ScoreProb
U19 Bundesliga Germany Preliminary 2026

Greuther Fürth U19 vs Eintracht Frankf U19

Greuther Fürth U19 Home · Elo 1,481
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Eintracht Frankf U19 Away · Elo 1,516
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Eintracht Frankf U19 win
Greuther Fürth U19 win
19.9%
Draw
18.8%
Eintracht Frankf U19 winPick
61.3%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · the live score only: events are not provided for this competition by our data source
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes67.5%
No32.5%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.576.4%
Under 2.523.6%

How much we know

Greuther Fürth U19 history41 matches
Eintracht Frankf U19 history51 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 12:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (61.3%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,851 matches.

Why Eintracht Frankf U19 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 are rated 35 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,516 against 1,481. On rating alone Eintracht Frankf U19 would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 score more

    1.83 goals a game over 41 matches for Greuther Fürth U19, against 2.31 over 51 for Eintracht Frankf U19.

  • Eintracht Frankf U19 concede fewer

    Greuther Fürth U19 concede 2.22 a game, Eintracht Frankf U19 1.82.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    78% of Greuther Fürth U19 matches, against 76% for Eintracht Frankf U19. The model puts this match at 76% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Greuther Fürth U19
Eintracht Frankf U19
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1480.9
ELO
1515.6
41
ELO · Matches
51
1480.9
Current Team ELO
1515.6
1515.6
Current Opponent ELO
1480.9
-34.61
Current ELO Difference
34.61
0.45
Expected score
0.55
41
History Matches
51
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.01
47.98
Overperformance
50.90
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.40
1.40
Goals for per game
3.40
2.40
Goals against per game
1.20
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.90
1.40
Goals for per game
2.70
1.80
Goals against per game
1.30
50.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.70
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.62
1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.78
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.10
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
2.69
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.33
Overall performance9 signals
90
41
Matches
51
1.34
PPG
1.49
41.5%
Win rate
43.1%
9.8%
Draw rate
19.6%
48.8%
Loss rate
37.3%
97.6%
Over 1.5 rate
88.2%
78.0%
Over 2.5 rate
76.5%
58.5%
Over 3.5 rate
62.7%
3.06
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.44
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
26
1.53
PPG
1.35
47.4%
Win rate
38.5%
10.5%
Draw rate
19.2%
42.1%
Loss rate
42.3%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
88.5%
73.7%
Over 2.5 rate
80.8%
52.6%
Over 3.5 rate
65.4%
3.42
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.39
19
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.83
Goals for per game
2.31
75.6%
Scoring rate
86.3%
63.4%
BTTS rate
70.6%
2.21
Goals for per game
2.04
68.4%
Scoring rate
84.6%
63.2%
BTTS rate
73.1%
1.00
Goals for per game
3.75
33.3%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
41
History Matches
51
1.83
Goals Mean
2.31
1.91
Goals Std
1.78
75.6%
Scored 1+ rate
86.3%
48.8%
Scored 2+ rate
62.7%
22.0%
Scored 3+ rate
41.2%
2.21
Venue Goals Mean
2.04
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.22
Goals against per game
1.82
87.8%
Conceding rate
80.4%
1.84
Goals against per game
2.08
94.7%
Conceding rate
84.6%
2.67
Goals against per game
0.75
66.7%
Conceding rate
50.0%
41
History Matches
51
2.22
Conceded Mean
1.82
1.65
Conceded Std
1.58
56.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.9%
36.6%
Conceded 3+ rate
23.5%
1.84
Venue Conceded Mean
2.08
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
19.6%
24.4%
Failed-to-score rate
13.7%
5.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
66.7%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
19.6%
24.4%
Failed-to-score rate
13.7%
5.3%
Clean-sheet rate
15.4%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
15.4%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
19.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
41
History Matches
51
0.86
Result entropy
0.96
3.06
Goal Difference Std
2.44
14.23
Stability score
4.42
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
41
Eligible Matches
49
11
Lead Matches
23
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
73.9%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.78
22
Trailing Matches
14
18.2%
Non-loss rate
28.6%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
1.12
1.15
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.86
1.12
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.16
1.07
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.02
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.06
Rest days
76.06
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
3
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.67
16
Normal Rest History Matches
30
1.19
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.23
24
Long Rest History Matches
17
1.38
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.82
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
4
1.00
PPG
3.00
33.3%
Win rate
100.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
66.7%
Loss rate
0.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
75.0%
3.68
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
3
Current Competition Matches
4
1.00
Current Competition PPG
3.00
-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
3.00
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.21
Portability PPG Std
0.75
0.52
Portability PPG Range
2.29
70.02
Portability Score
40.13
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
41
Clean History Matches
51
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-34.61
PPG-0.15
GF-0.48
GA0.40
PPG-2.00
PPG0.18
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-10
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Failed-to-score rate10.7%
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.10
Failed-to-score rate16.2%
History Matches-10
Goals Mean-0.48
Goals Std0.13
Scored 1+ rate-0.11
Scored 2+ rate-0.14
Scored 3+ rate-0.19
Venue Goals Mean0.17
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.42
History Matches-10
Conceded Mean0.40
Conceded Std0.06
Clean-sheet rate-0.07
Conceded 2+ rate1.2%
Conceded 3+ rate13.1%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.68
History Matches-10
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.61
Stability score9.81
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.19
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.36
Eligible Matches-8
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate26.1%
Lead Points Retention0.22
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.10
Trailing Win Rate9.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-8
First Half Goals For Mean-0.42
First Half Goals Against Mean0.29
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG-2.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-4.67
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.53
Portability PPG Range-1.76
Portability Score29.88
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-3
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.05
Long Rest History Matches7
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.45
Current Team ELO-34.61
Current Opponent ELO34.61
Current ELO Difference-69.22
Expected score-0.10
History Matches-10
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.92
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.14

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Greuther Fürth U19

W
RB Leipzig U192–4Greuther Fürth U1931 Oct · away
Pick: RB Leipzig U19 78% · missed
W
Greuther Fürth U196–1Erzgebirge Aue U1925 Oct · home
Pick: Greuther Fürth U19 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Eintracht Frankf U19

W
Eintracht Frankf U193–1Dynamo Dresden U191 Nov · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankf U19 70% · hit
W
Rot-Weiß Erfurt U191–6Eintracht Frankf U1924 Oct · away
Pick: Eintracht Frankf U19 82% · hit
D
Eintracht Frankf U192–2Nürnberg U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Eintracht Frankf U19 68% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Greuther Fürth U19 and Eintracht Frankf U19 meet in U19 Bundesliga on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Greuther Fürth U19 win 19.9%, draw 18.8%, Eintracht Frankf U19 win 61.3%. The pick is Eintracht Frankf U19 win. Over 2.5 goals: 76.4%. Both teams to score: 67.5%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.