ScoreProb
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 Switzerland Group 2 - 13 2026

Grasshopper II vs Black Stars

Grasshopper II Home · Elo 1,596
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Black Stars Away · Elo 1,489
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Grasshopper II win
Grasshopper II winPick
60.9%
Draw
19.5%
Black Stars win
19.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.8%
No40.2%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.568.9%
Under 2.531.1%

How much we know

Grasshopper II history53 matches
Black Stars history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 17:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (60.9%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Grasshopper II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Grasshopper II are rated 107 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,596 against 1,489. On rating alone Grasshopper II would be expected to take 65% of the points on offer.

  • Grasshopper II score more

    2.11 goals a game over 53 matches for Grasshopper II, against 1.73 over 52 for Black Stars.

  • Grasshopper II concede fewer

    Grasshopper II concede 1.13 a game, Black Stars 1.90.

  • Black Stars games more often go over 2.5 goals

    60% of Grasshopper II matches, against 71% for Black Stars. The model puts this match at 69% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Grasshopper II
Black Stars
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1596.2
ELO
1489.1
53
ELO · Matches
52
1596.2
Current Team ELO
1489.1
1489.1
Current Opponent ELO
1596.2
107.1
Current ELO Difference
-107.1
0.65
Expected score
0.35
53
History Matches
52
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.01
55.76
Overperformance
49.47
-0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.15
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.60
PPG
1.00
1.80
Goals for per game
0.60
1.40
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
0.90
1.60
Goals for per game
0.80
1.50
Goals against per game
1.80
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
1.28
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.87
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.02
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.47
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.14
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.73
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
52
1.92
PPG
1.33
58.5%
Win rate
34.6%
17.0%
Draw rate
28.8%
24.5%
Loss rate
36.5%
81.1%
Over 1.5 rate
92.3%
60.4%
Over 2.5 rate
71.2%
35.8%
Over 3.5 rate
51.9%
1.73
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.79
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
25
1.96
PPG
1.48
62.5%
Win rate
44.0%
8.3%
Draw rate
16.0%
29.2%
Loss rate
40.0%
79.2%
Over 1.5 rate
96.0%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
76.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
48.0%
1.82
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.85
24
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.11
Goals for per game
1.73
84.9%
Scoring rate
80.8%
62.3%
BTTS rate
73.1%
2.00
Goals for per game
1.84
83.3%
Scoring rate
80.0%
58.3%
BTTS rate
68.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
0.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
33.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
33.3%
53
History Matches
52
2.11
Goals Mean
1.73
1.56
Goals Std
1.21
84.9%
Scored 1+ rate
80.8%
62.3%
Scored 2+ rate
55.8%
30.2%
Scored 3+ rate
30.8%
2.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.84
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.13
Goals against per game
1.90
77.4%
Conceding rate
90.4%
1.08
Goals against per game
2.00
75.0%
Conceding rate
88.0%
1.67
Goals against per game
0.67
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
53
History Matches
52
1.13
Conceded Mean
1.90
0.87
Conceded Std
1.26
28.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
55.8%
5.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.9%
1.08
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.6%
15.1%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.6%
15.1%
Failed-to-score rate
19.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.0%
16.7%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
9.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
52
0.87
Result entropy
1.00
1.73
Goal Difference Std
1.79
12.66
Stability score
0.45
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
40
Eligible Matches
40
18
Lead Matches
7
72.2%
Lead Win Rate
85.7%
0.81
Lead Points Retention
0.86
5
Trailing Matches
13
20.0%
Non-loss rate
46.2%
20.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
40
Halftime Coverage Matches
40
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
1.03
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.78
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.17
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.75
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
22
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.91
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.31
26
Long Rest History Matches
25
2.04
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.40
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
0.67
66.7%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
66.7%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
33.3%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
1.25
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.47
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
0.67
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
7
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.43
Portability PPG Std
0.36
1.04
Portability PPG Range
0.80
53.79
Portability Score
58.42
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO107.1
PPG0.60
GF0.38
GA-0.77
PPG1.33
PPG0.48
PPG0.60
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate13.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.04
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate13.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches1
Goals Mean0.38
Goals Std0.35
Scored 1+ rate4.1%
Scored 2+ rate6.5%
Scored 3+ rate-0.01
Venue Goals Mean0.16
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std0.41
History Matches1
Conceded Mean-0.77
Conceded Std-0.39
Clean-sheet rate13.0%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.27
Conceded 3+ rate-0.21
Venue Conceded Mean-0.92
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.44
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.12
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score12.22
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.60
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches11
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.04
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate-0.26
Trailing Win Rate20.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.58
Second Half Goals For Mean0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.00
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.07
Portability PPG Range0.24
Portability Score-4.63
Rest days-0.13
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.60
Long Rest History Matches1
Long Rest Points Per Match0.64
Current Team ELO107.1
Current Opponent ELO-107.1
Current ELO Difference214.1
Expected score0.30
History Matches1
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance6.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Grasshopper II

D
Münsingen1–1Grasshopper II1 Nov · away
Pick: Grasshopper II 55% · missed
L
Grasshopper II1–3Courtételle24 Oct · home
Pick: Grasshopper II 41% · missed
W
Delémont0–2Grasshopper II4 Oct · away
Pick: Grasshopper II 48% · hit
L
Grasshopper II1–2Zug29 Aug · home
Pick: Grasshopper II 68% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Black Stars

D
Black Stars0–0Muri-Gümligen1 Nov · home
Pick: Black Stars 46% · missed
L
Zug4–2Black Stars24 Oct · away
Pick: Black Stars 45% · missed
L
Dietikon2–0Black Stars17 Oct · away
Pick: Dietikon 48% · hit
D
Münsingen0–0Black Stars30 Aug · away
Pick: Black Stars 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Grasshopper II and Black Stars meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Grasshopper II win 60.9%, draw 19.5%, Black Stars win 19.6%. The pick is Grasshopper II win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.9%. Both teams to score: 59.8%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.