ScoreProb
Prva Liga Serbia Round 17 2026

Jedinstvo Ub vs Teleoptik

Jedinstvo Ub Home · Elo 1,462
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Teleoptik Away · Elo 1,611
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Jedinstvo Ub win
Jedinstvo Ub winPick
43.7%
Draw
22.7%
Teleoptik win
33.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.9%
No45.1%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.6%
Under 2.534.4%

How much we know

Jedinstvo Ub history62 matches
Teleoptik history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (43.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Jedinstvo Ub are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Teleoptik are rated 149 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,611 against 1,462. On rating alone Teleoptik would be expected to take 70% of the points on offer.

  • Teleoptik score far more

    1.32 goals a game over 62 matches for Jedinstvo Ub, against 2.31 over 39 for Teleoptik.

  • Teleoptik concede fewer

    Jedinstvo Ub concede 1.55 a game, Teleoptik 1.08.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Jedinstvo Ub matches, against 62% for Teleoptik. The model puts this match at 66% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 24 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Jedinstvo Ub
Teleoptik
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1461.6
ELO
1611.0
62
ELO · Matches
39
1461.6
Current Team ELO
1611.0
1611.0
Current Opponent ELO
1461.6
-149.4
Current ELO Difference
149.4
0.30
Expected score
0.70
62
History Matches
39
-0.03
Residual Mean
0.14
47.47
Overperformance
59.25
-0.31
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.12
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.00
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.30
PPG
1.70
0.80
Goals for per game
1.90
2.30
Goals against per game
1.80
10.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.37
2.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
1.35
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.25
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
1.50
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.92
Overall performance9 signals
90
62
Matches
39
1.19
PPG
2.21
32.3%
Win rate
66.7%
22.6%
Draw rate
20.5%
45.2%
Loss rate
12.8%
74.2%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
56.5%
Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
40.3%
Over 3.5 rate
48.7%
1.83
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.09
Venue performance10 signals
100
30
Matches
19
1.20
PPG
2.16
30.0%
Win rate
63.2%
30.0%
Draw rate
26.3%
40.0%
Loss rate
10.5%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.9%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
68.4%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
57.9%
1.92
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.61
30
History Matches
19
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
1.32
Goals for per game
2.31
66.1%
Scoring rate
89.7%
53.2%
BTTS rate
51.3%
1.57
Goals for per game
2.21
80.0%
Scoring rate
94.7%
63.3%
BTTS rate
63.2%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.40
60.0%
Scoring rate
80.0%
40.0%
BTTS rate
80.0%
62
History Matches
39
1.32
Goals Mean
2.31
1.27
Goals Std
1.64
66.1%
Scored 1+ rate
89.7%
38.7%
Scored 2+ rate
61.5%
19.4%
Scored 3+ rate
46.2%
1.57
Venue Goals Mean
2.21
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.55
Goals against per game
1.08
82.3%
Conceding rate
56.4%
1.67
Goals against per game
1.42
80.0%
Conceding rate
63.2%
2.00
Goals against per game
2.20
80.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
62
History Matches
39
1.55
Conceded Mean
1.08
1.17
Conceded Std
1.25
43.5%
Conceded 2+ rate
30.8%
21.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.8%
1.67
Venue Conceded Mean
1.42
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.6%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
10.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
5.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
40.0%
Failed-to-score rate
20.0%
17.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.6%
33.9%
Failed-to-score rate
10.3%
20.0%
Clean-sheet rate
36.8%
20.0%
Failed-to-score rate
5.3%
17.7%
Clean-sheet rate
43.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
62
History Matches
39
0.96
Result entropy
0.78
1.83
Goal Difference Std
2.09
3.52
Stability score
21.85
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
62
Eligible Matches
35
16
Lead Matches
16
87.5%
Lead Win Rate
87.5%
0.92
Lead Points Retention
0.92
27
Trailing Matches
4
22.2%
Non-loss rate
25.0%
3.7%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
62
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
0.56
First Half Goals For Mean
0.80
0.79
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.34
0.76
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.51
0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.80
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.88
Rest days
76.00
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
3
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
40
Normal Rest History Matches
19
1.30
Normal Rest Points Per Match
2.26
18
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.06
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.11
Competition & season17 signals
170
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
1.00
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
40.0%
80.0%
Loss rate
40.0%
80.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
40.0%
40.0%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.67
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.04
5
Current Competition Matches
5
0.60
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-1.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.80
5
Competition Season Count
4
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.42
Portability PPG Std
0.68
1.15
Portability PPG Range
1.64
54.51
Portability Score
42.36
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
62
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-149.4
PPG-1.01
GF-0.99
GA0.47
PPG-0.40
PPG-0.96
PPG-0.40
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches23
Clean-sheet rate-0.26
Failed-to-score rate23.6%
History Matches11
Clean-sheet rate-0.17
Failed-to-score rate14.7%
History Matches23
Goals Mean-0.99
Goals Std-0.37
Scored 1+ rate-0.24
Scored 2+ rate-0.23
Scored 3+ rate-0.27
Venue Goals Mean-0.64
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.63
History Matches23
Conceded Mean0.47
Conceded Std-0.07
Clean-sheet rate-0.26
Conceded 2+ rate12.8%
Conceded 3+ rate8.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.25
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.10
History Matches23
Result entropy0.18
Goal Difference Std-0.27
Stability score-18.33
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.64
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.42
Eligible Matches27
Lead Matches0
Lead Win Rate0.0%
Lead Points Retention0.00
Trailing Matches23
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate3.7%
Halftime Coverage Matches27
First Half Goals For Mean-0.24
First Half Goals Against Mean0.45
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.76
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG-0.40
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-0.20
Competition Season Count1
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std-0.26
Portability PPG Range-0.49
Portability Score12.15
Rest days0.88
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches3
Normal Rest History Matches21
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.96
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.05
Current Team ELO-149.4
Current Opponent ELO149.4
Current ELO Difference-298.7
Expected score-0.41
History Matches23
Residual Mean-0.17
Overperformance-11.78
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Jedinstvo Ub

W
Metalac GM1–3Jedinstvo Ub2 Nov · away
Pick: Metalac GM 52% · missed
L
Jedinstvo Ub1–5FK Crvena Zvezda28 Oct · home
Pick: FK Crvena Zvezda 63% · hit
W
OFK Bor 19190–2Jedinstvo Ub24 Oct · away
Pick: Jedinstvo Ub 45% · hit
W
Jedinstvo Ub3–1Grafičar17 Oct · home
Pick: Grafičar 41% · missed
D
Jedinstvo Ub0–0Dubočica4 Oct · home
Pick: Dubočica 41% · missed

Teleoptik

L
Teleoptik2–3Javor2 Nov · home
Pick: Javor 46% · hit
L
Teleoptik1–2TSC Backa Topola23 Oct · home
Pick: TSC Backa Topola 48% · hit
L
OFK Vršac1–0Teleoptik16 Oct · away
Pick: OFK Vršac 51% · hit
L
Teleoptik1–2FK Vozdovac1 Sep · home
Pick: FK Vozdovac 40% · hit
D
Semendrija 19241–1Teleoptik24 Aug · away
Pick: Semendrija 1924 59% · missed

About this match

Jedinstvo Ub and Teleoptik meet in Prva Liga on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Jedinstvo Ub win 43.7%, draw 22.7%, Teleoptik win 33.6%. The pick is Jedinstvo Ub win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.6%. Both teams to score: 54.9%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.