ScoreProb
V.League 1 Vietnam Round 7 2027

Hoang Anh Gia Lai vs Ha Noi

Hoang Anh Gia Lai Home · Elo 1,456
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Ha Noi Away · Elo 1,580
Pleiku Stadium Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Ha Noi win
Hoang Anh Gia Lai win
31.7%
Draw
30.4%
Ha Noi winPick
37.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.6%
No47.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.1%
Under 2.546.9%

How much we know

Hoang Anh Gia Lai history44 matches
Ha Noi history42 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (37.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why Ha Noi are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Ha Noi are rated 124 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,580 against 1,456. On rating alone Ha Noi would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Ha Noi score far more

    1.07 goals a game over 44 matches for Hoang Anh Gia Lai, against 1.93 over 42 for Ha Noi.

  • Ha Noi concede fewer

    Hoang Anh Gia Lai concede 1.57 a game, Ha Noi 1.12.

  • Ha Noi games more often go over 2.5 goals

    55% of Hoang Anh Gia Lai matches, against 69% for Ha Noi. The model puts this match at 53% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 8 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hoang Anh Gia Lai
Ha Noi
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1456.5
ELO
1580.1
44
ELO · Matches
42
1456.5
Current Team ELO
1580.1
1580.1
Current Opponent ELO
1456.5
-123.6
Current ELO Difference
123.6
0.33
Expected score
0.67
44
History Matches
42
-0.05
Residual Mean
0.09
46.51
Overperformance
56.05
-0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
1.40
1.20
Goals for per game
1.60
1.80
Goals against per game
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.90
1.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.30
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
0.89
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.41
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.87
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.27
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.78
Overall performance9 signals
90
44
Matches
42
0.98
PPG
1.86
22.7%
Win rate
57.1%
29.5%
Draw rate
14.3%
47.7%
Loss rate
28.6%
70.5%
Over 1.5 rate
85.7%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
69.0%
29.5%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
22
1.19
PPG
1.50
28.6%
Win rate
45.5%
33.3%
Draw rate
13.6%
38.1%
Loss rate
40.9%
76.2%
Over 1.5 rate
77.3%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
59.1%
28.6%
Over 3.5 rate
31.8%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.70
21
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.07
Goals for per game
1.93
65.9%
Scoring rate
83.3%
54.5%
BTTS rate
59.5%
1.24
Goals for per game
1.68
71.4%
Scoring rate
77.3%
57.1%
BTTS rate
54.5%
44
History Matches
42
1.07
Goals Mean
1.93
1.01
Goals Std
1.32
65.9%
Scored 1+ rate
83.3%
29.5%
Scored 2+ rate
59.5%
9.1%
Scored 3+ rate
35.7%
1.24
Venue Goals Mean
1.68
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.57
Goals against per game
1.12
79.5%
Conceding rate
71.4%
1.43
Goals against per game
1.23
81.0%
Conceding rate
72.7%
44
History Matches
42
1.57
Conceded Mean
1.12
1.25
Conceded Std
0.96
45.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
31.0%
25.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
7.1%
1.43
Venue Conceded Mean
1.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
34.1%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
34.1%
Failed-to-score rate
16.7%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
27.3%
28.6%
Failed-to-score rate
22.7%
20.5%
Clean-sheet rate
28.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
44
History Matches
42
0.96
Result entropy
0.87
1.56
Goal Difference Std
1.75
4.43
Stability score
13.01
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
44
Eligible Matches
42
10
Lead Matches
23
40.0%
Lead Win Rate
82.6%
0.47
Lead Points Retention
0.86
15
Trailing Matches
9
26.7%
Non-loss rate
22.2%
6.7%
Trailing Win Rate
11.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
44
Halftime Coverage Matches
42
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.93
0.66
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.45
0.57
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
0.91
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
153.0
Rest days
153.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
24
Normal Rest History Matches
22
1.04
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.91
19
Long Rest History Matches
19
0.95
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.89
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.07
Portability PPG Std
0.18
0.13
Portability PPG Range
0.36
88.24
Portability Score
73.31
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
44
Clean History Matches
42
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-123.6
PPG-0.88
GF-0.86
GA0.45
PPG-0.31
PPG-0.60
PPG-0.80
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate17.4%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Failed-to-score rate5.8%
History Matches2
Goals Mean-0.86
Goals Std-0.31
Scored 1+ rate-0.17
Scored 2+ rate-0.30
Scored 3+ rate-0.27
Venue Goals Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.52
History Matches2
Conceded Mean0.45
Conceded Std0.29
Clean-sheet rate-0.08
Conceded 2+ rate14.5%
Conceded 3+ rate17.9%
Venue Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.03
History Matches2
Result entropy0.09
Goal Difference Std-0.19
Stability score-8.58
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.12
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.51
Eligible Matches2
Lead Matches-13
Lead Win Rate-0.43
Lead Points Retention-0.39
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate4.4%
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches2
First Half Goals For Mean-0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean0.21
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.24
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.12
Portability PPG Range-0.23
Portability Score14.93
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.87
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.95
Current Team ELO-123.6
Current Opponent ELO123.6
Current ELO Difference-247.2
Expected score-0.34
History Matches2
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-9.54
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.06

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hoang Anh Gia Lai

L
Bắc Ninh1–0Hoang Anh Gia Lai30 Oct · away
Pick: Bắc Ninh 40% · hit
L
Hoang Anh Gia Lai0–2Song Lam Nghe An23 Oct · home
Pick: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 38% · missed
L
Phu Dong4–3Hoang Anh Gia Lai18 Oct · away
Pick: Phu Dong 59% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Ha Noi

W
Ha Noi2–1Phu Dong30 Oct · home
Pick: Phu Dong 48% · missed
L
Da Nang1–0Ha Noi25 Oct · away
Pick: Da Nang 35% · hit
W
Công An Nhân Dân1–2Ha Noi18 Oct · away
Pick: Công An Nhân Dân 70% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Ha Noi meet in V.League 1 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. The match is played at Pleiku Stadium. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hoang Anh Gia Lai win 31.7%, draw 30.4%, Ha Noi win 37.9%. The pick is Ha Noi win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.1%. Both teams to score: 52.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.