ScoreProb
Botola 2 Morocco Round 7 2026

Chabab Atl. Khenifra vs Riadi Salmi

Chabab Atl. Khenifra Home · Elo 1,513
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Riadi Salmi Away · Elo 1,472
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Chabab Atl. Khenifra win
Chabab Atl. Khenifra winPick
40.2%
Draw
30.7%
Riadi Salmi win
29.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes45.3%
No54.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.540.1%
Under 2.559.9%

How much we know

Chabab Atl. Khenifra history46 matches
Riadi Salmi history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Chabab Atl. Khenifra are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Chabab Atl. Khenifra are rated 41 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,513 against 1,472. On rating alone Chabab Atl. Khenifra would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Riadi Salmi score more

    0.87 goals a game over 46 matches for Chabab Atl. Khenifra, against 1.05 over 44 for Riadi Salmi.

  • Chabab Atl. Khenifra concede fewer

    Chabab Atl. Khenifra concede 0.80 a game, Riadi Salmi 1.43.

  • Riadi Salmi games more often go over 2.5 goals

    26% of Chabab Atl. Khenifra matches, against 45% for Riadi Salmi. The model puts this match at 40% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 5 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Chabab Atl. Khenifra
Riadi Salmi
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1513.1
ELO
1472.4
46
ELO · Matches
44
1513.1
Current Team ELO
1472.4
1472.4
Current Opponent ELO
1513.1
40.67
Current ELO Difference
-40.67
0.56
Expected score
0.44
46
History Matches
44
0.01
Residual Mean
-0.03
50.95
Overperformance
47.71
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.60
0.80
Goals for per game
1.40
0.60
Goals against per game
1.00
40.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
0.90
1.10
Goals for per game
1.20
0.80
Goals against per game
1.70
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.00
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.55
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
44
1.41
PPG
1.07
34.8%
Win rate
25.0%
37.0%
Draw rate
31.8%
28.3%
Loss rate
43.2%
52.2%
Over 1.5 rate
77.3%
26.1%
Over 2.5 rate
45.5%
6.5%
Over 3.5 rate
20.5%
1.44
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.40
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
23
1.65
PPG
1.30
43.5%
Win rate
39.1%
34.8%
Draw rate
13.0%
21.7%
Loss rate
47.8%
52.2%
Over 1.5 rate
87.0%
17.4%
Over 2.5 rate
65.2%
4.3%
Over 3.5 rate
30.4%
1.28
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.51
23
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.87
Goals for per game
1.05
65.2%
Scoring rate
65.9%
34.8%
BTTS rate
56.8%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.39
69.6%
Scoring rate
73.9%
30.4%
BTTS rate
65.2%
46
History Matches
44
0.87
Goals Mean
1.05
0.85
Goals Std
0.93
65.2%
Scored 1+ rate
65.9%
15.2%
Scored 2+ rate
31.8%
4.3%
Scored 3+ rate
6.8%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.39
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.80
Goals against per game
1.43
50.0%
Conceding rate
84.1%
0.57
Goals against per game
1.65
43.5%
Conceding rate
91.3%
46
History Matches
44
0.80
Conceded Mean
1.43
1.03
Conceded Std
1.03
19.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.6%
6.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
15.9%
0.57
Venue Conceded Mean
1.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.9%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
34.1%
56.5%
Clean-sheet rate
8.7%
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.9%
34.8%
Failed-to-score rate
34.1%
56.5%
Clean-sheet rate
8.7%
30.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
15.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
44
0.99
Result entropy
0.98
1.44
Goal Difference Std
1.40
0.57
Stability score
2.28
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
42
14
Lead Matches
10
85.7%
Lead Win Rate
50.0%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.63
10
Trailing Matches
13
20.0%
Non-loss rate
15.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
0.43
First Half Goals For Mean
0.40
0.32
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
0.48
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.62
0.45
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
126.0
Rest days
126.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
23
1.44
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.17
16
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.25
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.84
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.03
Portability PPG Std
0.40
0.07
Portability PPG Range
0.81
93.75
Portability Score
55.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO40.67
PPG0.34
GF-0.18
GA-0.63
PPG0.35
PPG0.00
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate34.1%
Failed-to-score rate0.7%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate47.8%
Failed-to-score rate4.3%
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.18
Goals Std-0.08
Scored 1+ rate-0.01
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.39
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.39
History Matches2
Conceded Mean-0.63
Conceded Std0.00
Clean-sheet rate34.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.19
Conceded 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Conceded Mean-1.09
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.26
History Matches2
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.03
Stability score-1.71
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.19
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches4
Lead Win Rate35.7%
Lead Points Retention0.27
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate4.6%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.45
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.37
Portability PPG Range-0.74
Portability Score38.39
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.27
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.41
Current Team ELO40.67
Current Opponent ELO-40.67
Current ELO Difference81.33
Expected score0.12
History Matches2
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.13

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Chabab Atl. Khenifra

L
Mouloudia Oujda1–0Chabab Atl. Khenifra1 Nov · away
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
W
Chabab Atl. Khenifra4–2Olympique Safi24 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Safi 37% · missed
L
Stade Marocain2–1Chabab Atl. Khenifra17 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 36% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Riadi Salmi

D
Riadi Salmi1–1Ittihad Khemisset1 Nov · home
Pick: Riadi Salmi 58% · missed
L
USM Oujda2–1Riadi Salmi25 Oct · away
Pick: Riadi Salmi 35% · missed
L
Riadi Salmi1–4Olympique Dcheïra18 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Dcheïra 44% · hit
D
Riadi Salmi0–0El Massira4 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 35% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Chabab Atl. Khenifra and Riadi Salmi meet in Botola 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Chabab Atl. Khenifra win 40.2%, draw 30.7%, Riadi Salmi win 29.1%. The pick is Chabab Atl. Khenifra win. Over 2.5 goals: 40.1%. Both teams to score: 45.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.