ScoreProb
AFC Women's Champions League World Group Stage 2026

East Bengal W vs April W

East Bengal W Home · Elo 1,504
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
April W Away · Elo 1,520
Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: April W win
East Bengal W win
31.3%
Draw
25.0%
April W winPick
43.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.2%
No51.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.7%
Under 2.538.3%

How much we know

East Bengal W history6 matches
April W history2 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.7%). Picks in that band won 45.5% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,228 matches.

Why April W are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,504 against 1,520. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • April W score far more

    1.67 goals a game over 6 matches for East Bengal W, against 8.50 over 2 for April W.

  • April W concede fewer

    East Bengal W concede 1.17 a game, April W 0.50.

  • April W games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of East Bengal W matches, against 100% for April W. The model puts this match at 62% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
East Bengal W
April W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1503.6
ELO
1520.2
6
ELO · Matches
2
1503.6
Current Team ELO
1520.2
1520.2
Current Opponent ELO
1503.6
-16.60
Current ELO Difference
16.60
0.48
Expected score
0.52
6
History Matches
2
0.09
Residual Mean
0.51
52.12
Overperformance
54.59
0.09
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.51
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
2
1.80
PPG
3.00
1.80
Goals for per game
8.50
1.20
Goals against per game
0.50
60.0%
Win rate
100.0%
6
Matches
2
1.67
PPG
3.00
1.67
Goals for per game
8.50
1.17
Goals against per game
0.50
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
1.67
Recent 10 Goals Mean
8.50
1.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
4.50
1.17
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.50
1.07
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.50
0.92
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.00
2.43
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
5.00
Overall performance9 signals
90
6
Matches
2
1.67
PPG
3.00
50.0%
Win rate
100.0%
16.7%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.43
Goal difference · Standard deviation
5.00
Venue performance10 signals
100
5
Matches
1
1.40
PPG
3.00
40.0%
Win rate
100.0%
20.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
2.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
—
5
History Matches
1
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.67
Goals for per game
8.50
66.7%
Scoring rate
100.0%
33.3%
BTTS rate
50.0%
1.40
Goals for per game
4.00
60.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
20.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
3.00
Goals for per game
8.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
6
History Matches
2
1.67
Goals Mean
8.50
1.49
Goals Std
4.50
66.7%
Scored 1+ rate
100.0%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
100.0%
33.3%
Scored 3+ rate
100.0%
1.40
Venue Goals Mean
4.00
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.17
Goals against per game
0.50
66.7%
Conceding rate
50.0%
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
60.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
0.00
Goals against per game
0.50
0.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
6
History Matches
2
1.17
Conceded Mean
0.50
1.07
Conceded Std
0.50
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
0.0%
16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.20
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
6
History Matches
2
0.92
Result entropy
0.00
2.43
Goal Difference Std
5.00
7.94
Stability score
100.0
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
6
Eligible Matches
2
3
Lead Matches
2
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
1.00
2
Trailing Matches
0
0.0%
Non-loss rate
—
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
—
Goal timing5 signals
50
6
Halftime Coverage Matches
2
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
5.50
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.00
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
3.00
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.10
Rest days
76.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
1
Normal Rest History Matches
1
3.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
3.00
2
Long Rest History Matches
0
3.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
—
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Portability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
2
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
3.00
100.0%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
5.00
2
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
8.00
2
Competition Season Count
1
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
0
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
6
Clean History Matches
2
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win RatePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO-16.60
PPG-1.33
GF-6.83
GA0.67
PPG0.00
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.33
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate33.3%
History Matches4
Clean-sheet rate40.0%
Failed-to-score rate40.0%
History Matches4
Goals Mean-6.83
Goals Std-3.01
Scored 1+ rate-0.33
Scored 2+ rate-0.50
Scored 3+ rate-0.67
Venue Goals Mean-2.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean-6.83
Recent 10 Goals Std-3.01
History Matches4
Conceded Mean0.67
Conceded Std0.57
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Conceded 2+ rate33.3%
Conceded 3+ rate16.7%
Venue Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.67
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.57
History Matches4
Result entropy0.92
Goal Difference Std-2.57
Stability score-92.06
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.92
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-2.57
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches1
Lead Win Rate-0.33
Lead Points Retention-0.22
Trailing Matches2
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean-4.50
First Half Goals Against Mean0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean-2.33
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-5.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.00
Long Rest History Matches2
Current Team ELO-16.60
Current Opponent ELO16.60
Current ELO Difference-33.19
Expected score-0.05
History Matches4
Residual Mean-0.41
Overperformance-2.47
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.41

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

East Bengal W

L
East Bengal W1–4Hwacheon KSPO W4 Nov · home
Pick: Hwacheon KSPO W 60% · hit
W
Hồ Chí Minh City W1–2East Bengal W1 Nov · away
Pick: East Bengal W 48% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

April W

W
April W6–0Hồ Chí Minh City W4 Nov · home
Pick: April W 64% · hit
W
Hwacheon KSPO W1–2April W1 Nov · away
Pick: Hwacheon KSPO W 55% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

East Bengal W and April W meet in AFC Women's Champions League on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:30 UTC. The match is played at Kishore Bharati Krirangan, Kolkata. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: East Bengal W win 31.3%, draw 25.0%, April W win 43.7%. The pick is April W win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.7%. Both teams to score: 48.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.