ScoreProb
1st League - RS Bosnia & Herzegovina RS - 15 2026

FK Majevica Lopare vs Omarska

FK Majevica Lopare Home · Elo 1,488
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Omarska Away · Elo 1,473
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: FK Majevica Lopare win
FK Majevica Lopare winPick
41.5%
Draw
24.8%
Omarska win
33.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes48.0%
No52.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%

How much we know

FK Majevica Lopare history1 match
Omarska history31 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (41.5%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why FK Majevica Lopare are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,488 against 1,473. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Omarska score far more

    0.00 goals a game over 1 matches for FK Majevica Lopare, against 1.13 over 31 for Omarska.

  • FK Majevica Lopare concede fewer

    FK Majevica Lopare concede 1.00 a game, Omarska 1.84.

  • Omarska games more often go over 2.5 goals

    0% of FK Majevica Lopare matches, against 61% for Omarska. The model puts this match at 51% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
FK Majevica Lopare
Omarska
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1487.6
ELO
1473.3
1
ELO · Matches
31
1487.6
Current Team ELO
1473.3
1473.3
Current Opponent ELO
1487.6
14.31
Current ELO Difference
-14.31
0.52
Expected score
0.48
1
History Matches
31
-0.53
Residual Mean
-0.04
47.48
Overperformance
47.30
-0.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
1
Matches
5
0.00
PPG
1.40
0.00
Goals for per game
1.20
1.00
Goals against per game
1.00
0.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1
Matches
10
0.00
PPG
1.90
0.00
Goals for per game
1.70
1.00
Goals against per game
1.40
0.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.56
0.00
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.19
Overall performance9 signals
90
1
Matches
31
0.00
PPG
1.13
0.0%
Win rate
32.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
16.1%
100.0%
Loss rate
51.6%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.1%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
61.3%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
35.5%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
16
0.00
PPG
0.19
0.0%
Win rate
6.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
100.0%
Loss rate
93.8%
0.0%
Over 1.5 rate
93.8%
0.0%
Over 2.5 rate
68.8%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
1
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.00
Goals for per game
1.13
0.0%
Scoring rate
64.5%
0.0%
BTTS rate
48.4%
0.00
Goals for per game
0.63
0.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
43.8%
—
Goals for per game
0.00
—
Scoring rate
0.0%
—
BTTS rate
0.0%
1
History Matches
31
0.00
Goals Mean
1.13
—
Goals Std
1.10
0.0%
Scored 1+ rate
64.5%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
32.3%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
12.9%
0.00
Venue Goals Mean
0.63
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.00
Goals against per game
1.84
100.0%
Conceding rate
77.4%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.75
100.0%
Conceding rate
93.8%
—
Goals against per game
2.00
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
1
History Matches
31
1.00
Conceded Mean
1.84
—
Conceded Std
1.50
0.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.6%
0.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
32.3%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
2.75
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
35.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.3%
100.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
22.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
1
History Matches
31
0.00
Result entropy
0.91
—
Goal Difference Std
2.20
100.0
Stability score
8.92
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
30
0
Lead Matches
7
—
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.90
0
Trailing Matches
13
—
Non-loss rate
7.7%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
30
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.63
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.83
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
375.0
Rest days
76.79
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.50
0
Normal Rest History Matches
15
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.20
0
Long Rest History Matches
13
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.08
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviationPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
1
—
PPG
0.00
—
Win rate
0.0%
—
Draw rate
0.0%
—
Loss rate
100.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0
Current Competition Matches
1
—
Current Competition PPG
0.00
—
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.00
1
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
1
Clean History Matches
31
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreGoals StdRecent 10 Goals StdConceded StdRecent 10 Conceded StdGoal Difference StdRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per Match
ELO14.31
PPG-1.13
GF-1.13
GA-0.84
PPG-0.19
PPG-1.40
PPG-1.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-30
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Failed-to-score rate64.5%
History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate-0.06
Failed-to-score rate50.0%
History Matches-30
Goals Mean-1.13
Scored 1+ rate-0.65
Scored 2+ rate-0.32
Scored 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Goals Mean-0.63
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.70
History Matches-30
Conceded Mean-0.84
Clean-sheet rate-0.23
Conceded 2+ rate-0.52
Conceded 3+ rate-0.32
Venue Conceded Mean-1.75
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
History Matches-30
Result entropy-0.91
Stability score91.08
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.82
Eligible Matches-29
Lead Matches-7
Trailing Matches-13
Halftime Coverage Matches-29
First Half Goals For Mean-0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean-1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.63
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Current Competition Matches-1
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days298.2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-15
Long Rest History Matches-13
Current Team ELO14.31
Current Opponent ELO-14.31
Current ELO Difference28.63
Expected score0.04
History Matches-30
Residual Mean-0.48
Overperformance0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.72

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

FK Majevica Lopare

L
Bosna Visoko5–2FK Majevica Lopare28 Oct · away
Pick: Bosna Visoko 45% · hit
L
Drina Zvornik2–0FK Majevica Lopare24 Oct · away
Pick: Drina Zvornik 66% · hit
D
Slavija1–1FK Majevica Lopare17 Oct · away
Pick: Slavija 65% · missed
D
Omarska0–0FK Majevica Lopare30 Aug · away
Pick: Omarska 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Omarska

W
Omarska3–1Potkozarje1 Nov · home
Pick: Omarska 44% · hit
D
Zvijezda 091–1Omarska21 Oct · away
Pick: Zvijezda 09 50% · missed
W
Omarska1–0Kozara Gradiška18 Oct · home
Pick: Kozara Gradiška 43% · missed
D
Omarska0–0FK Majevica Lopare30 Aug · home
Pick: Omarska 58% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

FK Majevica Lopare and Omarska meet in 1st League - RS on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: FK Majevica Lopare win 41.5%, draw 24.8%, Omarska win 33.7%. The pick is FK Majevica Lopare win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.0%. Both teams to score: 48.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.