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Liga Nacional Guatemala Round 20 2026

Comunicaciones vs Cobán Imperial

Comunicaciones Home · Elo 1,481
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Cobán Imperial Away · Elo 1,495
Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Comunicaciones win
Comunicaciones winPick
44.6%
Draw
27.0%
Cobán Imperial win
28.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes50.4%
No49.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.547.3%
Under 2.552.7%

How much we know

Comunicaciones history56 matches
Cobán Imperial history69 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 14 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 23:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.6%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Comunicaciones are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,481 against 1,495. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.09 goals a game over 56 matches for Comunicaciones, against 1.17 over 69 for Cobán Imperial.

  • Cobán Imperial concede fewer

    Comunicaciones concede 1.34 a game, Cobán Imperial 1.19.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    45% of Comunicaciones matches, against 42% for Cobán Imperial. The model puts this match at 47% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Comunicaciones
Cobán Imperial@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1480.6
ELO
1494.7
56
ELO · Matches
69
1480.6
Current Team ELO
1494.7
1494.7
Current Opponent ELO
1480.6
-14.16
Current ELO Difference
14.16
0.48
Expected score
0.52
56
History Matches
69
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.00
47.10
Overperformance
49.81
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
1.40
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.00
1.20
Goals for per game
1.10
1.50
Goals against per game
1.60
30.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
1.25
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.14
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
1.12
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.49
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.57
Overall performance9 signals
90
56
Matches
69
1.21
PPG
1.39
33.9%
Win rate
39.1%
19.6%
Draw rate
21.7%
46.4%
Loss rate
39.1%
64.3%
Over 1.5 rate
72.5%
44.6%
Over 2.5 rate
42.0%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
23.2%
1.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.69
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
34
2.10
PPG
0.71
66.7%
Win rate
17.6%
9.5%
Draw rate
17.6%
23.8%
Loss rate
64.7%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
73.5%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
44.1%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
26.5%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
21
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.09
Goals for per game
1.17
64.3%
Scoring rate
63.8%
48.2%
BTTS rate
43.5%
1.67
Goals for per game
0.74
90.5%
Scoring rate
55.9%
57.1%
BTTS rate
44.1%
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
60.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
56
History Matches
69
1.09
Goals Mean
1.17
1.06
Goals Std
1.14
64.3%
Scored 1+ rate
63.8%
32.1%
Scored 2+ rate
36.2%
8.9%
Scored 3+ rate
14.5%
1.67
Venue Goals Mean
0.74
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.34
Goals against per game
1.19
76.8%
Conceding rate
69.6%
1.10
Goals against per game
1.71
66.7%
Conceding rate
82.4%
1.40
Goals against per game
1.80
60.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
56
History Matches
69
1.34
Conceded Mean
1.19
1.00
Conceded Std
1.07
41.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.8%
16.1%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.1%
1.10
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
23.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
35.7%
Failed-to-score rate
36.2%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.6%
9.5%
Failed-to-score rate
44.1%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
23.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
35.7%
Failed-to-score rate
36.2%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
17.6%
9.5%
Failed-to-score rate
44.1%
23.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.4%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
56
History Matches
69
0.95
Result entropy
0.97
1.38
Goal Difference Std
1.69
5.09
Stability score
2.96
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
56
Eligible Matches
69
8
Lead Matches
23
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
73.9%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.81
24
Trailing Matches
16
25.0%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
12.5%
Trailing Win Rate
12.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
56
Halftime Coverage Matches
69
0.36
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.71
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.48
0.73
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
83.96
Rest days
82.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
8
Short Rest History Matches
12
1.13
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.32
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.35
19
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.11
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
60.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.0%
1.60
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.17
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.40
Current Competition PPG
0.80
-0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.80
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.20
Portability PPG Std
0.36
0.48
Portability PPG Range
0.87
71.30
Portability Score
58.38
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
56
Clean History Matches
69
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-14.16
PPG-0.18
GF-0.08
GA0.15
PPG0.60
PPG1.39
PPG0.60
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-13
Clean-sheet rate15.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.35
History Matches-13
Goals Mean-0.08
Goals Std-0.08
Scored 1+ rate0.5%
Scored 2+ rate-0.04
Scored 3+ rate-0.06
Venue Goals Mean0.93
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.11
History Matches-13
Conceded Mean0.15
Conceded Std-0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate6.3%
Conceded 3+ rate5.9%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.61
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.45
History Matches-13
Result entropy-0.02
Goal Difference Std-0.31
Stability score2.13
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-13
Lead Matches-15
Lead Win Rate13.6%
Lead Points Retention0.11
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-13
First Half Goals For Mean-0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean0.24
Second Half Goals For Mean0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.09
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.60
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.16
Portability PPG Range-0.39
Portability Score12.92
Rest days1.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-4
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.88
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.03
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.11
Current Team ELO-14.16
Current Opponent ELO14.16
Current ELO Difference-28.32
Expected score-0.04
History Matches-13
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.72
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Comunicaciones

W
Comunicaciones3–1Mixco2 Nov · home
Pick: Mixco 39% · missed
L
Municipal3–1Comunicaciones29 Oct · away
Pick: Municipal 64% · hit
W
Comunicaciones1–0Antigua GFC25 Oct · home
Pick: Antigua GFC 61% · missed
L
Comunicaciones1–2Aurora14 Oct · home
Pick: Comunicaciones 43% · missed
W
Comunicaciones3–0Suchitepéquez5 Oct · home
Pick: Comunicaciones 68% · hit

Cobán Imperial

W
Cobán Imperial2–1Suchitepéquez28 Oct · home
Pick: Cobán Imperial 69% · hit
W
Cobán Imperial3–1Marquense25 Oct · home
Pick: Cobán Imperial 50% · hit
L
Mixco3–1Cobán Imperial18 Oct · away
Pick: Mixco 57% · hit
W
Cobán Imperial2–1Municipal15 Oct · home
Pick: Municipal 51% · missed
L
Antigua GFC2–1Cobán Imperial12 Oct · away
Pick: Antigua GFC 68% · hit

About this match

Comunicaciones and Cobán Imperial meet in Liga Nacional on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 23:00 UTC. The match is played at Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Comunicaciones win 44.6%, draw 27.0%, Cobán Imperial win 28.4%. The pick is Comunicaciones win. Over 2.5 goals: 47.3%. Both teams to score: 50.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.