Górnik Łęczna W vs UJ Krakow W
Match result probability Model pick: Górnik Łęczna W win
Górnik Łęczna W winPick
77.8%
Draw
13.6%
UJ Krakow W win
8.6%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes48.6%
No51.4%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.565.2%
Under 2.534.8%
How much we know
Górnik Łęczna W history35 matches
UJ Krakow W history26 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Górnik Łęczna W
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 70–79% band (77.8%). Picks in that band won 76.2% of the time, and the model said 73.9% on average, over 583 matches.
Why Górnik Łęczna W are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Górnik Łęczna W are rated 141 Elo points higher
Elo 1,631 against 1,490. On rating alone Górnik Łęczna W would be expected to take 69% of the points on offer.
-
Górnik Łęczna W score far more
2.40 goals a game over 35 matches for Górnik Łęczna W, against 1.23 over 26 for UJ Krakow W.
-
Górnik Łęczna W concede fewer
Górnik Łęczna W concede 0.80 a game, UJ Krakow W 1.69.
-
Górnik Łęczna W games more often go over 2.5 goals
63% of Górnik Łęczna W matches, against 50% for UJ Krakow W. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
UJ Krakow W@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1631.5
ELO
1490.3
35
ELO · Matches
26
1631.5
Current Team ELO
1490.3
1490.3
Current Opponent ELO
1631.5
141.2
Current ELO Difference
-141.2
0.69
Expected score
0.31
35
History Matches
26
0.19
Residual Mean
-0.02
61.88
Overperformance
49.02
0.07
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.22
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
3.00
PPG
2.00
3.60
Goals for per game
2.00
0.40
Goals against per game
1.40
100.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.10
PPG
2.00
2.40
Goals for per game
1.60
1.20
Goals against per game
1.00
70.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
1.69
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.02
1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.00
1.25
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.18
0.56
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.60
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.74
Overall performance9 signals 90
35
Matches
26
2.37
PPG
1.19
77.1%
Win rate
30.8%
5.7%
Draw rate
26.9%
17.1%
Loss rate
42.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
73.1%
62.9%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
42.9%
Over 3.5 rate
34.6%
2.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.32
Venue performance10 signals 100
18
Matches
13
2.22
PPG
1.15
72.2%
Win rate
30.8%
5.6%
Draw rate
23.1%
22.2%
Loss rate
46.2%
72.2%
Over 1.5 rate
61.5%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
38.5%
22.2%
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
1.99
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.24
18
History Matches
13
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
2.40
Goals for per game
1.23
85.7%
Scoring rate
65.4%
40.0%
BTTS rate
42.3%
1.89
Goals for per game
0.92
72.2%
Scoring rate
53.8%
22.2%
BTTS rate
30.8%
3.25
Goals for per game
1.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
50.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
35
History Matches
26
2.40
Goals Mean
1.23
1.59
Goals Std
1.34
85.7%
Scored 1+ rate
65.4%
68.6%
Scored 2+ rate
30.8%
45.7%
Scored 3+ rate
11.5%
1.89
Venue Goals Mean
0.92
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
0.80
Goals against per game
1.69
51.4%
Conceding rate
73.1%
0.61
Goals against per game
1.38
44.4%
Conceding rate
69.2%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.75
50.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
35
History Matches
26
0.80
Conceded Mean
1.69
1.01
Conceded Std
1.64
17.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
38.5%
8.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
30.8%
0.61
Venue Conceded Mean
1.38
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
48.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
55.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
46.2%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
48.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
34.6%
55.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
46.2%
48.6%
Clean-sheet rate
26.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
35
History Matches
26
0.61
Result entropy
0.98
2.06
Goal Difference Std
2.32
39.37
Stability score
1.71
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
35
Eligible Matches
26
18
Lead Matches
5
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
6
Trailing Matches
10
16.7%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
0.91
First Half Goals For Mean
0.54
0.31
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.96
1.49
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.69
0.49
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.73
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
78.13
Rest days
77.88
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
16
Normal Rest History Matches
10
2.50
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.10
18
Long Rest History Matches
15
2.22
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.13
Competition & season17 signals 170
4
Matches
4
3.00
PPG
1.75
100.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
75.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
0.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
4
Current Competition Matches
4
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.75
2.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.25
3
Competition Season Count
2
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.36
Portability PPG Std
0.33
0.86
Portability PPG Range
0.66
58.44
Portability Score
60.27
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
35
Clean History Matches
26
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO141.2
PPG1.18
GF1.17
GA-0.89
PPG1.25
PPG1.07
PPG1.00
PPG0.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches9
Clean-sheet rate21.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.20
History Matches5
Clean-sheet rate24.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.18
History Matches9
Goals Mean1.17
Goals Std0.25
Scored 1+ rate20.3%
Scored 2+ rate37.8%
Scored 3+ rate34.2%
Venue Goals Mean0.97
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.67
History Matches9
Conceded Mean-0.89
Conceded Std-0.63
Clean-sheet rate21.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.21
Conceded 3+ rate-0.22
Venue Conceded Mean-0.77
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.07
History Matches9
Result entropy-0.38
Goal Difference Std-0.27
Stability score37.67
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.31
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.86
Eligible Matches9
Lead Matches13
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches-4
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate16.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches9
First Half Goals For Mean0.38
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.65
Second Half Goals For Mean0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.25
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.03
Portability PPG Range0.20
Portability Score-1.84
Rest days0.25
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches6
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.40
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match1.09
Current Team ELO141.2
Current Opponent ELO-141.2
Current ELO Difference282.4
Expected score0.39
History Matches9
Residual Mean0.20
Overperformance12.87
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.15
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Górnik Łęczna W
W
Górnik Łęczna W3–0UKS Łódź W30 Oct · home
Pick: Górnik Łęczna W 76% · hit D
Legia W1–1Górnik Łęczna W18 Oct · away
Pick: Górnik Łęczna W 71% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
UJ Krakow W
D
UJ Krakow W0–0Legia W31 Oct · home
Pick: UJ Krakow W 45% · missed L
UJ Krakow W0–2Lech Poznan W21 Oct · home
Pick: UJ Krakow W 59% · missed L
GKS Katowice W3–0UJ Krakow W18 Oct · away
Pick: GKS Katowice W 76% · hit W
UJ Krakow W4–1Sleza Wroclaw W4 Oct · home
Pick: UJ Krakow W 53% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Górnik Łęczna W and UJ Krakow W meet in Ekstraliga Women on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Górnik Łęczna W win 77.8%, draw 13.6%, UJ Krakow W win 8.6%. The pick is Górnik Łęczna W win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.2%. Both teams to score: 48.6%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.