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Primera Division El Salvador Round 21 2026

Inter vs Cacahuatique

Inter Home · Elo 1,543
Sat 14 Nov
UTC
Not started
Cacahuatique Away · Elo 1,481
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Inter win
Inter winPick
44.0%
Draw
26.6%
Cacahuatique win
29.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes52.6%
No47.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.551.9%
Under 2.548.1%

How much we know

Inter history52 matches
Cacahuatique history80 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 14 h ahead
    8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
  2. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    14 Nov · 23:00 UTC
  3. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  4. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (44.0%). Picks in that band won 45.3% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,860 matches.

Why Inter are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Inter are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,543 against 1,481. On rating alone Inter would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.17 goals a game over 52 matches for Inter, against 1.09 over 80 for Cacahuatique.

  • Defences are close

    Inter concede 1.29 a game, Cacahuatique 1.36.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    50% of Inter matches, against 49% for Cacahuatique. The model puts this match at 52% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Inter
Cacahuatique@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1542.7
ELO
1481.1
52
ELO · Matches
80
1542.7
Current Team ELO
1481.1
1481.1
Current Opponent ELO
1542.7
61.53
Current ELO Difference
-61.53
0.59
Expected score
0.41
52
History Matches
80
0.04
Residual Mean
-0.01
53.04
Overperformance
49.51
0.16
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.11
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.20
PPG
1.20
1.80
Goals for per game
1.40
0.60
Goals against per game
1.40
60.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.80
PPG
1.20
1.30
Goals for per game
1.40
0.90
Goals against per game
1.50
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
1.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
1.27
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.28
0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.50
0.83
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.28
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.14
Overall performance9 signals
90
52
Matches
80
1.29
PPG
1.18
30.8%
Win rate
27.5%
36.5%
Draw rate
35.0%
32.7%
Loss rate
37.5%
73.1%
Over 1.5 rate
72.5%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
48.8%
30.8%
Over 3.5 rate
25.0%
1.56
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
Venue performance10 signals
100
26
Matches
38
1.54
PPG
1.61
38.5%
Win rate
44.7%
38.5%
Draw rate
26.3%
23.1%
Loss rate
28.9%
76.9%
Over 1.5 rate
71.1%
42.3%
Over 2.5 rate
52.6%
19.2%
Over 3.5 rate
18.4%
1.37
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
26
History Matches
38
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.17
Goals for per game
1.09
65.4%
Scoring rate
67.5%
50.0%
BTTS rate
55.0%
1.27
Goals for per game
1.24
73.1%
Scoring rate
73.7%
53.8%
BTTS rate
55.3%
1.50
Goals for per game
1.50
66.7%
Scoring rate
66.7%
33.3%
BTTS rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
80
1.17
Goals Mean
1.09
1.05
Goals Std
1.06
65.4%
Scored 1+ rate
67.5%
40.4%
Scored 2+ rate
27.5%
9.6%
Scored 3+ rate
8.8%
1.27
Venue Goals Mean
1.24
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.29
Goals against per game
1.36
69.2%
Conceding rate
71.3%
1.04
Goals against per game
1.18
69.2%
Conceding rate
68.4%
0.50
Goals against per game
1.83
33.3%
Conceding rate
66.7%
52
History Matches
80
1.29
Conceded Mean
1.36
1.13
Conceded Std
1.23
42.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
40.0%
13.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
16.3%
1.04
Venue Conceded Mean
1.18
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
28.8%
34.6%
Failed-to-score rate
32.5%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
66.7%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
28.8%
34.6%
Failed-to-score rate
32.5%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
31.6%
26.9%
Failed-to-score rate
26.3%
30.8%
Clean-sheet rate
28.8%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
52
History Matches
80
1.00
Result entropy
0.99
1.56
Goal Difference Std
1.63
0.23
Stability score
0.76
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
52
Eligible Matches
79
12
Lead Matches
21
58.3%
Lead Win Rate
52.4%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.59
13
Trailing Matches
22
38.5%
Non-loss rate
36.4%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
13.6%
Goal timing5 signals
50
52
Halftime Coverage Matches
79
0.50
First Half Goals For Mean
0.53
0.60
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.57
0.69
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
84.92
Rest days
84.08
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
11
Short Rest History Matches
8
1.55
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.63
28
Normal Rest History Matches
57
1.39
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.12
12
Long Rest History Matches
14
0.83
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
6
Matches
6
2.00
PPG
1.00
50.0%
Win rate
16.7%
50.0%
Draw rate
50.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
1.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.37
6
Current Competition Matches
6
2.00
Current Competition PPG
1.00
1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.42
Portability PPG Std
0.15
0.84
Portability PPG Range
0.40
54.32
Portability Score
77.50
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
52
Clean History Matches
80
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO61.53
PPG0.11
GF0.09
GA-0.07
PPG1.00
PPG-0.07
PPG1.00
PPG0.60
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-28
Clean-sheet rate2.0%
Failed-to-score rate2.1%
History Matches-12
Clean-sheet rate-0.01
Failed-to-score rate0.6%
History Matches-28
Goals Mean0.09
Goals Std-0.01
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate12.9%
Scored 3+ rate0.9%
Venue Goals Mean0.03
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.01
History Matches-28
Conceded Mean-0.07
Conceded Std-0.09
Clean-sheet rate2.0%
Conceded 2+ rate2.3%
Conceded 3+ rate-0.03
Venue Conceded Mean-0.15
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.45
History Matches-28
Result entropy0.01
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score-0.53
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.07
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.36
Eligible Matches-27
Lead Matches-9
Lead Win Rate6.0%
Lead Points Retention0.08
Trailing Matches-9
Non-loss rate2.1%
Trailing Win Rate-0.14
Halftime Coverage Matches-27
First Half Goals For Mean-0.03
First Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Second Half Goals For Mean0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.11
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std0.28
Portability PPG Range0.44
Portability Score-23.18
Rest days0.83
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.08
Normal Rest History Matches-29
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.27
Long Rest History Matches-2
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.17
Current Team ELO61.53
Current Opponent ELO-61.53
Current ELO Difference123.1
Expected score0.18
History Matches-28
Residual Mean0.05
Overperformance3.53
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Inter

D
Inter0–0Platense31 Oct · home
Pick: Inter 43% · missed
W
Inca Aruba0–2Inter24 Oct · away
Pick: Inter 71% · hit
L
Inter1–2Municipal Limeño17 Oct · home
Pick: Inter 47% · missed
D
Inter1–1Fuerte San Francisco4 Oct · home
Pick: Inter 55% · missed
W
Platense0–3Inter29 Aug · away
Pick: Platense 42% · missed

Cacahuatique

W
Platense0–2Cacahuatique7 Nov · away
Pick: Platense 44% · missed
W
Cacahuatique1–0Inca Aruba31 Oct · home
Pick: Cacahuatique 68% · hit
D
Municipal Limeño3–3Cacahuatique25 Oct · away
Pick: Municipal Limeño 45% · missed
D
Cacahuatique0–0Alianza17 Oct · home
Pick: Cacahuatique 34% · missed
D
Inca Aruba1–1Cacahuatique29 Aug · away
Pick: Cacahuatique 51% · missed

About this match

Inter and Cacahuatique meet in Primera Division on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 23:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: Inter win 44.0%, draw 26.6%, Cacahuatique win 29.4%. The pick is Inter win. Over 2.5 goals: 51.9%. Both teams to score: 52.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.