ScoreProb
3. Division Denmark Round 15 2026

Frem vs Ishøj

Frem Home · Elo 1,494
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ishøj Away · Elo 1,387
Valby Idraetspark, Copenhagen Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Frem win
Frem winPick
56.6%
Draw
22.7%
Ishøj win
20.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.8%
No48.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%

How much we know

Frem history67 matches
Ishøj history69 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.6%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Frem are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Frem are rated 107 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,494 against 1,387. On rating alone Frem would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Ishøj score more

    1.18 goals a game over 67 matches for Frem, against 1.35 over 69 for Ishøj.

  • Frem concede fewer

    Frem concede 1.19 a game, Ishøj 1.83.

  • Ishøj games more often go over 2.5 goals

    42% of Frem matches, against 62% for Ishøj. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Frem
Ishøj
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1494.2
ELO
1386.8
67
ELO · Matches
69
1494.2
Current Team ELO
1386.8
1386.8
Current Opponent ELO
1494.2
107.4
Current ELO Difference
-107.4
0.65
Expected score
0.35
67
History Matches
69
0.00
Residual Mean
-0.08
49.87
Overperformance
43.85
0.18
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.20
1.40
Goals for per game
0.40
0.80
Goals against per game
2.20
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.60
PPG
0.60
1.10
Goals for per game
0.80
0.80
Goals against per game
1.80
40.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.10
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.33
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
0.90
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.34
Overall performance9 signals
90
67
Matches
69
1.27
PPG
1.03
34.3%
Win rate
24.6%
23.9%
Draw rate
29.0%
41.8%
Loss rate
46.4%
64.2%
Over 1.5 rate
84.1%
41.8%
Over 2.5 rate
62.3%
20.9%
Over 3.5 rate
39.1%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
Venue performance10 signals
100
34
Matches
34
1.26
PPG
0.85
35.3%
Win rate
17.6%
20.6%
Draw rate
32.4%
44.1%
Loss rate
50.0%
58.8%
Over 1.5 rate
88.2%
35.3%
Over 2.5 rate
70.6%
20.6%
Over 3.5 rate
41.2%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.50
34
History Matches
34
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.18
Goals for per game
1.35
67.2%
Scoring rate
75.4%
47.8%
BTTS rate
69.6%
1.18
Goals for per game
1.26
64.7%
Scoring rate
76.5%
38.2%
BTTS rate
73.5%
1.25
Goals for per game
0.25
75.0%
Scoring rate
25.0%
75.0%
BTTS rate
25.0%
67
History Matches
69
1.18
Goals Mean
1.35
1.26
Goals Std
1.06
67.2%
Scored 1+ rate
75.4%
26.9%
Scored 2+ rate
40.6%
14.9%
Scored 3+ rate
17.4%
1.18
Venue Goals Mean
1.26
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.19
Goals against per game
1.83
73.1%
Conceding rate
92.8%
1.03
Goals against per game
2.09
67.6%
Conceding rate
94.1%
1.25
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
67
History Matches
69
1.19
Conceded Mean
1.83
1.08
Conceded Std
1.22
28.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.7%
11.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
24.6%
1.03
Venue Conceded Mean
2.09
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
7.2%
32.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.6%
32.4%
Clean-sheet rate
5.9%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
75.0%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
7.2%
32.8%
Failed-to-score rate
24.6%
32.4%
Clean-sheet rate
5.9%
35.3%
Failed-to-score rate
23.5%
26.9%
Clean-sheet rate
7.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
67
History Matches
69
0.98
Result entropy
0.97
1.71
Goal Difference Std
1.59
2.27
Stability score
3.47
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
66
Eligible Matches
68
16
Lead Matches
21
93.8%
Lead Win Rate
47.6%
0.96
Lead Points Retention
0.65
19
Trailing Matches
22
15.8%
Non-loss rate
9.1%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
66
Halftime Coverage Matches
68
0.56
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.61
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.79
0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.99
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
73.88
Rest days
77.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.50
38
Normal Rest History Matches
37
1.08
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.97
26
Long Rest History Matches
27
1.58
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.93
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
1.00
PPG
0.25
25.0%
Win rate
0.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
75.0%
75.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
25.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.22
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.48
4
Current Competition Matches
4
1.00
Current Competition PPG
0.25
0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.75
7
Competition Season Count
7
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.21
Portability PPG Std
0.57
0.50
Portability PPG Range
1.61
70.28
Portability Score
46.83
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
67
Clean History Matches
69
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO107.4
PPG0.24
GF-0.17
GA-0.63
PPG0.75
PPG0.41
PPG1.80
PPG1.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate19.6%
Failed-to-score rate8.2%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate26.5%
Failed-to-score rate11.8%
History Matches-2
Goals Mean-0.17
Goals Std0.20
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.14
Scored 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Goals Mean-0.09
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.20
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.63
Conceded Std-0.13
Clean-sheet rate19.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.22
Conceded 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Conceded Mean-1.06
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.58
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std0.12
Stability score-1.20
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.44
Eligible Matches-2
Lead Matches-5
Lead Win Rate46.1%
Lead Points Retention0.31
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate6.7%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.06
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.38
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.75
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.36
Portability PPG Range-1.11
Portability Score23.45
Rest days-3.21
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.11
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.65
Current Team ELO107.4
Current Opponent ELO-107.4
Current ELO Difference214.7
Expected score0.30
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.08
Overperformance6.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.31

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Frem

D
ASA Aarhus2–2Frem31 Oct · away
Pick: ASA Aarhus 45% · missed
D
Frem1–1FC Helsingor23 Oct · home
Pick: Frem 44% · missed
D
Hørsholm-Usserød1–1Frem17 Oct · away
Pick: Hørsholm-Usserød 42% · missed
D
Vanløse2–2Frem29 Aug · away
Pick: Vanløse 52% · missed
W
Sydkysten1–2Frem25 Aug · away
Pick: Sydkysten 35% · missed

Ishøj

W
Ishøj3–0Holstebro31 Oct · home
Pick: Holstebro 52% · missed
D
Ringsted1–1Ishøj24 Oct · away
Pick: Ringsted 43% · missed
W
Ishøj1–0FC Helsingor17 Oct · home
Pick: FC Helsingor 45% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Frem and Ishøj meet in 3. Division on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. The match is played at Valby Idraetspark, Copenhagen. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Frem win 56.6%, draw 22.7%, Ishøj win 20.6%. The pick is Frem win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.3%. Both teams to score: 51.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.