Hallescher FC U19 vs Hertha BSC U19
What we said before kickoff Result: Hallescher FC U19 win
Hallescher FC U19 win Result
24.8%
Draw
18.7%
Hertha BSC U19 winPick
56.5%
How our picks did
Settled automatically from the final score. Every miss stays on the record.
Match result
Our pickHertha BSC U19 win · 56.5%
What happenedHallescher FC U19 win · we gave it 24.8%
Missed Over 2.5 goals
Our pickOver · 76.8%
What happenedOver · 4 goals
Hit Both teams to score
Our pickYes · 68.2%
What happenedYes · 3–1
Hit How surprising was it?
Result: Hallescher FC U19 win. In our numbers it ranked second of the three.
25%
chance we gave it0%50%100%
1 in 4.0
on average A pick at 56% is expected to miss about 4 times in 10. One match does not judge a model. The record across every settled match does.
See the full record
Both teams to score
Yes68.2%
No31.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.576.8%
Under 2.523.2%
How much we know
Hallescher FC U19 history41 matches
Hertha BSC U19 history42 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your calls on this match
Made on this device before kickoff, compared with the result.
Life of this match
Every step is time-stamped, from first prediction to settled result.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead29 Oct · 08:38 UTC
- Re-published 16 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 18:58 UTC
- Kickoff4 Nov · 14:00 UTC
- Full time: 3–1Two of our three picks hit
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically from the final score.5 Nov · 03:19 UTC
Share this result
A picture made for this match: teams, our probabilities and the verified stamp. Works in chats and on social.
The card keeps the pre-match numbers. A miss is shared as plainly as a hit.
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.5%). Picks in that band won 55.6% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 4,146 matches.
Why Hertha BSC U19 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Hertha BSC U19 are rated 82 Elo points higher
Elo 1,539 against 1,457. On rating alone Hertha BSC U19 would be expected to take 62% of the points on offer.
-
Hertha BSC U19 score more
1.88 goals a game over 41 matches for Hallescher FC U19, against 2.50 over 42 for Hertha BSC U19.
-
Hertha BSC U19 concede fewer
Hallescher FC U19 concede 2.51 a game, Hertha BSC U19 1.98.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
80% of Hallescher FC U19 matches, against 79% for Hertha BSC U19. The model puts this match at 77% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hertha BSC U19@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1457.4
ELO
1539.1
41
ELO · Matches
42
1457.4
Current Team ELO
1539.1
1539.1
Current Opponent ELO
1457.4
-81.69
Current ELO Difference
81.69
0.38
Expected score
0.62
41
History Matches
42
-0.06
Residual Mean
0.05
45.90
Overperformance
53.13
-0.03
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.14
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
2.40
1.80
Goals for per game
3.00
2.00
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.00
PPG
2.10
1.60
Goals for per game
3.20
2.00
Goals against per game
1.50
20.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
3.20
0.49
Recent 10 Goals Std
2.04
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
1.18
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.02
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
1.11
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.24
Overall performance9 signals 90
41
Matches
42
1.10
PPG
1.64
31.7%
Win rate
52.4%
14.6%
Draw rate
7.1%
53.7%
Loss rate
40.5%
92.7%
Over 1.5 rate
88.1%
80.5%
Over 2.5 rate
78.6%
61.0%
Over 3.5 rate
61.9%
3.10
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.81
Venue performance10 signals 100
18
Matches
21
1.17
PPG
1.86
38.9%
Win rate
57.1%
0.0%
Draw rate
14.3%
61.1%
Loss rate
28.6%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
90.5%
88.9%
Over 2.5 rate
76.2%
55.6%
Over 3.5 rate
52.4%
3.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.75
18
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.88
Goals for per game
2.50
75.6%
Scoring rate
83.3%
65.9%
BTTS rate
71.4%
2.33
Goals for per game
2.48
72.2%
Scoring rate
85.7%
61.1%
BTTS rate
71.4%
1.67
Goals for per game
3.33
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
41
History Matches
42
1.88
Goals Mean
2.50
1.89
Goals Std
2.04
75.6%
Scored 1+ rate
83.3%
46.3%
Scored 2+ rate
64.3%
24.4%
Scored 3+ rate
40.5%
2.33
Venue Goals Mean
2.48
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
2.51
Goals against per game
1.98
87.8%
Conceding rate
83.3%
2.28
Goals against per game
1.76
88.9%
Conceding rate
76.2%
1.33
Goals against per game
0.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
41
History Matches
42
2.51
Conceded Mean
1.98
1.84
Conceded Std
1.65
70.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
50.0%
39.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
31.0%
2.28
Venue Conceded Mean
1.76
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
24.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
24.4%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.8%
27.8%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
12.2%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
41
History Matches
42
0.89
Result entropy
0.81
3.10
Goal Difference Std
2.81
10.84
Stability score
18.69
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
41
Eligible Matches
41
15
Lead Matches
16
73.3%
Lead Win Rate
93.8%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.94
17
Trailing Matches
12
17.6%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
41
Halftime Coverage Matches
41
1.00
First Half Goals For Mean
1.22
1.07
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.90
0.88
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.32
1.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.98
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
74.13
Rest days
77.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
17
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.53
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.68
22
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.73
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.63
Competition & season17 signals 170
3
Matches
3
2.00
PPG
2.00
66.7%
Win rate
66.7%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.87
3
Current Competition Matches
3
2.00
Current Competition PPG
2.00
0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
2.67
4
Competition Season Count
5
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.44
Portability PPG Std
0.49
1.08
Portability PPG Range
1.10
52.91
Portability Score
50.28
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
41
Clean History Matches
42
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-81.69
PPG-0.55
GF-0.62
GA0.54
PPG0.00
PPG-0.69
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.10
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate7.7%
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate13.5%
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.62
Goals Std-0.15
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.18
Scored 3+ rate-0.16
Venue Goals Mean-0.14
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.55
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.54
Conceded Std0.18
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Conceded 2+ rate20.7%
Conceded 3+ rate8.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.52
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.16
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.08
Goal Difference Std0.28
Stability score-7.84
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.40
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-1.12
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-1
Lead Win Rate-0.20
Lead Points Retention-0.16
Trailing Matches5
Non-loss rate17.6%
Trailing Win Rate5.9%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean0.17
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.46
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-2.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.05
Portability PPG Range-0.02
Portability Score2.63
Rest days-2.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.15
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.90
Current Team ELO-81.69
Current Opponent ELO81.69
Current ELO Difference-163.4
Expected score-0.23
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.11
Overperformance-7.24
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.17
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Hallescher FC U19
D
Energie Cottbus U193–3Hallescher FC U1931 Oct · away
Pick: Energie Cottbus U19 61% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Hertha BSC U19
W
Hertha BSC U194–1Carl Zeiss Jena U191 Nov · home
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 57% · hit W
Chemnitzer FC U190–5Hertha BSC U1927 Oct · away
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 54% · hit W
Hertha BSC U192–0Eintracht Braunsch U1917 Oct · home
Pick: Hertha BSC U19 72% · hit W
Paderborn U191–4Hertha BSC U1930 Aug · away
Pick: Paderborn U19 57% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Match report
Hallescher FC U19 and Hertha BSC U19 finished 3–1 in U19 Bundesliga on Wednesday 4 November 2026. It was 0–1 at half time. ScoreProb published its prediction on 29 Oct, 08:38 UTC, before kickoff: Hallescher FC U19 win 24.8%, draw 18.7%, Hertha BSC U19 win 56.5%. Two of the three picks hit.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.