ScoreProb
3. liga - MSFL Czechia MSFL - 15 2026

Líšeň II vs Uničov

Líšeň II Home · Elo 1,655
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Uničov Away · Elo 1,606
Stadium SK Lisen, Brno Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Líšeň II win
Líšeň II winPick
50.2%
Draw
24.3%
Uničov win
25.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.6%
No47.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.6%
Under 2.541.4%

How much we know

Líšeň II history51 matches
Uničov history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 16:30 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (50.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Líšeň II are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Líšeň II are rated 48 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,655 against 1,606. On rating alone Líšeň II would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.

  • Líšeň II score more

    2.41 goals a game over 51 matches for Líšeň II, against 1.65 over 66 for Uničov.

  • Líšeň II concede fewer

    Líšeň II concede 0.88 a game, Uničov 1.21.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Líšeň II matches, against 55% for Uničov. The model puts this match at 59% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Líšeň II
Uničov
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1654.6
ELO
1606.4
51
ELO · Matches
66
1654.6
Current Team ELO
1606.4
1606.4
Current Opponent ELO
1654.6
48.20
Current ELO Difference
-48.20
0.57
Expected score
0.43
51
History Matches
66
0.15
Residual Mean
0.08
60.83
Overperformance
55.94
0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.60
PPG
1.80
2.20
Goals for per game
1.20
0.20
Goals against per game
1.20
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
2.60
PPG
1.90
2.80
Goals for per game
1.60
0.40
Goals against per game
1.40
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
2.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
2.09
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.40
0.49
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.80
0.46
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.80
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.33
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
66
2.10
PPG
1.82
62.7%
Win rate
51.5%
21.6%
Draw rate
27.3%
15.7%
Loss rate
21.2%
78.4%
Over 1.5 rate
78.8%
58.8%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
45.1%
Over 3.5 rate
27.3%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.58
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
33
2.15
PPG
2.03
65.4%
Win rate
60.6%
19.2%
Draw rate
21.2%
15.4%
Loss rate
18.2%
88.5%
Over 1.5 rate
75.8%
61.5%
Over 2.5 rate
51.5%
46.2%
Over 3.5 rate
21.2%
2.29
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
26
History Matches
33
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.41
Goals for per game
1.65
80.4%
Scoring rate
78.8%
51.0%
BTTS rate
57.6%
2.62
Goals for per game
1.64
88.5%
Scoring rate
78.8%
53.8%
BTTS rate
45.5%
1.25
Goals for per game
1.75
75.0%
Scoring rate
100.0%
0.0%
BTTS rate
75.0%
51
History Matches
66
2.41
Goals Mean
1.65
1.94
Goals Std
1.35
80.4%
Scored 1+ rate
78.8%
58.8%
Scored 2+ rate
48.5%
41.2%
Scored 3+ rate
22.7%
2.62
Venue Goals Mean
1.64
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
0.88
Goals against per game
1.21
60.8%
Conceding rate
69.7%
0.85
Goals against per game
0.94
61.5%
Conceding rate
57.6%
0.00
Goals against per game
1.25
0.0%
Conceding rate
75.0%
51
History Matches
66
0.88
Conceded Mean
1.21
1.00
Conceded Std
1.09
15.7%
Conceded 2+ rate
36.4%
5.9%
Conceded 3+ rate
10.6%
0.85
Venue Conceded Mean
0.94
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
39.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
42.4%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
100.0%
Clean-sheet rate
25.0%
25.0%
Failed-to-score rate
0.0%
39.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
38.5%
Clean-sheet rate
42.4%
11.5%
Failed-to-score rate
21.2%
39.2%
Clean-sheet rate
30.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
66
0.83
Result entropy
0.93
2.23
Goal Difference Std
1.58
16.82
Stability score
6.70
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
51
Eligible Matches
65
27
Lead Matches
19
96.3%
Lead Win Rate
94.7%
0.98
Lead Points Retention
0.96
9
Trailing Matches
17
44.4%
Non-loss rate
41.2%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
17.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
51
Halftime Coverage Matches
65
1.27
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.51
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.62
1.14
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.97
0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.60
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.04
Rest days
73.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
24
Normal Rest History Matches
45
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.82
26
Long Rest History Matches
18
2.15
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.89
Competition & season17 signals
170
4
Matches
4
2.50
PPG
2.25
75.0%
Win rate
75.0%
25.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
25.0%
25.0%
Over 1.5 rate
75.0%
25.0%
Over 2.5 rate
75.0%
0.0%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.87
4
Current Competition Matches
4
2.50
Current Competition PPG
2.25
1.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.50
4
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
0.37
Portability PPG Std
0.28
0.97
Portability PPG Range
0.75
57.40
Portability Score
64.35
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO48.20
PPG0.28
GF0.76
GA-0.33
PPG0.25
PPG0.12
PPG0.80
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate8.9%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-7
Clean-sheet rate-0.04
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches-15
Goals Mean0.76
Goals Std0.59
Scored 1+ rate1.6%
Scored 2+ rate10.3%
Scored 3+ rate18.4%
Venue Goals Mean0.98
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std1.17
History Matches-15
Conceded Mean-0.33
Conceded Std-0.09
Clean-sheet rate8.9%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.21
Conceded 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Conceded Mean-0.09
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.31
History Matches-15
Result entropy-0.10
Goal Difference Std0.66
Stability score10.11
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.47
Eligible Matches-14
Lead Matches8
Lead Win Rate1.6%
Lead Points Retention0.01
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate3.3%
Trailing Win Rate-0.07
Halftime Coverage Matches-14
First Half Goals For Mean0.61
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Second Half Goals For Mean0.17
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.23
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean0.75
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.09
Portability PPG Range0.22
Portability Score-6.96
Rest days2.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-21
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.18
Long Rest History Matches8
Long Rest Points Per Match0.26
Current Team ELO48.20
Current Opponent ELO-48.20
Current ELO Difference96.41
Expected score0.14
History Matches-15
Residual Mean0.07
Overperformance4.88
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.22

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Líšeň II

L
Frýdek-Místek3–0Líšeň II31 Oct · away
Pick: Frýdek-Místek 39% · hit
L
Líšeň II1–2Unie Hlubina25 Oct · home
Pick: Unie Hlubina 45% · hit
W
Vsetín0–1Líšeň II17 Oct · away
Pick: Líšeň II 64% · hit
D
Líšeň II1–1Zbrojovka Brno II13 Oct · home
Pick: Líšeň II 61% · missed
W
Blansko0–4Líšeň II29 Aug · away
Pick: Líšeň II 69% · hit

Uničov

L
Uničov1–3Blansko1 Nov · home
Pick: Uničov 70% · missed
W
Slovácko II1–2Uničov25 Oct · away
Pick: Slovácko II 44% · missed
W
Uničov3–2Hodonín18 Oct · home
Pick: Uničov 50% · hit
W
Uničov3–1Polanka nad Odrou4 Oct · home
Pick: Uničov 56% · hit
W
Uničov3–0Unie Hlubina30 Aug · home
Pick: Unie Hlubina 45% · missed

About this match

Líšeň II and Uničov meet in 3. liga - MSFL on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 16:30 UTC. The match is played at Stadium SK Lisen, Brno. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Líšeň II win 50.2%, draw 24.3%, Uničov win 25.5%. The pick is Líšeň II win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.6%. Both teams to score: 52.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.