ScoreProb
Super League Women Belgium Round 8 2026

Standard Liege W vs Zulte-Waregem W

Standard Liege W Home · Elo 1,474
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Zulte-Waregem W Away · Elo 1,500
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Standard Liege W win
Standard Liege W winPick
40.7%
Draw
29.2%
Zulte-Waregem W win
30.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.3%
No47.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.554.0%
Under 2.546.0%

How much we know

Standard Liege W history40 matches
Zulte-Waregem W history40 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 18:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (40.7%). Picks in that band won 45.5% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,228 matches.

Why Standard Liege W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Zulte-Waregem W are rated 26 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,500 against 1,474. On rating alone Zulte-Waregem W would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.28 goals a game over 40 matches for Standard Liege W, against 1.38 over 40 for Zulte-Waregem W.

  • Defences are close

    Standard Liege W concede 1.38 a game, Zulte-Waregem W 1.48.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    48% of Standard Liege W matches, against 55% for Zulte-Waregem W. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Standard Liege W
Zulte-Waregem W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1474.2
ELO
1499.9
40
ELO · Matches
40
1474.2
Current Team ELO
1499.9
1499.9
Current Opponent ELO
1474.2
-25.68
Current ELO Difference
25.68
0.46
Expected score
0.54
40
History Matches
40
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.00
48.17
Overperformance
49.70
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.40
PPG
2.60
1.20
Goals for per game
2.20
2.00
Goals against per game
0.80
0.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.80
1.20
Goals for per game
2.10
1.50
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.10
0.87
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.70
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.42
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.58
Overall performance9 signals
90
40
Matches
40
1.20
PPG
1.38
30.0%
Win rate
37.5%
30.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
37.5%
82.5%
Over 1.5 rate
72.5%
47.5%
Over 2.5 rate
55.0%
22.5%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.11
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
21
1.38
PPG
1.33
33.3%
Win rate
38.1%
38.1%
Draw rate
19.0%
28.6%
Loss rate
42.9%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
76.2%
47.6%
Over 2.5 rate
52.4%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
23.8%
1.54
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
21
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.28
Goals for per game
1.38
75.0%
Scoring rate
70.0%
55.0%
BTTS rate
45.0%
1.52
Goals for per game
1.29
90.5%
Scoring rate
71.4%
71.4%
BTTS rate
42.9%
40
History Matches
40
1.28
Goals Mean
1.38
1.12
Goals Std
1.34
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
70.0%
35.0%
Scored 2+ rate
35.0%
10.0%
Scored 3+ rate
20.0%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.29
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.38
Goals against per game
1.48
72.5%
Conceding rate
65.0%
1.29
Goals against per game
1.43
76.2%
Conceding rate
66.7%
40
History Matches
40
1.38
Conceded Mean
1.48
1.11
Conceded Std
1.48
47.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.0%
12.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.5%
1.29
Venue Conceded Mean
1.43
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
27.5%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
9.5%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
27.5%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
30.0%
23.8%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
9.5%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
27.5%
Clean-sheet rate
35.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
40
History Matches
40
0.99
Result entropy
0.99
1.64
Goal Difference Std
2.11
0.88
Stability score
1.49
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
40
Eligible Matches
40
14
Lead Matches
14
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
78.6%
0.76
Lead Points Retention
0.81
12
Trailing Matches
9
16.7%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
0.68
First Half Goals For Mean
0.73
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.68
0.60
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
169.0
Rest days
169.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
3.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
20
0.79
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.45
19
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.58
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.18
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.11
0.39
Portability PPG Range
0.21
72.07
Portability Score
82.39
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
40
Clean History Matches
40
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO-25.68
PPG-0.18
GF-0.10
GA-0.10
PPG0.05
PPG-2.20
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches0
Goals Mean-0.10
Goals Std-0.22
Scored 1+ rate5.0%
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean0.24
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.83
History Matches0
Conceded Mean-0.10
Conceded Std-0.37
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate2.5%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Conceded Mean-0.14
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.05
History Matches0
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.47
Stability score-0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.16
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate-0.07
Lead Points Retention-0.05
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate-0.06
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.05
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.08
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.03
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.09
Portability PPG Range0.17
Portability Score-10.32
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-3.00
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.66
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.40
Current Team ELO-25.68
Current Opponent ELO25.68
Current ELO Difference-51.36
Expected score-0.07
History Matches0
Residual Mean-0.02
Overperformance-1.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.15

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Standard Liege W

L
Standard Liege W0–4Anderlecht W24 Oct · home
Pick: Anderlecht W 42% · hit
W
Gent W1–4Standard Liege W17 Oct · away
Pick: Standard Liege W 41% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Zulte-Waregem W

L
OH Leuven W4–0Zulte-Waregem W24 Oct · away
Pick: OH Leuven W 68% · hit
L
Zulte-Waregem W1–2Genk W17 Oct · home
Pick: Zulte-Waregem W 38% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Standard Liege W and Zulte-Waregem W meet in Super League Women on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 18:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Standard Liege W win 40.7%, draw 29.2%, Zulte-Waregem W win 30.0%. The pick is Standard Liege W win. Over 2.5 goals: 54.0%. Both teams to score: 52.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.