ScoreProb
1. Liga Classic - Group 2 Switzerland Group 2 - 13 2026

Solothurn vs Bassecourt

Solothurn Home · Elo 1,519
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Bassecourt Away · Elo 1,437
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Solothurn win
Solothurn winPick
56.1%
Draw
20.0%
Bassecourt win
23.8%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.9%
No42.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.560.7%
Under 2.539.3%

How much we know

Solothurn history50 matches
Bassecourt history52 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.1%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Solothurn are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Solothurn are rated 82 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,519 against 1,437. On rating alone Solothurn would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.

  • Solothurn score far more

    1.76 goals a game over 50 matches for Solothurn, against 1.13 over 52 for Bassecourt.

  • Defences are close

    Solothurn concede 1.50 a game, Bassecourt 1.54.

  • Solothurn games more often go over 2.5 goals

    60% of Solothurn matches, against 52% for Bassecourt. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Solothurn
Bassecourt
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1519.1
ELO
1437.1
50
ELO · Matches
52
1519.1
Current Team ELO
1437.1
1437.1
Current Opponent ELO
1519.1
82.03
Current ELO Difference
-82.03
0.62
Expected score
0.38
50
History Matches
52
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.05
51.33
Overperformance
46.21
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.18
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
0.20
1.80
Goals for per game
1.00
1.80
Goals against per game
3.00
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
0.70
2.30
Goals for per game
1.30
2.10
Goals against per game
2.50
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
1.27
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
2.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.81
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.72
Overall performance9 signals
90
50
Matches
52
1.48
PPG
1.06
42.0%
Win rate
25.0%
22.0%
Draw rate
30.8%
36.0%
Loss rate
44.2%
84.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
51.9%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
28.8%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.64
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
24
1.44
PPG
0.67
40.0%
Win rate
12.5%
24.0%
Draw rate
29.2%
36.0%
Loss rate
58.3%
88.0%
Over 1.5 rate
79.2%
52.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
36.0%
Over 3.5 rate
20.8%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.34
25
History Matches
24
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.76
Goals for per game
1.13
78.0%
Scoring rate
71.2%
58.0%
BTTS rate
61.5%
1.72
Goals for per game
0.71
84.0%
Scoring rate
62.5%
60.0%
BTTS rate
58.3%
2.00
Goals for per game
0.67
66.7%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
66.7%
50
History Matches
52
1.76
Goals Mean
1.13
1.38
Goals Std
1.11
78.0%
Scored 1+ rate
71.2%
54.0%
Scored 2+ rate
26.9%
26.0%
Scored 3+ rate
9.6%
1.72
Venue Goals Mean
0.71
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.50
Goals against per game
1.54
74.0%
Conceding rate
80.8%
1.56
Goals against per game
1.75
76.0%
Conceding rate
83.3%
1.33
Goals against per game
3.00
66.7%
Conceding rate
100.0%
50
History Matches
52
1.50
Conceded Mean
1.54
1.28
Conceded Std
1.23
48.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.3%
16.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
21.2%
1.56
Venue Conceded Mean
1.75
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
26.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
22.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
26.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
22.0%
Failed-to-score rate
28.8%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
37.5%
26.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.2%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
50
History Matches
52
0.97
Result entropy
0.97
1.85
Goal Difference Std
1.64
3.04
Stability score
2.60
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
39
Eligible Matches
39
10
Lead Matches
11
90.0%
Lead Win Rate
54.5%
0.93
Lead Points Retention
0.61
12
Trailing Matches
12
25.0%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
39
Halftime Coverage Matches
39
0.77
First Half Goals For Mean
0.56
0.92
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
0.92
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.82
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.82
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.96
Rest days
76.10
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
1
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
27
Normal Rest History Matches
26
1.37
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
21
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.62
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.92
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
0.00
33.3%
Win rate
0.0%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.70
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.25
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
0.00
0.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-2.33
6
Competition Season Count
7
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.09
Portability PPG Std
0.56
0.22
Portability PPG Range
1.20
84.55
Portability Score
47.20
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
50
Clean History Matches
52
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO82.03
PPG0.42
GF0.63
GA-0.04
PPG1.33
PPG0.77
PPG0.80
PPG0.50
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate6.8%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate7.3%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches-2
Goals Mean0.63
Goals Std0.27
Scored 1+ rate6.8%
Scored 2+ rate27.1%
Scored 3+ rate16.4%
Venue Goals Mean1.01
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.49
History Matches-2
Conceded Mean-0.04
Conceded Std0.05
Clean-sheet rate6.8%
Conceded 2+ rate5.7%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.19
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.31
History Matches-2
Result entropy0.00
Goal Difference Std0.21
Stability score0.44
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.26
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.37
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate35.5%
Lead Points Retention0.33
Trailing Matches0
Non-loss rate25.0%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean0.21
First Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.46
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean3.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.47
Portability PPG Range-0.98
Portability Score37.35
Rest days0.85
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-1.00
Normal Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.14
Long Rest History Matches-3
Long Rest Points Per Match0.70
Current Team ELO82.03
Current Opponent ELO-82.03
Current ELO Difference164.1
Expected score0.23
History Matches-2
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance5.12
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Solothurn

L
Schötz3–2Solothurn31 Oct · away
Pick: Solothurn 48% · missed
W
Solothurn3–1Thun II24 Oct · home
Pick: Solothurn 58% · hit
W
Solothurn5–0Echallens17 Oct · home
Pick: Echallens 44% · missed
W
Buochs3–5Solothurn29 Aug · away
Pick: Buochs 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Bassecourt

D
Bassecourt3–3Muttenz31 Oct · home
Pick: Muttenz 49% · missed
W
Bassecourt2–1FC Wohlen25 Oct · home
Pick: FC Wohlen 51% · missed
W
Bassecourt1–0Delémont18 Oct · home
Pick: Bassecourt 44% · hit
L
Bassecourt0–2Thun II4 Oct · home
Pick: Bassecourt 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Solothurn and Bassecourt meet in 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Solothurn win 56.1%, draw 20.0%, Bassecourt win 23.8%. The pick is Solothurn win. Over 2.5 goals: 60.7%. Both teams to score: 57.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.