ScoreProb
Championnat National Benin Round 7 2026

Cavaliers vs ASPAC

Cavaliers Home · Elo 1,514
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
ASPAC Away · Elo 1,591
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: ASPAC win
Cavaliers win
30.6%
Draw
34.4%
ASPAC winPick
35.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.5%
No54.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.535.6%
Under 2.564.4%

How much we know

Cavaliers history42 matches
ASPAC history38 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (35.1%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why ASPAC are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • ASPAC are rated 77 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,591 against 1,514. On rating alone ASPAC would be expected to take 61% of the points on offer.

  • ASPAC score more

    1.07 goals a game over 42 matches for Cavaliers, against 1.45 over 38 for ASPAC.

  • ASPAC concede fewer

    Cavaliers concede 1.00 a game, ASPAC 0.76.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    31% of Cavaliers matches, against 32% for ASPAC. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 20 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Cavaliers
ASPAC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1514.1
ELO
1590.7
42
ELO · Matches
38
1514.1
Current Team ELO
1590.7
1590.7
Current Opponent ELO
1514.1
-76.62
Current ELO Difference
76.62
0.39
Expected score
0.61
42
History Matches
38
0.02
Residual Mean
0.11
51.49
Overperformance
57.41
0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.23
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
2.00
1.80
Goals for per game
1.80
1.40
Goals against per game
0.80
60.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
2.30
1.60
Goals for per game
1.60
1.40
Goals against per game
0.40
50.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.36
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.36
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.40
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.40
Overall performance9 signals
90
42
Matches
38
1.33
PPG
1.79
33.3%
Win rate
50.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
28.9%
33.3%
Loss rate
21.1%
57.1%
Over 1.5 rate
63.2%
31.0%
Over 2.5 rate
31.6%
16.7%
Over 3.5 rate
21.1%
1.30
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.49
Venue performance10 signals
100
22
Matches
20
1.45
PPG
1.65
36.4%
Win rate
45.0%
36.4%
Draw rate
30.0%
27.3%
Loss rate
25.0%
63.6%
Over 1.5 rate
45.0%
27.3%
Over 2.5 rate
20.0%
9.1%
Over 3.5 rate
5.0%
1.35
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.14
22
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.07
Goals for per game
1.45
57.1%
Scoring rate
78.9%
42.9%
BTTS rate
44.7%
1.14
Goals for per game
0.95
63.6%
Scoring rate
70.0%
40.9%
BTTS rate
30.0%
42
History Matches
38
1.07
Goals Mean
1.45
1.26
Goals Std
1.27
57.1%
Scored 1+ rate
78.9%
28.6%
Scored 2+ rate
34.2%
11.9%
Scored 3+ rate
18.4%
1.14
Venue Goals Mean
0.95
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
0.76
69.0%
Conceding rate
57.9%
0.86
Goals against per game
0.65
63.6%
Conceding rate
45.0%
42
History Matches
38
1.00
Conceded Mean
0.76
0.87
Conceded Std
0.78
23.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
15.8%
7.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
2.6%
0.86
Venue Conceded Mean
0.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.1%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
55.0%
36.4%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.1%
42.9%
Failed-to-score rate
21.1%
36.4%
Clean-sheet rate
55.0%
36.4%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
31.0%
Clean-sheet rate
42.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
42
History Matches
38
1.00
Result entropy
0.94
1.30
Goal Difference Std
1.49
0.00
Stability score
5.93
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
21
Eligible Matches
21
2
Lead Matches
10
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
90.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.93
9
Trailing Matches
2
44.4%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
21
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
0.29
First Half Goals For Mean
0.86
0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.29
0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.52
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.29
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
140.0
Rest days
140.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
1
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
19
1.33
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.47
14
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.43
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.18
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.34
0.37
Portability PPG Range
0.68
72.98
Portability Score
59.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
42
Clean History Matches
38
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-76.62
PPG-0.46
GF-0.38
GA0.24
PPG-0.20
PPG0.00
PPG-0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Failed-to-score rate21.8%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.19
Failed-to-score rate6.4%
History Matches4
Goals Mean-0.38
Goals Std-0.01
Scored 1+ rate-0.22
Scored 2+ rate-0.06
Scored 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Goals Mean0.19
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.00
History Matches4
Conceded Mean0.24
Conceded Std0.10
Clean-sheet rate-0.11
Conceded 2+ rate8.0%
Conceded 3+ rate4.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches4
Result entropy0.06
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score-5.93
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.15
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-8
Lead Win Rate10.0%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches7
Non-loss rate44.4%
Trailing Win Rate11.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.16
Portability PPG Range-0.31
Portability Score13.62
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest History Matches8
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.14
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Current Team ELO-76.62
Current Opponent ELO76.62
Current ELO Difference-153.2
Expected score-0.22
History Matches4
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-5.92
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.02

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Cavaliers

D
Espoir Savalou1–1Cavaliers1 Nov · away
Pick: Espoir Savalou 37% · missed
L
Cavaliers0–2AS Sobemap24 Oct · home
Pick: Cavaliers 41% · missed
W
Coton Sport Ouidah1–3Cavaliers17 Oct · away
Pick: Coton Sport Ouidah 42% · missed
W
Cavaliers4–0Dynamo Abomey4 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 37% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

ASPAC

W
ASPAC2–1Loto Popo31 Oct · home
Pick: ASPAC 39% · hit
D
Dragons0–0ASPAC24 Oct · away
Pick: ASPAC 42% · missed
W
ASPAC1–0Hodio17 Oct · home
Pick: ASPAC 43% · hit
W
ASPAC2–0Djeffa4 Oct · home
Pick: ASPAC 64% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Cavaliers and ASPAC meet in Championnat National on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Cavaliers win 30.6%, draw 34.4%, ASPAC win 35.1%. The pick is ASPAC win. Over 2.5 goals: 35.6%. Both teams to score: 45.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.