ScoreProb
Oberliga - Hessen Germany Hessen - 17 2026

Eintracht Stadtallendorf vs Kassel 2

Eintracht Stadtallendorf Home · Elo 1,590
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Kassel 2 Away · Elo 1,478
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eintracht Stadtallendorf win
Eintracht Stadtallendorf winPick
77.4%
Draw
12.4%
Kassel 2 win
10.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.1%
No50.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.562.8%
Under 2.537.2%

How much we know

Eintracht Stadtallendorf history52 matches
Kassel 2 history5 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (77.4%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.

Why Eintracht Stadtallendorf are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Eintracht Stadtallendorf are rated 112 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,590 against 1,478. On rating alone Eintracht Stadtallendorf would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Eintracht Stadtallendorf score far more

    1.87 goals a game over 52 matches for Eintracht Stadtallendorf, against 0.80 over 5 for Kassel 2.

  • Eintracht Stadtallendorf concede fewer

    Eintracht Stadtallendorf concede 1.17 a game, Kassel 2 1.40.

  • Eintracht Stadtallendorf games more often go over 2.5 goals

    56% of Eintracht Stadtallendorf matches, against 20% for Kassel 2. The model puts this match at 63% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
Kassel 2
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1590.0
ELO
1477.6
52
ELO · Matches
5
1590.0
Current Team ELO
1477.6
1477.6
Current Opponent ELO
1590.0
112.4
Current ELO Difference
-112.4
0.66
Expected score
0.34
52
History Matches
5
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.21
55.95
Overperformance
45.88
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.21
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.80
2.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
5
2.10
PPG
0.80
2.70
Goals for per game
0.80
0.90
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.68
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
5
1.75
PPG
0.80
48.1%
Win rate
20.0%
30.8%
Draw rate
20.0%
21.2%
Loss rate
60.0%
84.6%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
55.8%
Over 2.5 rate
20.0%
44.2%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.79
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
2
1.60
PPG
2.00
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
0.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
56.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.75
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.00
25
History Matches
2
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.87
Goals for per game
0.80
86.5%
Scoring rate
60.0%
55.8%
BTTS rate
40.0%
1.84
Goals for per game
1.50
84.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
68.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
2.60
Goals for per game
0.80
80.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
40.0%
52
History Matches
5
1.87
Goals Mean
0.80
1.23
Goals Std
0.75
86.5%
Scored 1+ rate
60.0%
61.5%
Scored 2+ rate
20.0%
25.0%
Scored 3+ rate
0.0%
1.84
Venue Goals Mean
1.50
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.17
Goals against per game
1.40
61.5%
Conceding rate
80.0%
1.36
Goals against per game
0.50
72.0%
Conceding rate
50.0%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Conceding rate
80.0%
52
History Matches
5
1.17
Conceded Mean
1.40
1.19
Conceded Std
0.80
34.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
60.0%
17.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.36
Venue Conceded Mean
0.50
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
28.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
28.0%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
20.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
5
0.95
Result entropy
0.86
1.79
Goal Difference Std
1.50
5.03
Stability score
13.50
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
5
19
Lead Matches
1
78.9%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
1.00
9
Trailing Matches
4
33.3%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
5
0.82
First Half Goals For Mean
0.40
0.48
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
1.08
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.40
0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.40
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
75.98
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
1
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
26
Normal Rest History Matches
1
2.08
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.00
23
Long Rest History Matches
2
1.48
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
20.0%
Loss rate
60.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
20.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
2.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.60
Current Competition PPG
0.80
1.60
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.60
4
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.21
Portability PPG Std
—
0.48
Portability PPG Range
—
70.84
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
5
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scorePortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO112.4
PPG0.95
GF1.07
GA-0.23
PPG0.80
PPG-0.40
PPG0.80
PPG1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches47
Clean-sheet rate18.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.27
History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Failed-to-score rate16.0%
History Matches47
Goals Mean1.07
Goals Std0.48
Scored 1+ rate26.5%
Scored 2+ rate41.5%
Scored 3+ rate25.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.34
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.90
Recent 10 Goals Std0.93
History Matches47
Conceded Mean-0.23
Conceded Std0.39
Clean-sheet rate18.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.25
Conceded 3+ rate17.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.86
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.03
History Matches47
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.30
Stability score-8.47
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.77
Eligible Matches45
Lead Matches18
Lead Win Rate-0.21
Lead Points Retention-0.16
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate8.3%
Trailing Win Rate11.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches45
First Half Goals For Mean0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.52
Second Half Goals For Mean0.68
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.28
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.80
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean2.20
Competition Season Count3
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days1.06
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match0.50
Normal Rest History Matches25
Normal Rest Points Per Match2.08
Long Rest History Matches21
Long Rest Points Per Match1.48
Current Team ELO112.4
Current Opponent ELO-112.4
Current ELO Difference224.9
Expected score0.31
History Matches47
Residual Mean0.29
Overperformance10.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.33

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eintracht Stadtallendorf

W
Hünfelder SV0–4Eintracht Stadtallendorf31 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Stadtallendorf 48% · hit
D
Eintracht Stadtallendorf1–1Bayern Alzenau24 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Stadtallendorf 61% · missed
W
Eintracht Stadtallendorf5–0FC Gießen17 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Stadtallendorf 65% · hit
W
Kassel1–3Eintracht Stadtallendorf30 Aug · away
Pick: Eintracht Stadtallendorf 73% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Kassel 2

L
Kassel 20–3TuBa Pohlheim1 Nov · home
Pick: TuBa Pohlheim 45% · hit
L
Friedberg5–1Kassel 224 Oct · away
Pick: Friedberg 62% · hit
D
Kassel 22–2Unter-Flockenbach18 Oct · home
Pick: Unter-Flockenbach 55% · missed
W
Kassel 22–0Baunatal4 Oct · home
Pick: Kassel 2 37% · hit
L
Eddersheim3–2Kassel 230 Aug · away
Pick: Eddersheim 70% · hit

About this match

Eintracht Stadtallendorf and Kassel 2 meet in Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Eintracht Stadtallendorf win 77.4%, draw 12.4%, Kassel 2 win 10.2%. The pick is Eintracht Stadtallendorf win. Over 2.5 goals: 62.8%. Both teams to score: 49.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.