ScoreProb
3. liga - MSFL Czechia MSFL - 15 2026

Hranice vs Zbrojovka Brno II

Hranice Home · Elo 1,454
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Zbrojovka Brno II Away · Elo 1,586
Stadion SK Hranice Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Hranice win
Hranice winPick
53.9%
Draw
16.7%
Zbrojovka Brno II win
29.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes59.4%
No40.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.566.6%
Under 2.533.4%

How much we know

Hranice history60 matches
Zbrojovka Brno II history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (53.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Hranice are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Zbrojovka Brno II are rated 131 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,586 against 1,454. On rating alone Zbrojovka Brno II would be expected to take 68% of the points on offer.

  • Zbrojovka Brno II score more

    1.47 goals a game over 60 matches for Hranice, against 1.95 over 66 for Zbrojovka Brno II.

  • Defences are close

    Hranice concede 1.62 a game, Zbrojovka Brno II 1.56.

  • Zbrojovka Brno II games more often go over 2.5 goals

    62% of Hranice matches, against 73% for Zbrojovka Brno II. The model puts this match at 67% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Hranice
Zbrojovka Brno II
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1454.5
ELO
1585.9
60
ELO · Matches
66
1454.5
Current Team ELO
1585.9
1585.9
Current Opponent ELO
1454.5
-131.4
Current ELO Difference
131.4
0.32
Expected score
0.68
60
History Matches
66
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.06
47.49
Overperformance
54.94
-0.04
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.03
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.80
PPG
2.00
1.60
Goals for per game
2.20
1.00
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
1.60
1.40
Goals for per game
1.90
1.40
Goals against per game
2.60
20.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.85
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.60
1.28
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.29
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
2.61
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.69
Overall performance9 signals
90
60
Matches
66
1.22
PPG
1.67
33.3%
Win rate
50.0%
21.7%
Draw rate
16.7%
45.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
61.7%
Over 2.5 rate
72.7%
45.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.9%
2.19
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
Venue performance10 signals
100
31
Matches
33
1.16
PPG
1.18
32.3%
Win rate
33.3%
19.4%
Draw rate
18.2%
48.4%
Loss rate
48.5%
83.9%
Over 1.5 rate
78.8%
64.5%
Over 2.5 rate
69.7%
51.6%
Over 3.5 rate
45.5%
2.58
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.03
31
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.47
Goals for per game
1.95
68.3%
Scoring rate
84.8%
51.7%
BTTS rate
68.2%
1.52
Goals for per game
1.70
64.5%
Scoring rate
75.8%
48.4%
BTTS rate
69.7%
1.50
Goals for per game
2.00
25.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
100.0%
60
History Matches
66
1.47
Goals Mean
1.95
1.43
Goals Std
1.32
68.3%
Scored 1+ rate
84.8%
41.7%
Scored 2+ rate
60.6%
23.3%
Scored 3+ rate
33.3%
1.52
Venue Goals Mean
1.70
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.62
Goals against per game
1.56
80.0%
Conceding rate
80.3%
1.81
Goals against per game
1.91
77.4%
Conceding rate
87.9%
0.75
Goals against per game
3.00
75.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
60
History Matches
66
1.62
Conceded Mean
1.56
1.27
Conceded Std
1.54
48.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
34.8%
21.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
18.2%
1.81
Venue Conceded Mean
1.91
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.7%
31.7%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.1%
35.5%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
75.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.7%
31.7%
Failed-to-score rate
15.2%
22.6%
Clean-sheet rate
12.1%
35.5%
Failed-to-score rate
24.2%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
19.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
60
History Matches
66
0.96
Result entropy
0.92
2.19
Goal Difference Std
2.05
3.80
Stability score
7.94
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
60
Eligible Matches
64
17
Lead Matches
29
82.4%
Lead Win Rate
86.2%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
0.91
19
Trailing Matches
17
15.8%
Non-loss rate
29.4%
5.3%
Trailing Win Rate
5.9%
Goal timing5 signals
50
60
Halftime Coverage Matches
64
0.63
First Half Goals For Mean
0.92
0.67
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.64
0.83
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.02
0.95
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.95
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.96
Rest days
75.32
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
4
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.25
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.33
32
Normal Rest History Matches
38
1.19
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.45
23
Long Rest History Matches
24
1.43
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.25
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
0.75
PPG
1.75
25.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
25.0%
75.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
25.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
100.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
3.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.92
4
Current Competition Matches
4
0.75
Current Competition PPG
1.75
0.75
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
6
Competition Season Count
5
5
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.47
Portability PPG Std
0.19
1.18
Portability PPG Range
0.53
51.39
Portability Score
71.96
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
60
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-131.4
PPG-0.45
GF-0.49
GA0.06
PPG-1.00
PPG-0.02
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate0.3%
Failed-to-score rate16.5%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate10.5%
Failed-to-score rate11.2%
History Matches-6
Goals Mean-0.49
Goals Std0.11
Scored 1+ rate-0.17
Scored 2+ rate-0.19
Scored 3+ rate-0.10
Venue Goals Mean-0.18
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.91
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.06
Conceded Std-0.27
Clean-sheet rate0.3%
Conceded 2+ rate13.5%
Conceded 3+ rate3.5%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-1.01
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.04
Goal Difference Std0.14
Stability score-4.14
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.08
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.08
Eligible Matches-4
Lead Matches-12
Lead Win Rate-0.04
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.14
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-4
First Half Goals For Mean-0.29
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.18
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.00
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.75
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.28
Portability PPG Range0.65
Portability Score-20.58
Rest days1.64
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Normal Rest History Matches-6
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.26
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.82
Current Team ELO-131.4
Current Opponent ELO131.4
Current ELO Difference-262.8
Expected score-0.36
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.10
Overperformance-7.45
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.01

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Hranice

L
Sigma Olomouc II5–1Hranice31 Oct · away
Pick: Sigma Olomouc II 61% · hit
L
Karviná II2–0Hranice25 Oct · away
Pick: Karviná II 45% · hit
W
Hranice2–1Vítkovice16 Oct · home
Pick: Hranice 49% · hit
W
Polanka nad Odrou0–1Hranice30 Aug · away
Pick: Hranice 41% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Zbrojovka Brno II

L
Zbrojovka Brno II1–3Karviná II1 Nov · home
Pick: Karviná II 43% · hit
L
Vítkovice4–2Zbrojovka Brno II24 Oct · away
Pick: Vítkovice 48% · hit
W
Zbrojovka Brno II4–2Zlín II18 Oct · home
Pick: Zlín II 43% · missed
D
Líšeň II1–1Zbrojovka Brno II13 Oct · away
Pick: Líšeň II 61% · missed
D
Zbrojovka Brno II1–1Blansko4 Oct · home
Pick: Zbrojovka Brno II 59% · missed

About this match

Hranice and Zbrojovka Brno II meet in 3. liga - MSFL on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadion SK Hranice. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Hranice win 53.9%, draw 16.7%, Zbrojovka Brno II win 29.4%. The pick is Hranice win. Over 2.5 goals: 66.6%. Both teams to score: 59.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.