ScoreProb
Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein Germany Schleswig-Holstein - 16 2026

Hohenwestedt vs Rotenhof

Hohenwestedt Home · Elo 1,456
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rotenhof Away · Elo 1,465
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hohenwestedt win
Hohenwestedt winPick
46.7%
Draw
18.7%
Rotenhof win
34.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes66.0%
No34.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.2%
Under 2.526.8%

How much we know

Hohenwestedt history47 matches
Rotenhof history44 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 13:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Hohenwestedt are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,456 against 1,465. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.70 goals a game over 47 matches for Hohenwestedt, against 1.73 over 44 for Rotenhof.

  • Hohenwestedt concede fewer

    Hohenwestedt concede 2.11 a game, Rotenhof 2.45.

  • Rotenhof games more often go over 2.5 goals

    66% of Hohenwestedt matches, against 89% for Rotenhof. The model puts this match at 73% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hohenwestedt
Rotenhof
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1456.2
ELO
1465.4
47
ELO · Matches
44
1456.2
Current Team ELO
1465.4
1465.4
Current Opponent ELO
1456.2
-9.25
Current ELO Difference
9.25
0.49
Expected score
0.51
47
History Matches
44
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.05
46.66
Overperformance
46.57
-0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.04
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.20
2.40
Goals for per game
2.20
2.80
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.30
1.90
Goals for per game
1.90
2.20
Goals against per game
2.50
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.14
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
2.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.47
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
1.42
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.01
Overall performance9 signals
90
47
Matches
44
1.19
PPG
1.07
31.9%
Win rate
27.3%
23.4%
Draw rate
25.0%
44.7%
Loss rate
47.7%
89.4%
Over 1.5 rate
97.7%
66.0%
Over 2.5 rate
88.6%
51.1%
Over 3.5 rate
68.2%
1.88
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.38
Venue performance10 signals
100
23
Matches
25
0.96
PPG
0.96
21.7%
Win rate
20.0%
30.4%
Draw rate
36.0%
47.8%
Loss rate
44.0%
91.3%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
69.6%
Over 2.5 rate
92.0%
56.5%
Over 3.5 rate
72.0%
1.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.42
23
History Matches
25
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.70
Goals for per game
1.73
89.4%
Scoring rate
86.4%
72.3%
BTTS rate
77.3%
1.48
Goals for per game
1.72
87.0%
Scoring rate
88.0%
73.9%
BTTS rate
84.0%
2.40
Goals for per game
2.20
100.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
47
History Matches
44
1.70
Goals Mean
1.73
1.18
Goals Std
1.16
89.4%
Scored 1+ rate
86.4%
46.8%
Scored 2+ rate
54.5%
21.3%
Scored 3+ rate
20.5%
1.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.72
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.11
Goals against per game
2.45
83.0%
Conceding rate
90.9%
2.30
Goals against per game
2.68
87.0%
Conceding rate
96.0%
2.80
Goals against per game
2.60
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
47
History Matches
44
2.11
Conceded Mean
2.45
1.52
Conceded Std
1.68
59.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
70.5%
38.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
45.5%
2.30
Venue Conceded Mean
2.68
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
10.6%
Failed-to-score rate
13.6%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
4.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.0%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
10.6%
Failed-to-score rate
13.6%
13.0%
Clean-sheet rate
4.0%
13.0%
Failed-to-score rate
12.0%
17.0%
Clean-sheet rate
9.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
47
History Matches
44
0.97
Result entropy
0.96
1.88
Goal Difference Std
2.38
3.12
Stability score
4.07
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
43
16
Lead Matches
14
68.8%
Lead Win Rate
64.3%
0.73
Lead Points Retention
0.74
20
Trailing Matches
21
35.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
5.0%
Trailing Win Rate
4.8%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
43
0.83
First Half Goals For Mean
0.70
1.02
First Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
0.87
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.05
1.09
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.37
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
3
2.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
28
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.04
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.92
15
Long Rest History Matches
16
1.20
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.31
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
1.20
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
40.0%
Draw rate
60.0%
40.0%
Loss rate
20.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 3.5 rate
100.0%
1.02
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.36
5
Current Competition Matches
5
1.00
Current Competition PPG
1.20
-0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.40
3
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.33
Portability PPG Std
0.19
0.69
Portability PPG Range
0.42
60.51
Portability Score
72.16
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
47
Clean History Matches
44
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-9.25
PPG0.12
GF-0.03
GA-0.35
PPG-0.20
PPG0.00
PPG-0.20
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate7.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate9.0%
Failed-to-score rate1.0%
History Matches3
Goals Mean-0.03
Goals Std0.03
Scored 1+ rate3.0%
Scored 2+ rate-0.08
Scored 3+ rate0.8%
Venue Goals Mean-0.24
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.19
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.35
Conceded Std-0.17
Clean-sheet rate7.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate-0.07
Venue Conceded Mean-0.38
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches3
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.50
Stability score-0.95
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.59
Eligible Matches4
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate4.5%
Lead Points Retention-0.01
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate1.7%
Trailing Win Rate0.2%
Halftime Coverage Matches4
First Half Goals For Mean0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean0.02
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.29
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.20
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.00
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.13
Portability PPG Range0.27
Portability Score-11.66
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match1.00
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.12
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.11
Current Team ELO-9.25
Current Opponent ELO9.25
Current ELO Difference-18.50
Expected score-0.03
History Matches3
Residual Mean0.00
Overperformance0.10
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.10

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hohenwestedt

L
Hohenwestedt0–1TSB Flensburg31 Oct · home
Pick: Hohenwestedt 41% · missed
W
Oldenburger SV4–5Hohenwestedt24 Oct · away
Pick: Oldenburger SV 45% · missed
L
VfR Neumünster3–2Hohenwestedt18 Oct · away
Pick: VfR Neumünster 61% · hit
D
Hohenwestedt2–2Phönix L. II29 Aug · home
Pick: Hohenwestedt 44% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Rotenhof

W
VfR Neumünster1–2Rotenhof1 Nov · away
Pick: VfR Neumünster 67% · missed
D
Rotenhof2–2Kaltenkirchen24 Oct · home
Pick: Rotenhof 39% · missed
L
Holstein Kiel II5–0Rotenhof18 Oct · away
Pick: Holstein Kiel II 80% · hit
L
Rotenhof0–2SV Eichede29 Aug · home
Pick: Rotenhof 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Hohenwestedt and Rotenhof meet in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 13:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Hohenwestedt win 46.7%, draw 18.7%, Rotenhof win 34.5%. The pick is Hohenwestedt win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.2%. Both teams to score: 66.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.