Dulwich Hamlet W vs Portishead W
Match result probability Model pick: Dulwich Hamlet W win
Dulwich Hamlet W winPick
56.5%
Draw
26.5%
Portishead W win
17.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes40.2%
No59.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.550.1%
Under 2.549.9%
How much we know
Dulwich Hamlet W history1 match
Portishead W history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Dulwich Hamlet W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 14:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 15:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.5%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Dulwich Hamlet W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,492 against 1,500. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
-
Portishead W score far more
0.00 goals a game over 1 matches for Dulwich Hamlet W, against 0.50 over 2 for Portishead W.
-
Dulwich Hamlet W concede fewer
Dulwich Hamlet W concede 1.00 a game, Portishead W 2.50.
-
Portishead W games more often go over 2.5 goals
0% of Dulwich Hamlet W matches, against 50% for Portishead W. The model puts this match at 50% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Nov 2025 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Portishead W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1491.8
ELO
1500.0
1
ELO · Matches
2
1491.8
Current Team ELO
1500.0
1500.0
Current Opponent ELO
1491.8
-8.15
Current ELO Difference
8.15
0.49
Expected score
0.51
1
History Matches
2
-0.50
Residual Mean
0.00
47.62
Overperformance
50.00
-0.50
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals 160
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.00
Goals for per game
0.50
1.00
Goals against per game
2.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.00
Goals for per game
0.50
1.00
Goals against per game
2.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.50
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.50
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.50
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.63
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.00
Overall performance9 signals 90
1
Matches
2
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.00
Venue performance10 signals 100
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
1
—
PPG
0.00
—
Win rate
0.0%
—
Draw rate
0.0%
—
Loss rate
100.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
0
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.00
Goals for per game
0.50
0.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
0.0%
—
Goals for per game
0.00
—
Scoring rate
0.0%
—
BTTS rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
2
0.00
Goals Mean
0.50
—
Goals Std
0.50
0.0%
Scored 1+ rate
50.0%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
0.0%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
—
Venue Goals Mean
0.00
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
2.50
100.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
—
Goals against per game
5.00
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
2
1.00
Conceded Mean
2.50
—
Conceded Std
2.50
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
50.0%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
5.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
1
History Matches
2
0.00
Result entropy
0.63
—
Goal Difference Std
3.00
100.0
Stability score
36.91
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Lead Win RateLead Points Retention
1
Eligible Matches
2
0
Lead Matches
0
1
Trailing Matches
1
0.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.00
1.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.50
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
384.0
Rest days
356.1
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
0
0
Long Rest History Matches
1
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
1
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
1
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals StdVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-8.15
PPG-1.50
GF-0.50
GA-1.50
PPG-1.50
PPG-1.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Failed-to-score rate50.0%
History Matches-1
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.50
Scored 1+ rate-0.50
Scored 2+ rate0.0%
Scored 3+ rate0.0%
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean-1.50
Clean-sheet rate-0.50
Conceded 2+ rate-0.50
Conceded 3+ rate-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.50
History Matches-1
Result entropy-0.63
Stability score63.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.63
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches0
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate0.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean-1.00
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Rest days27.96
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Long Rest History Matches-1
Current Team ELO-8.15
Current Opponent ELO8.15
Current ELO Difference-16.30
Expected score-0.02
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.50
Overperformance-2.38
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.50
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Dulwich Hamlet W
W
Haringey Borough W1–2Dulwich Hamlet W25 Oct · away
Pick: Dulwich Hamlet W 48% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
Portishead W
W
Agnes W0–2Portishead W25 Oct · away
Pick: Agnes W 47% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Dulwich Hamlet W and Portishead W meet in FA Women's Cup on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Dulwich Hamlet W win 56.5%, draw 26.5%, Portishead W win 17.0%. The pick is Dulwich Hamlet W win. Over 2.5 goals: 50.1%. Both teams to score: 40.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.