ScoreProb
Oberliga - Hessen Germany Hessen - 17 2026

Hadamar vs Rot-Weiß Walldorf

Hadamar Home · Elo 1,540
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rot-Weiß Walldorf Away · Elo 1,436
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hadamar win
Hadamar winPick
65.3%
Draw
19.0%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf win
15.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes53.8%
No46.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.577.0%
Under 2.523.0%

How much we know

Hadamar history8 matches
Rot-Weiß Walldorf history62 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (65.3%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Hadamar are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hadamar are rated 104 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,540 against 1,436. On rating alone Hadamar would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Rot-Weiß Walldorf score more

    1.88 goals a game over 8 matches for Hadamar, against 2.18 over 62 for Rot-Weiß Walldorf.

  • Hadamar concede fewer

    Hadamar concede 0.75 a game, Rot-Weiß Walldorf 2.27.

  • Rot-Weiß Walldorf games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of Hadamar matches, against 82% for Rot-Weiß Walldorf. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hadamar
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1540.3
ELO
1436.1
8
ELO · Matches
62
1540.3
Current Team ELO
1436.1
1436.1
Current Opponent ELO
1540.3
104.2
Current ELO Difference
-104.2
0.65
Expected score
0.35
8
History Matches
62
0.25
Residual Mean
-0.05
57.20
Overperformance
46.38
0.25
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.30
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.00
2.00
Goals for per game
0.60
1.00
Goals against per game
3.20
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
8
Matches
10
2.00
PPG
0.40
1.88
Goals for per game
1.70
0.75
Goals against per game
3.40
50.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.88
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.54
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.10
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
3.40
0.97
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.29
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
1.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
3.66
Overall performance9 signals
90
8
Matches
62
2.00
PPG
1.19
50.0%
Win rate
33.9%
50.0%
Draw rate
17.7%
0.0%
Loss rate
48.4%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
90.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
82.3%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
67.7%
1.45
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.44
Venue performance10 signals
100
4
Matches
30
2.00
PPG
0.90
50.0%
Win rate
23.3%
50.0%
Draw rate
20.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
56.7%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
93.3%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
83.3%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
63.3%
0.50
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.38
4
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.88
Goals for per game
2.18
75.0%
Scoring rate
88.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
77.4%
1.75
Goals for per game
1.90
75.0%
Scoring rate
83.3%
75.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.60
80.0%
Scoring rate
60.0%
60.0%
BTTS rate
60.0%
8
History Matches
62
1.88
Goals Mean
2.18
1.54
Goals Std
1.57
75.0%
Scored 1+ rate
88.7%
50.0%
Scored 2+ rate
59.7%
37.5%
Scored 3+ rate
33.9%
1.75
Venue Goals Mean
1.90
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.75
Goals against per game
2.27
50.0%
Conceding rate
87.1%
1.25
Goals against per game
2.47
75.0%
Conceding rate
96.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
3.20
60.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
8
History Matches
62
0.75
Conceded Mean
2.27
0.97
Conceded Std
1.63
12.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
62.9%
12.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
41.9%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
2.47
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.9%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
11.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
3.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
40.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
40.0%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.9%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
11.3%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
3.3%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
8
History Matches
62
0.63
Result entropy
0.93
1.45
Goal Difference Std
2.44
36.91
Stability score
6.72
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
6
Eligible Matches
62
2
Lead Matches
20
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.65
0
Trailing Matches
20
—
Non-loss rate
15.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
5.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
6
Halftime Coverage Matches
62
1.17
First Half Goals For Mean
0.95
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.05
1.17
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.23
0.50
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.23
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.04
Rest days
77.13
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
2
3.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
2
Normal Rest History Matches
35
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.09
4
Long Rest History Matches
24
2.50
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
0.00
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
80.0%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.0%
1.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
5
Current Competition Matches
5
2.20
Current Competition PPG
0.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.60
2
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.27
Portability PPG Std
0.74
0.53
Portability PPG Range
1.75
65.22
Portability Score
40.21
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
8
Clean History Matches
62
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreNon-loss rateTrailing Win Rate
ELO104.2
PPG0.81
GF-0.30
GA-1.52
PPG2.20
PPG1.10
PPG2.20
PPG1.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-54
Clean-sheet rate37.1%
Failed-to-score rate13.7%
History Matches-26
Clean-sheet rate21.7%
Failed-to-score rate8.3%
History Matches-54
Goals Mean-0.30
Goals Std-0.04
Scored 1+ rate-0.14
Scored 2+ rate-0.10
Scored 3+ rate3.6%
Venue Goals Mean-0.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.18
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.56
History Matches-54
Conceded Mean-1.52
Conceded Std-0.66
Clean-sheet rate37.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.50
Conceded 3+ rate-0.29
Venue Conceded Mean-1.22
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-2.65
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.32
History Matches-54
Result entropy-0.30
Goal Difference Std-0.99
Stability score30.18
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-2.21
Eligible Matches-56
Lead Matches-18
Lead Win Rate40.0%
Lead Points Retention0.35
Trailing Matches-20
Halftime Coverage Matches-56
First Half Goals For Mean0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.72
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.73
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG2.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.60
Competition Season Count-3
Eligible Competition Season Count-3
Portability PPG Std-0.48
Portability PPG Range-1.22
Portability Score25.00
Rest days-1.08
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match2.50
Normal Rest History Matches-33
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.09
Long Rest History Matches-20
Long Rest Points Per Match1.17
Current Team ELO104.2
Current Opponent ELO-104.2
Current ELO Difference208.4
Expected score0.29
History Matches-54
Residual Mean0.30
Overperformance10.82
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.55

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hadamar

W
Hummetroth1–5Hadamar31 Oct · away
Pick: Hadamar 69% · hit
W
Hadamar6–1Eddersheim24 Oct · home
Pick: Hadamar 41% · hit
D
Fernwald2–2Hadamar17 Oct · away
Pick: Hadamar 42% · missed
L
1960 Hanau1–0Hadamar4 Oct · away
Pick: Hadamar 48% · missed
L
Hadamar0–2TuBa Pohlheim29 Aug · home
Pick: Hadamar 48% · missed

Rot-Weiß Walldorf

L
Rot-Weiß Walldorf1–2Kassel1 Nov · home
Pick: Rot-Weiß Walldorf 47% · missed
W
FC Gießen1–2Rot-Weiß Walldorf24 Oct · away
Pick: FC Gießen 57% · missed
L
Hummetroth3–1Rot-Weiß Walldorf17 Oct · away
Pick: Hummetroth 47% · hit
W
Rot-Weiß Walldorf3–0Bayern Alzenau30 Aug · home
Pick: Bayern Alzenau 47% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hadamar and Rot-Weiß Walldorf meet in Oberliga - Hessen on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hadamar win 65.3%, draw 19.0%, Rot-Weiß Walldorf win 15.7%. The pick is Hadamar win. Over 2.5 goals: 77.0%. Both teams to score: 53.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.