Fokikos vs Karystos
Match result probability Model pick: Karystos win
Fokikos win
33.9%
Draw
27.3%
Karystos winPick
38.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes44.8%
No55.2%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.542.2%
Under 2.557.8%
How much we know
Fokikos history0 matches
Karystos history23 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Karystos
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 13:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.7%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Karystos are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Karystos are rated 36 Elo points higher
Elo 1,536 against 1,500. On rating alone Karystos would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Karystos@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1536.0
0
ELO · Matches
23
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1536.0
1536.0
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-36.02
Current ELO Difference
36.02
0.45
Expected score
0.55
0
History Matches
23
—
Residual Mean
0.07
—
Overperformance
53.98
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.02
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.60
—
Goals for per game
1.20
—
Goals against per game
0.80
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.30
—
Goals for per game
0.90
—
Goals against per game
0.90
—
Win rate
30.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.04
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.70
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.10
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
23
—
PPG
1.57
—
Win rate
39.1%
—
Draw rate
39.1%
—
Loss rate
21.7%
—
Over 1.5 rate
43.5%
—
Over 2.5 rate
21.7%
—
Over 3.5 rate
17.4%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.30
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
12
—
PPG
1.42
—
Win rate
33.3%
—
Draw rate
41.7%
—
Loss rate
25.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.38
0
History Matches
12
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
0.96
—
Scoring rate
52.2%
—
BTTS rate
26.1%
—
Goals for per game
1.17
—
Scoring rate
58.3%
—
BTTS rate
33.3%
0
History Matches
23
—
Goals Mean
0.96
—
Goals Std
1.16
—
Scored 1+ rate
52.2%
—
Scored 2+ rate
26.1%
—
Scored 3+ rate
13.0%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.17
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
0.65
—
Conceding rate
47.8%
—
Goals against per game
0.75
—
Conceding rate
58.3%
0
History Matches
23
—
Conceded Mean
0.65
—
Conceded Std
0.76
—
Conceded 2+ rate
17.4%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
0.75
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
52.2%
—
Failed-to-score rate
47.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
—
Failed-to-score rate
41.7%
—
Clean-sheet rate
52.2%
—
Failed-to-score rate
47.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
41.7%
—
Failed-to-score rate
41.7%
—
Clean-sheet rate
52.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
23
—
Result entropy
0.97
—
Goal Difference Std
1.30
—
Stability score
2.96
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
17
0
Lead Matches
4
—
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
1.00
0
Trailing Matches
4
—
Non-loss rate
0.0%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
17
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.47
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.47
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.24
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
214.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
12
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.75
0
Long Rest History Matches
10
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.40
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
23
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-36.02
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-23
History Matches-12
History Matches-23
History Matches-23
History Matches-23
Eligible Matches-17
Lead Matches-4
Trailing Matches-4
Halftime Coverage Matches-17
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-12
Long Rest History Matches-10
Current Team ELO-36.02
Current Opponent ELO36.02
Current ELO Difference-72.03
Expected score-0.10
History Matches-23
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Fokikos
D
A. Schimatari1–1Fokikos1 Nov · away
Pick: A. Schimatari 57% · missed D
Fokikos0–0Diagoras Agias25 Oct · home
Pick: Fokikos 50% · missed L
Lamia4–1Fokikos18 Oct · away
Pick: Lamia 62% · hit D
Tamynaikos Aliveriou0–0Fokikos4 Oct · away
Pick: Tamynaikos Aliveriou 50% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Karystos
W
Karystos3–0Kifissos25 Oct · home
Pick: Karystos 54% · hit W
Thiva0–2Karystos18 Oct · away
Pick: Karystos 56% · hit W
Karystos2–0Nea Artaki4 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 41% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Fokikos and Karystos meet in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Fokikos win 33.9%, draw 27.3%, Karystos win 38.7%. The pick is Karystos win. Over 2.5 goals: 42.2%. Both teams to score: 44.8%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.