
Draw rate
21.4%
35.6%
Loss rate
28.6%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
53.3%
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
28.9%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.84
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.23
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
16
1.87
PPG
1.63
52.2%
Win rate
50.0%
30.4%
Draw rate
12.5%
17.4%
Loss rate
37.5%
73.9%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
60.9%
Over 2.5 rate
43.8%
30.4%
Over 3.5 rate
18.8%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.43
23
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.40
Goals for per game
1.89
71.1%
Scoring rate
71.4%
55.6%
BTTS rate
42.9%
1.87
Goals for per game
1.75
78.3%
Scoring rate
68.8%
52.2%
BTTS rate
31.3%
45
History Matches
28
1.40
Goals Mean
1.89
1.31
Goals Std
1.95
71.1%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
40.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
15.6%
Scored 3+ rate
25.0%
1.87
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.33
Goals against per game
1.04
73.3%
Conceding rate
64.3%
0.91
Goals against per game
0.94
60.9%
Conceding rate
56.3%
45
History Matches
28
1.33
Conceded Mean
1.04
1.19
Conceded Std
1.05
35.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.0%
17.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.7%
0.91
Venue Conceded Mean
0.94
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
28.9%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
39.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
28.9%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
39.1%
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
21.7%
Failed-to-score rate
31.3%
26.7%
Clean-sheet rate
35.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
45
History Matches
28
1.00
Result entropy
0.94
1.84
Goal Difference Std
2.23
0.13
Stability score
5.83
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
24
13
Lead Matches
11
84.6%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
1.00
14
Trailing Matches
6
21.4%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
24
0.73
First Half Goals For Mean
0.83
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.46
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.25
0.62
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
133.1
Rest days
130.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
8
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.13
24
Normal Rest History Matches
6
1.46
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.67
18
Long Rest History Matches
13
1.17
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.23
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.00
Portability PPG Std
0.10
0.01
Portability PPG Range
0.20
99.20
Portability Score
83.02
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
45
Clean History Matches
28
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-56.74
PPG-0.40
GF-0.49
GA0.30
PPG0.24
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches17
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Failed-to-score rate0.3%
History Matches7
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches17
Goals Mean-0.49
Goals Std-0.65
Scored 1+ rate0.00
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Goals Mean0.12
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.47
History Matches17
Conceded Mean0.30
Conceded Std0.14
Clean-sheet rate-0.09
Conceded 2+ rate10.6%
Conceded 3+ rate7.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.02
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.55
History Matches17
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.39
Stability score-5.69
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.18
Eligible Matches21
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.15
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate21.4%
Trailing Win Rate7.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches21
First Half Goals For Mean-0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.25
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.58
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.10
Portability PPG Range-0.20
Portability Score16.18
Rest days3.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-6
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.13
Normal Rest History Matches18
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.21
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.06
Current Team ELO-56.74
Current Opponent ELO56.74
Current ELO Difference-113.5
Expected score-0.16
History Matches17
Residual Mean-0.08
Overperformance-4.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

PWD Bamenda

No earlier results with our pick yet

APEJES Academy

No earlier results with our pick yet

About this match

PWD Bamenda and APEJES Academy meet in Elite One on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: PWD Bamenda win 43.3%, draw 25.4%, APEJES Academy win 31.3%. The pick is PWD Bamenda win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.8%. Both teams to score: 51.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.