Coronie Boys vs Transvaal
What we said before kickoff Result: Transvaal win
Coronie Boys win
33.4%
Draw
30.2%
Transvaal winPick Result
36.4%
How our picks did
Settled automatically from the final score. Every miss stays on the record.
Match result
Our pickTransvaal win · 36.4%
What happenedTransvaal win · we gave it 36.4%
Hit Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 51.0%
What happenedOver · 3 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 53.6%
What happenedNo · 0–3
Missed How surprising was it?
Result: Transvaal win. In our numbers it ranked first of the three.
36%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 2.8
on average A pick at 36% is expected to miss about 6 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes53.6%
No46.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%
How much we know
Coronie Boys history0 matches
Transvaal history16 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 14 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 23:00 UTC
- Full time: 0–3Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically from the final score.5 Nov · 03:19 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.4%). Picks in that band won 39.9% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,949 matches.
Why Transvaal are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Transvaal are rated 30 Elo points higher
Elo 1,530 against 1,500. On rating alone Transvaal would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Transvaal@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1530.4
0
ELO · Matches
16
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1530.4
1530.4
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-30.37
Current ELO Difference
30.37
0.46
Expected score
0.54
0
History Matches
16
—
Residual Mean
0.08
—
Overperformance
53.63
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.05
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
2.20
—
Goals against per game
1.20
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.30
—
Goals for per game
1.50
—
Goals against per game
1.40
—
Win rate
30.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.43
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.43
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.17
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
16
—
PPG
1.69
—
Win rate
43.8%
—
Draw rate
37.5%
—
Loss rate
18.8%
—
Over 1.5 rate
68.8%
—
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.97
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
9
—
PPG
2.11
—
Win rate
66.7%
—
Draw rate
11.1%
—
Loss rate
22.2%
—
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
—
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
—
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.16
0
History Matches
9
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.50
—
Scoring rate
75.0%
—
BTTS rate
50.0%
—
Goals for per game
1.67
—
Scoring rate
77.8%
—
BTTS rate
44.4%
0
History Matches
16
—
Goals Mean
1.50
—
Goals Std
1.37
—
Scored 1+ rate
75.0%
—
Scored 2+ rate
37.5%
—
Scored 3+ rate
18.8%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.67
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Conceding rate
56.3%
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Conceding rate
55.6%
0
History Matches
16
—
Conceded Mean
1.00
—
Conceded Std
1.27
—
Conceded 2+ rate
18.8%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
12.5%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
44.4%
—
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
—
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
—
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
44.4%
—
Failed-to-score rate
22.2%
—
Clean-sheet rate
43.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
16
—
Result entropy
0.95
—
Goal Difference Std
1.97
—
Stability score
5.03
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
13
0
Lead Matches
3
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
2
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
13
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.46
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.38
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.85
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
213.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
4
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.00
0
Long Rest History Matches
11
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.45
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.37
—
Portability PPG Range
0.75
—
Portability Score
57.29
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
16
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-30.37
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-16
History Matches-9
History Matches-16
History Matches-16
History Matches-16
Eligible Matches-13
Lead Matches-3
Trailing Matches-2
Halftime Coverage Matches-13
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Long Rest History Matches-11
Current Team ELO-30.37
Current Opponent ELO30.37
Current ELO Difference-60.73
Expected score-0.09
History Matches-16
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Coronie Boys
L
Coronie Boys0–3Leo Victor1 Nov · home
Pick: Coronie Boys 38% · missed L
FC Inter Wanica1–0Coronie Boys25 Oct · away
Pick: FC Inter Wanica 55% · hit L
Coronie Boys0–3Inter Moengotapoe17 Oct · home
Pick: Coronie Boys 37% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Transvaal
W
Transvaal3–0PVV24 Oct · home
Pick: Transvaal 50% · hit W
Flora0–1Transvaal17 Oct · away
Pick: Transvaal 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Coronie Boys and Transvaal finished 0–3 in Eerste Divisie on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–1 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Coronie Boys win 33.4%, draw 30.2%, Transvaal win 36.4%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.