ScoreProb
Botola 2 Morocco Round 7 2026

Olympique Khouribga vs Mouloudia Oujda

Olympique Khouribga Home · Elo 1,461
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Mouloudia Oujda Away · Elo 1,479
Complexe OCP, Khouribga Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Olympique Khouribga win
28.5%
DrawPick
40.9%
Mouloudia Oujda win
30.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes47.1%
No52.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.538.5%
Under 2.561.5%

How much we know

Olympique Khouribga history17 matches
Mouloudia Oujda history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,461 against 1,479. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Mouloudia Oujda score more

    0.82 goals a game over 17 matches for Olympique Khouribga, against 1.09 over 45 for Mouloudia Oujda.

  • Defences are close

    Olympique Khouribga concede 1.18 a game, Mouloudia Oujda 1.18.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    41% of Olympique Khouribga matches, against 38% for Mouloudia Oujda. The model puts this match at 38% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 5 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Olympique Khouribga
Mouloudia Oujda
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1460.6
ELO
1479.1
17
ELO · Matches
45
1460.6
Current Team ELO
1479.1
1479.1
Current Opponent ELO
1460.6
-18.50
Current ELO Difference
18.50
0.47
Expected score
0.53
17
History Matches
45
-0.12
Residual Mean
-0.02
44.42
Overperformance
48.52
-0.20
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.20
0.80
Goals for per game
1.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
0.90
1.00
Goals for per game
0.90
1.60
Goals against per game
1.40
20.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.70
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.11
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.28
Overall performance9 signals
90
17
Matches
45
0.94
PPG
1.22
17.6%
Win rate
24.4%
41.2%
Draw rate
48.9%
41.2%
Loss rate
26.7%
52.9%
Over 1.5 rate
75.6%
41.2%
Over 2.5 rate
37.8%
17.6%
Over 3.5 rate
15.6%
0.97
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.35
Venue performance10 signals
100
8
Matches
22
1.25
PPG
0.95
25.0%
Win rate
18.2%
50.0%
Draw rate
40.9%
25.0%
Loss rate
40.9%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
68.2%
37.5%
Over 2.5 rate
36.4%
12.5%
Over 3.5 rate
22.7%
0.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.52
8
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.82
Goals for per game
1.09
52.9%
Scoring rate
73.3%
52.9%
BTTS rate
62.2%
0.88
Goals for per game
1.00
50.0%
Scoring rate
59.1%
50.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
17
History Matches
45
0.82
Goals Mean
1.09
0.92
Goals Std
0.94
52.9%
Scored 1+ rate
73.3%
23.5%
Scored 2+ rate
24.4%
5.9%
Scored 3+ rate
8.9%
0.88
Venue Goals Mean
1.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.18
Goals against per game
1.18
70.6%
Conceding rate
80.0%
0.88
Goals against per game
1.32
62.5%
Conceding rate
81.8%
17
History Matches
45
1.18
Conceded Mean
1.18
1.10
Conceded Std
0.93
29.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
24.4%
11.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.1%
0.88
Venue Conceded Mean
1.32
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
47.1%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
47.1%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
37.5%
Clean-sheet rate
18.2%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.9%
29.4%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
17
History Matches
45
0.94
Result entropy
0.95
0.97
Goal Difference Std
1.35
5.62
Stability score
4.73
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
17
Eligible Matches
44
3
Lead Matches
8
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
62.5%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.75
2
Trailing Matches
13
0.0%
Non-loss rate
61.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
17
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.41
First Half Goals For Mean
0.41
0.47
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.41
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.71
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
511.0
Rest days
126.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.00
11
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
4
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.21
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
3
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.04
—
Portability PPG Range
0.08
—
Portability Score
92.95
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
17
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO-18.50
PPG-0.28
GF-0.27
GA0.00
PPG0.30
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-28
Clean-sheet rate9.4%
Failed-to-score rate20.4%
History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate19.3%
Failed-to-score rate9.1%
History Matches-28
Goals Mean-0.27
Goals Std-0.02
Scored 1+ rate-0.20
Scored 2+ rate-0.01
Scored 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Goals Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.30
History Matches-28
Conceded Mean0.00
Conceded Std0.17
Clean-sheet rate9.4%
Conceded 2+ rate5.0%
Conceded 3+ rate0.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.09
History Matches-28
Result entropy-0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.38
Stability score0.90
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.17
Eligible Matches-27
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate4.2%
Lead Points Retention0.03
Trailing Matches-11
Non-loss rate-0.62
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-27
First Half Goals For Mean0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.25
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days385.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match0.00
Normal Rest History Matches-13
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Long Rest History Matches-15
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.21
Current Team ELO-18.50
Current Opponent ELO18.50
Current ELO Difference-37.00
Expected score-0.05
History Matches-28
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-4.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Olympique Khouribga

D
Olympique Safi1–1Olympique Khouribga1 Nov · away
Pick: Olympique Safi 61% · missed
D
Olympique Khouribga1–1Stade Marocain24 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 40% · hit
D
Chabab Mohammédia1–1Olympique Khouribga18 Oct · away
Pick: Chabab Mohammédia 51% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Mouloudia Oujda

W
Mouloudia Oujda1–0Chabab Atl. Khenifra1 Nov · home
Pick: Draw 35% · missed
L
Ittihad Khemisset2–1Mouloudia Oujda25 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 37% · missed
D
Mouloudia Oujda2–2Chabab Ben Guerir17 Oct · home
Pick: Mouloudia Oujda 35% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Olympique Khouribga and Mouloudia Oujda meet in Botola 2 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. The match is played at Complexe OCP, Khouribga. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Olympique Khouribga win 28.5%, draw 40.9%, Mouloudia Oujda win 30.6%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 38.5%. Both teams to score: 47.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.