ScoreProb
1. Liga Classic - Group 3 Switzerland Group 3 - 13 2026

Eschen / Mauren vs Tuggen

Eschen / Mauren Home · Elo 1,471
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Tuggen Away · Elo 1,589
Sportpark Eschen-Mauren Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Tuggen win
Eschen / Mauren win
24.7%
Draw
23.0%
Tuggen winPick
52.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes60.1%
No39.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.564.7%
Under 2.535.3%

How much we know

Eschen / Mauren history52 matches
Tuggen history50 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.3%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Tuggen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Tuggen are rated 118 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,589 against 1,471. On rating alone Tuggen would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Tuggen score more

    1.46 goals a game over 52 matches for Eschen / Mauren, against 2.10 over 50 for Tuggen.

  • Tuggen concede fewer

    Eschen / Mauren concede 1.73 a game, Tuggen 1.50.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    58% of Eschen / Mauren matches, against 64% for Tuggen. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Eschen / Mauren
Tuggen
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1470.7
ELO
1589.0
52
ELO · Matches
50
1470.7
Current Team ELO
1589.0
1589.0
Current Opponent ELO
1470.7
-118.4
Current ELO Difference
118.4
0.34
Expected score
0.66
52
History Matches
50
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.09
47.57
Overperformance
56.41
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.05
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
1.80
1.40
Goals for per game
2.00
2.20
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.90
1.30
Goals for per game
2.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.50
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.60
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.69
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.33
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.36
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.28
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.47
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
50
1.19
PPG
1.86
30.8%
Win rate
56.0%
26.9%
Draw rate
18.0%
42.3%
Loss rate
26.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
76.0%
57.7%
Over 2.5 rate
64.0%
34.6%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
2.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
24
1.38
PPG
1.71
33.3%
Win rate
45.8%
37.5%
Draw rate
33.3%
29.2%
Loss rate
20.8%
79.2%
Over 1.5 rate
79.2%
54.2%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
54.2%
1.80
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
24
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.46
Goals for per game
2.10
67.3%
Scoring rate
72.0%
51.9%
BTTS rate
54.0%
1.38
Goals for per game
2.21
75.0%
Scoring rate
70.8%
58.3%
BTTS rate
58.3%
1.33
Goals for per game
2.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
50
1.46
Goals Mean
2.10
1.78
Goals Std
1.73
67.3%
Scored 1+ rate
72.0%
38.5%
Scored 2+ rate
60.0%
21.2%
Scored 3+ rate
44.0%
1.38
Venue Goals Mean
2.21
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.73
Goals against per game
1.50
75.0%
Conceding rate
76.0%
1.58
Goals against per game
1.71
70.8%
Conceding rate
79.2%
2.00
Goals against per game
0.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
50
1.73
Conceded Mean
1.50
1.59
Conceded Std
1.33
46.2%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.0%
28.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.0%
1.58
Venue Conceded Mean
1.71
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
32.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
32.7%
Failed-to-score rate
28.0%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
20.8%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
29.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
24.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
50
0.98
Result entropy
0.90
2.36
Goal Difference Std
2.12
1.71
Stability score
10.47
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
42
Eligible Matches
27
10
Lead Matches
14
70.0%
Lead Win Rate
92.9%
0.77
Lead Points Retention
0.95
15
Trailing Matches
5
6.7%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
42
Halftime Coverage Matches
27
0.45
First Half Goals For Mean
0.96
0.62
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.33
0.71
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.85
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.81
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
78.00
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
3
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
33
Normal Rest History Matches
34
1.18
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.85
16
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.75
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.00
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.82
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.00
5
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.60
0.75
Portability PPG Range
1.46
62.40
Portability Score
45.28
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
50
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-118.4
PPG-0.67
GF-0.64
GA0.23
PPG-2.00
PPG-0.33
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Failed-to-score rate4.7%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate8.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.64
Goals Std0.05
Scored 1+ rate-0.05
Scored 2+ rate-0.22
Scored 3+ rate-0.23
Venue Goals Mean-0.83
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.79
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.23
Conceded Std0.26
Clean-sheet rate1.0%
Conceded 2+ rate4.2%
Conceded 3+ rate10.8%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.13
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches2
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std0.25
Stability score-8.76
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.18
Eligible Matches15
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.23
Lead Points Retention-0.19
Trailing Matches10
Non-loss rate-0.13
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches15
First Half Goals For Mean-0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.19
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.67
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.30
Portability PPG Range-0.71
Portability Score17.12
Rest days0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Long Rest History Matches4
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.69
Current Team ELO-118.4
Current Opponent ELO118.4
Current ELO Difference-236.7
Expected score-0.33
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.12
Overperformance-8.84
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.08

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Eschen / Mauren

L
Wettswil-Bonstetten4–1Eschen / Mauren31 Oct · away
Pick: Wettswil-Bonstetten 49% · hit
W
Ruggell II0–4Eschen / Mauren27 Oct · away
Pick: Eschen / Mauren 56% · hit
L
Eschen / Mauren2–3St. Gallen II24 Oct · home
Pick: St. Gallen II 42% · hit
W
Eschen / Mauren4–0Winterthur II17 Oct · home
Pick: Eschen / Mauren 42% · hit
D
Freienbach0–0Eschen / Mauren7 Oct · away
Pick: Freienbach 40% · missed

Tuggen

L
Tuggen1–2Freienbach31 Oct · home
Pick: Tuggen 64% · missed
W
Winterthur II1–3Tuggen24 Oct · away
Pick: Tuggen 52% · hit
W
Tuggen2–1Schötz17 Oct · home
Pick: Tuggen 57% · hit
W
Tuggen4–2Taverne29 Aug · home
Pick: Tuggen 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Eschen / Mauren and Tuggen meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. The match is played at Sportpark Eschen-Mauren. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Eschen / Mauren win 24.7%, draw 23.0%, Tuggen win 52.3%. The pick is Tuggen win. Over 2.5 goals: 64.7%. Both teams to score: 60.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.