ScoreProb
Liga 1 Indonesia Round 9 2026

Java United vs Persib Bandung

Java United Home · Elo 1,535
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Persib Bandung Away · Elo 1,706
Gelora Kie Raha Stadium, Ternate Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Persib Bandung win
Java United win
28.2%
Draw
22.8%
Persib Bandung winPick
49.0%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes57.3%
No42.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.558.2%
Under 2.541.8%

How much we know

Java United history48 matches
Persib Bandung history66 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 12:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (49.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Persib Bandung are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Persib Bandung are rated 172 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,706 against 1,535. On rating alone Persib Bandung would be expected to take 73% of the points on offer.

  • Java United score more

    1.94 goals a game over 48 matches for Java United, against 1.70 over 66 for Persib Bandung.

  • Persib Bandung concede fewer

    Java United concede 1.35 a game, Persib Bandung 0.85.

  • Java United games more often go over 2.5 goals

    58% of Java United matches, against 45% for Persib Bandung. The model puts this match at 58% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 19 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Java United
Persib Bandung
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1534.7
ELO
1706.3
48
ELO · Matches
66
1534.7
Current Team ELO
1706.3
1706.3
Current Opponent ELO
1534.7
-171.6
Current ELO Difference
171.6
0.27
Expected score
0.73
48
History Matches
66
0.03
Residual Mean
0.16
52.37
Overperformance
62.36
-0.23
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.19
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.60
2.80
Goals for per game
2.00
2.40
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
2.60
2.00
Goals for per game
1.60
2.40
Goals against per game
0.60
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
2.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.60
2.19
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.92
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.60
1.85
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.66
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
3.32
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.77
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
66
1.71
PPG
2.18
47.9%
Win rate
65.2%
27.1%
Draw rate
22.7%
25.0%
Loss rate
12.1%
85.4%
Over 1.5 rate
69.7%
58.3%
Over 2.5 rate
45.5%
37.5%
Over 3.5 rate
25.8%
2.13
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.42
Venue performance10 signals
100
24
Matches
30
1.96
PPG
1.77
58.3%
Win rate
50.0%
20.8%
Draw rate
26.7%
20.8%
Loss rate
23.3%
87.5%
Over 1.5 rate
83.3%
62.5%
Over 2.5 rate
63.3%
41.7%
Over 3.5 rate
36.7%
1.87
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.59
24
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.94
Goals for per game
1.70
87.5%
Scoring rate
89.4%
66.7%
BTTS rate
47.0%
2.33
Goals for per game
1.77
91.7%
Scoring rate
90.0%
62.5%
BTTS rate
63.3%
48
History Matches
66
1.94
Goals Mean
1.70
1.59
Goals Std
1.11
87.5%
Scored 1+ rate
89.4%
47.9%
Scored 2+ rate
50.0%
29.2%
Scored 3+ rate
21.2%
2.33
Venue Goals Mean
1.77
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.35
Goals against per game
0.85
75.0%
Conceding rate
53.0%
1.25
Goals against per game
1.30
70.8%
Conceding rate
73.3%
48
History Matches
66
1.35
Conceded Mean
0.85
1.28
Conceded Std
0.96
37.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.8%
12.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
4.5%
1.25
Venue Conceded Mean
1.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
47.0%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
10.6%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
10.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
47.0%
12.5%
Failed-to-score rate
10.6%
29.2%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
8.3%
Failed-to-score rate
10.0%
25.0%
Clean-sheet rate
47.0%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
66
0.96
Result entropy
0.79
2.13
Goal Difference Std
1.42
4.16
Stability score
20.66
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
66
18
Lead Matches
29
77.8%
Lead Win Rate
96.6%
0.85
Lead Points Retention
0.98
11
Trailing Matches
13
27.3%
Non-loss rate
69.2%
9.1%
Trailing Win Rate
38.5%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
66
0.85
First Half Goals For Mean
0.64
0.58
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.35
1.08
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.06
0.77
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
169.1
Rest days
81.98
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
5
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.20
26
Normal Rest History Matches
42
1.58
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.10
21
Long Rest History Matches
18
1.90
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
6
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.26
Portability PPG Std
0.27
0.51
Portability PPG Range
0.74
66.11
Portability Score
64.66
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
66
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-171.6
PPG-0.47
GF0.24
GA0.51
PPG0.19
PPG-1.20
PPG-1.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-18
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Failed-to-score rate1.9%
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate2.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-18
Goals Mean0.24
Goals Std0.47
Scored 1+ rate-0.02
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate8.0%
Venue Goals Mean0.57
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std1.27
History Matches-18
Conceded Mean0.51
Conceded Std0.33
Clean-sheet rate-0.22
Conceded 2+ rate11.7%
Conceded 3+ rate8.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.05
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.19
History Matches-18
Result entropy0.16
Goal Difference Std0.71
Stability score-16.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.48
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std2.55
Eligible Matches-18
Lead Matches-11
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.13
Trailing Matches-2
Non-loss rate-0.42
Trailing Win Rate-0.29
Halftime Coverage Matches-18
First Half Goals For Mean0.22
First Half Goals Against Mean0.23
Second Half Goals For Mean0.02
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.27
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.02
Portability PPG Range-0.23
Portability Score1.45
Rest days87.15
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest History Matches-16
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.52
Long Rest History Matches3
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.43
Current Team ELO-171.6
Current Opponent ELO171.6
Current ELO Difference-343.1
Expected score-0.46
History Matches-18
Residual Mean-0.13
Overperformance-9.98
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.43

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Java United

W
Java United2–0Bhayangkara FC30 Oct · home
Pick: Java United 55% · hit
D
Persijap1–1Java United24 Oct · away
Pick: Java United 42% · missed
D
Isenmulang Kalteng1–1Java United20 Oct · away
Pick: Java United 39% · missed
W
Java United3–2Bali United16 Oct · home
Pick: Bali United 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Persib Bandung

W
Persib Bandung4–0Isenmulang Kalteng1 Nov · home
Pick: Persib Bandung 66% · hit
W
Persib Bandung2–0Melbourne Victory28 Oct · home
Pick: Persib Bandung 62% · hit
W
Garudayaksa1–2Persib Bandung25 Oct · away
Pick: Persib Bandung 48% · hit
L
Persepam Madura Utd1–0Persib Bandung22 Oct · away
Pick: Persib Bandung 51% · missed
W
Persib Bandung1–0Persik Kediri18 Oct · home
Pick: Persib Bandung 69% · hit

About this match

Java United and Persib Bandung meet in Liga 1 on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 12:00 UTC. The match is played at Gelora Kie Raha Stadium, Ternate. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Java United win 28.2%, draw 22.8%, Persib Bandung win 49.0%. The pick is Persib Bandung win. Over 2.5 goals: 58.2%. Both teams to score: 57.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.