ScoreProb
Botola 2 Morocco Round 7 2026

Olympique Dcheïra vs Yacoub El Mansour

Olympique Dcheïra Home · Elo 1,484
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Yacoub El Mansour Away · Elo 1,513
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Olympique Dcheïra win
Olympique Dcheïra winPick
40.2%
Draw
30.6%
Yacoub El Mansour win
29.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.0%
No47.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.548.9%
Under 2.551.1%

How much we know

Olympique Dcheïra history50 matches
Yacoub El Mansour history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Olympique Dcheïra are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Yacoub El Mansour are rated 29 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,513 against 1,484. On rating alone Yacoub El Mansour would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Yacoub El Mansour score more

    1.14 goals a game over 50 matches for Olympique Dcheïra, against 1.33 over 45 for Yacoub El Mansour.

  • Defences are close

    Olympique Dcheïra concede 1.32 a game, Yacoub El Mansour 1.29.

  • Yacoub El Mansour games more often go over 2.5 goals

    44% of Olympique Dcheïra matches, against 56% for Yacoub El Mansour. The model puts this match at 49% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Olympique Dcheïra
Yacoub El Mansour
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1483.7
ELO
1512.6
50
ELO · Matches
45
1483.7
Current Team ELO
1512.6
1512.6
Current Opponent ELO
1483.7
-28.92
Current ELO Difference
28.92
0.46
Expected score
0.54
50
History Matches
45
-0.02
Residual Mean
0.02
48.65
Overperformance
51.12
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.00
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.30
0.90
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.98
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.46
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.96
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.89
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
45
1.18
PPG
1.31
28.0%
Win rate
33.3%
34.0%
Draw rate
31.1%
38.0%
Loss rate
35.6%
76.0%
Over 1.5 rate
77.8%
44.0%
Over 2.5 rate
55.6%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
24.4%
1.48
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.23
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
22
1.13
PPG
1.18
25.0%
Win rate
27.3%
37.5%
Draw rate
36.4%
37.5%
Loss rate
36.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
68.2%
29.2%
Over 2.5 rate
45.5%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
18.2%
1.53
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.01
24
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.14
Goals for per game
1.33
72.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
58.0%
BTTS rate
68.9%
0.92
Goals for per game
1.09
70.8%
Scoring rate
68.2%
58.3%
BTTS rate
59.1%
50
History Matches
45
1.14
Goals Mean
1.33
0.96
Goals Std
0.99
72.0%
Scored 1+ rate
80.0%
30.0%
Scored 2+ rate
37.8%
12.0%
Scored 3+ rate
13.3%
0.92
Venue Goals Mean
1.09
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.32
Goals against per game
1.29
80.0%
Conceding rate
82.2%
1.33
Goals against per game
1.23
87.5%
Conceding rate
77.3%
50
History Matches
45
1.32
Conceded Mean
1.29
1.05
Conceded Std
0.86
36.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.8%
10.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
8.9%
1.33
Venue Conceded Mean
1.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
22.7%
29.2%
Failed-to-score rate
31.8%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
45
0.99
Result entropy
1.00
1.48
Goal Difference Std
1.23
0.70
Stability score
0.13
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
43
12
Lead Matches
14
58.3%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.86
18
Trailing Matches
13
38.9%
Non-loss rate
30.8%
5.6%
Trailing Win Rate
7.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.52
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.64
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
0.62
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
109.9
Rest days
125.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
5
Short Rest History Matches
7
2.40
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.71
26
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.23
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.50
18
Long Rest History Matches
13
0.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.77
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.32
Portability PPG Std
0.35
0.64
Portability PPG Range
0.70
60.87
Portability Score
58.86
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-28.92
PPG-0.13
GF-0.19
GA0.03
PPG-0.06
PPG-0.80
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate2.2%
Failed-to-score rate8.0%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches5
Goals Mean-0.19
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean-0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.52
History Matches5
Conceded Mean0.03
Conceded Std0.19
Clean-sheet rate2.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.02
Conceded 3+ rate1.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.11
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.08
History Matches5
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std0.25
Stability score0.57
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.37
Eligible Matches7
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.20
Lead Points Retention-0.19
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate8.1%
Trailing Win Rate-0.02
Halftime Coverage Matches7
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.03
Portability PPG Range-0.06
Portability Score2.01
Rest days-16.04
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match0.69
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.27
Long Rest History Matches5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.06
Current Team ELO-28.92
Current Opponent ELO28.92
Current ELO Difference-57.84
Expected score-0.08
History Matches5
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.11

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Olympique Dcheïra

W
Union Sportive Boujaad2–3Olympique Dcheïra31 Oct · away
Pick: Olympique Dcheïra 40% · hit
D
Olympique Dcheïra0–0KAC Kenitra24 Oct · home
Pick: Olympique Dcheïra 46% · missed
W
Riadi Salmi1–4Olympique Dcheïra18 Oct · away
Pick: Olympique Dcheïra 44% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Yacoub El Mansour

W
Yacoub El Mansour2–1El Massira31 Oct · home
Pick: Yacoub El Mansour 37% · hit
D
Yacoub El Mansour2–2Wydad Fès24 Oct · home
Pick: Yacoub El Mansour 41% · missed
D
Union Sportive Boujaad1–1Yacoub El Mansour17 Oct · away
Pick: Yacoub El Mansour 40% · missed
W
KAC Kenitra0–1Yacoub El Mansour4 Oct · away
Pick: KAC Kenitra 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Olympique Dcheïra and Yacoub El Mansour meet in Botola 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Olympique Dcheïra win 40.2%, draw 30.6%, Yacoub El Mansour win 29.2%. The pick is Olympique Dcheïra win. Over 2.5 goals: 48.9%. Both teams to score: 53.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.