Club Brugge W vs OH Leuven W
Match result probability Model pick: OH Leuven W win
Club Brugge W win
25.2%
Draw
22.1%
OH Leuven W winPick
52.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes53.6%
No46.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.555.2%
Under 2.544.8%
How much we know
Club Brugge W history40 matches
OH Leuven W history54 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours OH Leuven W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
- Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.7%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.
Why OH Leuven W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
OH Leuven W are rated 157 Elo points higher
Elo 1,659 against 1,502. On rating alone OH Leuven W would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.
-
OH Leuven W score more
1.58 goals a game over 40 matches for Club Brugge W, against 1.89 over 54 for OH Leuven W.
-
OH Leuven W concede fewer
Club Brugge W concede 1.48 a game, OH Leuven W 0.89.
-
Club Brugge W games more often go over 2.5 goals
70% of Club Brugge W matches, against 57% for OH Leuven W. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 9 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
OH Leuven W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1501.8
ELO
1658.9
40
ELO · Matches
54
1501.8
Current Team ELO
1658.9
1658.9
Current Opponent ELO
1501.8
-157.0
Current ELO Difference
157.0
0.29
Expected score
0.71
40
History Matches
54
0.01
Residual Mean
0.15
50.50
Overperformance
60.65
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.20
1.20
Goals for per game
2.20
1.60
Goals against per game
0.80
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
2.20
1.10
Goals for per game
1.80
1.90
Goals against per game
0.70
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.80
0.83
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.70
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.64
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.61
1.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.22
Overall performance9 signals 90
40
Matches
54
1.35
PPG
2.15
37.5%
Win rate
64.8%
22.5%
Draw rate
20.4%
40.0%
Loss rate
14.8%
85.0%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
70.0%
Over 2.5 rate
57.4%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
25.9%
1.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals 100
21
Matches
26
1.19
PPG
2.04
33.3%
Win rate
61.5%
19.0%
Draw rate
19.2%
47.6%
Loss rate
19.2%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
53.8%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
1.81
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
21
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.58
Goals for per game
1.89
77.5%
Scoring rate
79.6%
62.5%
BTTS rate
46.3%
1.38
Goals for per game
1.88
66.7%
Scoring rate
76.9%
47.6%
BTTS rate
46.2%
40
History Matches
54
1.58
Goals Mean
1.89
1.22
Goals Std
1.46
77.5%
Scored 1+ rate
79.6%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
59.3%
20.0%
Scored 3+ rate
29.6%
1.38
Venue Goals Mean
1.88
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.48
Goals against per game
0.89
80.0%
Conceding rate
59.3%
1.43
Goals against per game
0.92
76.2%
Conceding rate
61.5%
40
History Matches
54
1.48
Conceded Mean
0.89
1.00
Conceded Std
0.97
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
18.5%
17.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
9.3%
1.43
Venue Conceded Mean
0.92
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.7%
22.5%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
38.5%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.7%
22.5%
Failed-to-score rate
20.4%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
38.5%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.1%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
40.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
40
History Matches
54
0.97
Result entropy
0.81
1.73
Goal Difference Std
2.00
2.61
Stability score
19.16
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
40
Eligible Matches
54
13
Lead Matches
23
61.5%
Lead Win Rate
95.7%
0.72
Lead Points Retention
0.97
9
Trailing Matches
12
33.3%
Non-loss rate
50.0%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
25.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
54
0.80
First Half Goals For Mean
0.94
0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.52
0.78
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.94
0.90
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
168.8
Rest days
90.77
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
11
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.55
20
Normal Rest History Matches
28
1.60
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.04
18
Long Rest History Matches
14
1.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.15
Portability PPG Std
0.60
0.29
Portability PPG Range
1.43
77.48
Portability Score
45.61
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
40
Clean History Matches
54
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-157.0
PPG-0.80
GF-0.31
GA0.59
PPG-0.85
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-14
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Failed-to-score rate2.1%
History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate-0.15
Failed-to-score rate10.3%
History Matches-14
Goals Mean-0.31
Goals Std-0.24
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.09
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.70
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.15
History Matches-14
Conceded Mean0.59
Conceded Std0.02
Clean-sheet rate-0.21
Conceded 2+ rate31.5%
Conceded 3+ rate8.2%
Venue Conceded Mean0.51
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.06
History Matches-14
Result entropy0.17
Goal Difference Std-0.27
Stability score-16.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.25
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.03
Eligible Matches-14
Lead Matches-10
Lead Win Rate-0.34
Lead Points Retention-0.25
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate-0.17
Trailing Win Rate-0.14
Halftime Coverage Matches-14
First Half Goals For Mean-0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.06
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.53
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std-0.45
Portability PPG Range-1.14
Portability Score31.88
Rest days77.98
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-10
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.55
Normal Rest History Matches-8
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.44
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.78
Current Team ELO-157.0
Current Opponent ELO157.0
Current ELO Difference-314.1
Expected score-0.42
History Matches-14
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-10.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.25
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Club Brugge W
W
Club Brugge W5–0Gent W24 Oct · home
Pick: Club Brugge W 47% · hit D
RAAL La Louviere W2–2Club Brugge W16 Oct · away
Pick: RAAL La Louviere W 36% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
OH Leuven W
L
Servette Chênois W5–1OH Leuven W28 Oct · away
Pick: Servette Chênois W 52% · hit W
OH Leuven W4–0Zulte-Waregem W24 Oct · home
Pick: OH Leuven W 68% · hit L
Anderlecht W3–1OH Leuven W17 Oct · away
Pick: OH Leuven W 44% · missed D
OH Leuven W0–0RAAL La Louviere W4 Oct · home
Pick: OH Leuven W 73% · missed W
Czarni Sosnowiec W1–4OH Leuven W26 Aug · away
Pick: Czarni Sosnowiec W 49% · missed About this match
Club Brugge W and OH Leuven W meet in Super League Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Club Brugge W win 25.2%, draw 22.1%, OH Leuven W win 52.7%. The pick is OH Leuven W win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.2%. Both teams to score: 53.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.