ScoreProb
Pro League A Uzbekistan Round 26 2026

Jayxun vs Olimpik-Mobiuz

Jayxun Home · Elo 1,432
Mon 9 Nov
UTC
Not started
Olimpik-Mobiuz Away · Elo 1,551
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 3 Nov, 08:36 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Olimpik-Mobiuz win
Jayxun win
31.0%
Draw
21.4%
Olimpik-Mobiuz winPick
47.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.9%
No48.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%

How much we know

Jayxun history36 matches
Olimpik-Mobiuz history35 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 0 h ahead
    3 Nov · 08:36 UTC
  2. Re-published 4 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 08:08 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    9 Nov · 09:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (47.6%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Olimpik-Mobiuz are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Olimpik-Mobiuz are rated 119 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,551 against 1,432. On rating alone Olimpik-Mobiuz would be expected to take 67% of the points on offer.

  • Olimpik-Mobiuz score far more

    1.06 goals a game over 36 matches for Jayxun, against 1.77 over 35 for Olimpik-Mobiuz.

  • Olimpik-Mobiuz concede fewer

    Jayxun concede 1.94 a game, Olimpik-Mobiuz 1.00.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    64% of Jayxun matches, against 60% for Olimpik-Mobiuz. The model puts this match at 57% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jayxun
Olimpik-Mobiuz
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1432.0
ELO
1551.5
36
ELO · Matches
35
1432.0
Current Team ELO
1551.5
1551.5
Current Opponent ELO
1432.0
-119.5
Current ELO Difference
119.5
0.33
Expected score
0.67
36
History Matches
35
-0.09
Residual Mean
0.06
44.39
Overperformance
54.07
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.09
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.60
2.00
Goals for per game
2.00
1.20
Goals against per game
0.40
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.40
PPG
1.80
1.60
Goals for per game
2.00
1.30
Goals against per game
0.90
40.0%
Win rate
50.0%
1.60
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.00
1.43
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.79
1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
1.19
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.94
0.96
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.90
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.87
Overall performance9 signals
90
36
Matches
35
0.92
PPG
1.74
25.0%
Win rate
51.4%
16.7%
Draw rate
20.0%
58.3%
Loss rate
28.6%
80.6%
Over 1.5 rate
71.4%
63.9%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
36.1%
Over 3.5 rate
31.4%
2.12
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.71
Venue performance10 signals
100
19
Matches
19
1.21
PPG
1.53
31.6%
Win rate
47.4%
26.3%
Draw rate
10.5%
42.1%
Loss rate
42.1%
73.7%
Over 1.5 rate
63.2%
47.4%
Over 2.5 rate
52.6%
31.6%
Over 3.5 rate
31.6%
1.77
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
19
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.06
Goals for per game
1.77
58.3%
Scoring rate
85.7%
50.0%
BTTS rate
57.1%
1.32
Goals for per game
1.63
68.4%
Scoring rate
89.5%
57.9%
BTTS rate
63.2%
1.19
Goals for per game
1.87
56.3%
Scoring rate
73.3%
43.8%
BTTS rate
60.0%
36
History Matches
35
1.06
Goals Mean
1.77
1.20
Goals Std
1.37
58.3%
Scored 1+ rate
85.7%
27.8%
Scored 2+ rate
48.6%
13.9%
Scored 3+ rate
22.9%
1.32
Venue Goals Mean
1.63
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.94
Goals against per game
1.00
80.6%
Conceding rate
62.9%
1.42
Goals against per game
1.21
73.7%
Conceding rate
73.7%
1.44
Goals against per game
1.00
68.8%
Conceding rate
73.3%
36
History Matches
35
1.94
Conceded Mean
1.00
1.54
Conceded Std
0.99
55.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
25.7%
27.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.4%
1.42
Venue Conceded Mean
1.21
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
37.1%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
10.5%
31.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.7%
43.8%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
37.1%
41.7%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
26.3%
Clean-sheet rate
26.3%
31.6%
Failed-to-score rate
10.5%
19.4%
Clean-sheet rate
37.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
36
History Matches
35
0.87
Result entropy
0.93
2.12
Goal Difference Std
1.71
12.65
Stability score
6.99
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
36
Eligible Matches
35
5
Lead Matches
11
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
1.00
18
Trailing Matches
10
11.1%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
5.6%
Trailing Win Rate
10.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
36
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
0.39
First Half Goals For Mean
0.69
1.03
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
0.67
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.09
0.92
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.49
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
75.85
Rest days
86.79
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
0
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
16
Normal Rest History Matches
16
1.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.13
18
Long Rest History Matches
18
0.94
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.44
Competition & season17 signals
170
16
Matches
15
1.13
PPG
1.67
31.3%
Win rate
46.7%
18.8%
Draw rate
26.7%
50.0%
Loss rate
26.7%
81.3%
Over 1.5 rate
66.7%
56.3%
Over 2.5 rate
60.0%
25.0%
Over 3.5 rate
33.3%
2.14
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.78
16
Current Competition Matches
15
1.13
Current Competition PPG
1.67
-0.25
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.87
2
Competition Season Count
3
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.19
Portability PPG Std
0.11
0.38
Portability PPG Range
0.23
72.73
Portability Score
81.43
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
36
Clean History Matches
35
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-119.5
PPG-0.83
GF-0.72
GA0.94
PPG-0.54
PPG-0.32
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate27.4%
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate0.0%
Failed-to-score rate21.1%
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.72
Goals Std-0.17
Scored 1+ rate-0.27
Scored 2+ rate-0.21
Scored 3+ rate-0.09
Venue Goals Mean-0.32
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.40
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.36
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.94
Conceded Std0.56
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate29.8%
Conceded 3+ rate16.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.21
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.40
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.24
History Matches1
Result entropy-0.06
Goal Difference Std0.41
Stability score5.66
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.02
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.03
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches8
Non-loss rate-0.09
Trailing Win Rate-0.04
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean0.51
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.42
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.43
Current Competition Matches1
Current Competition PPG-0.54
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.12
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.07
Portability PPG Range0.15
Portability Score-8.70
Rest days-10.94
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches1
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.13
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.50
Current Team ELO-119.5
Current Opponent ELO119.5
Current ELO Difference-239.0
Expected score-0.33
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.15
Overperformance-9.68
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jayxun

W
BuxDu2–3Jayxun2 Nov · away
Pick: Jayxun 38% · hit
D
Jayxun2–2Respublika FA25 Oct · home
Pick: Jayxun 52% · missed
L
Aral2–0Jayxun18 Oct · away
Pick: Aral 80% · hit
L
Jayxun1–2Gazalkent12 Oct · home
Pick: Gazalkent 44% · hit
L
Shortan3–1Jayxun7 Oct · away
Pick: Shortan 58% · hit

Olimpik-Mobiuz

W
Olimpik-Mobiuz3–1Pakhtakor II3 Nov · home
Pick: Olimpik-Mobiuz 84% · hit
W
Kattaqurgon1–2Olimpik-Mobiuz29 Oct · away
Pick: Olimpik-Mobiuz 37% · hit
W
Olimpik-Mobiuz4–2Yaypan20 Oct · home
Pick: Olimpik-Mobiuz 68% · hit
D
Respublika FA2–2Olimpik-Mobiuz16 Oct · away
Pick: Olimpik-Mobiuz 53% · missed
L
Lochin2–1Olimpik-Mobiuz12 Oct · away
Pick: Olimpik-Mobiuz 37% · missed

About this match

Jayxun and Olimpik-Mobiuz meet in Pro League A on Monday 9 November 2026, kickoff 09:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 3 Nov, 08:36 UTC: Jayxun win 31.0%, draw 21.4%, Olimpik-Mobiuz win 47.6%. The pick is Olimpik-Mobiuz win. Over 2.5 goals: 56.8%. Both teams to score: 51.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.