ScoreProb
Diski Challenge South Africa Round 7 2026

Kaizer Chiefs U23 vs AmaZulu U23

Kaizer Chiefs U23 Home · Elo 1,587
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
AmaZulu U23 Away · Elo 1,469
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kaizer Chiefs U23 win
Kaizer Chiefs U23 winPick
59.9%
Draw
17.5%
AmaZulu U23 win
22.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.1%
No44.9%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%

How much we know

Kaizer Chiefs U23 history37 matches
AmaZulu U23 history42 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 5 d 23 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 08:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (59.9%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Kaizer Chiefs U23 are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kaizer Chiefs U23 are rated 118 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,587 against 1,469. On rating alone Kaizer Chiefs U23 would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • Kaizer Chiefs U23 score far more

    2.19 goals a game over 37 matches for Kaizer Chiefs U23, against 1.33 over 42 for AmaZulu U23.

  • Kaizer Chiefs U23 concede fewer

    Kaizer Chiefs U23 concede 0.84 a game, AmaZulu U23 1.69.

  • AmaZulu U23 games more often go over 2.5 goals

    54% of Kaizer Chiefs U23 matches, against 69% for AmaZulu U23. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kaizer Chiefs U23
AmaZulu U23
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1587.0
ELO
1468.6
37
ELO · Matches
42
1587.0
Current Team ELO
1468.6
1468.6
Current Opponent ELO
1587.0
118.4
Current ELO Difference
-118.4
0.66
Expected score
0.34
37
History Matches
42
0.13
Residual Mean
-0.04
58.16
Overperformance
47.46
0.06
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.14
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
1.20
3.20
Goals for per game
1.40
1.00
Goals against per game
1.60
60.0%
Win rate
40.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
1.00
2.40
Goals for per game
1.10
1.10
Goals against per game
1.90
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
2.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.10
3.01
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.94
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.90
0.70
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.37
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
3.35
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.09
Overall performance9 signals
90
37
Matches
42
2.05
PPG
1.31
59.5%
Win rate
38.1%
27.0%
Draw rate
16.7%
13.5%
Loss rate
45.2%
86.5%
Over 1.5 rate
88.1%
54.1%
Over 2.5 rate
69.0%
32.4%
Over 3.5 rate
31.0%
2.42
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.17
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
21
2.24
PPG
1.43
66.7%
Win rate
42.9%
23.8%
Draw rate
14.3%
9.5%
Loss rate
42.9%
95.2%
Over 1.5 rate
95.2%
61.9%
Over 2.5 rate
71.4%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
23.8%
2.64
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.92
21
History Matches
21
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
2.19
Goals for per game
1.33
86.5%
Scoring rate
71.4%
48.6%
BTTS rate
57.1%
2.48
Goals for per game
1.48
85.7%
Scoring rate
85.7%
42.9%
BTTS rate
66.7%
37
History Matches
42
2.19
Goals Mean
1.33
1.98
Goals Std
1.19
86.5%
Scored 1+ rate
71.4%
59.5%
Scored 2+ rate
38.1%
32.4%
Scored 3+ rate
16.7%
2.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.48
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.84
Goals against per game
1.69
56.8%
Conceding rate
83.3%
0.76
Goals against per game
1.57
52.4%
Conceding rate
81.0%
37
History Matches
42
0.84
Conceded Mean
1.69
0.92
Conceded Std
1.32
21.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
45.2%
2.7%
Conceded 3+ rate
26.2%
0.76
Venue Conceded Mean
1.57
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
43.2%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
47.6%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
43.2%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
13.5%
Failed-to-score rate
28.6%
47.6%
Clean-sheet rate
19.0%
14.3%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
43.2%
Clean-sheet rate
16.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
37
History Matches
42
0.85
Result entropy
0.93
2.42
Goal Difference Std
2.17
15.06
Stability score
6.69
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
35
Eligible Matches
36
18
Lead Matches
11
72.2%
Lead Win Rate
90.9%
0.80
Lead Points Retention
0.94
4
Trailing Matches
12
25.0%
Non-loss rate
8.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
35
Halftime Coverage Matches
36
0.86
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
0.34
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.67
1.40
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.49
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.03
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
182.0
Rest days
182.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
17
Normal Rest History Matches
24
2.00
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.46
19
Long Rest History Matches
17
2.21
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.00
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.39
Portability PPG Std
0.09
0.78
Portability PPG Range
0.18
56.07
Portability Score
84.85
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
37
Clean History Matches
42
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO118.4
PPG0.74
GF0.86
GA-0.85
PPG0.81
PPG0.80
PPG0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-5
Clean-sheet rate26.6%
Failed-to-score rate-0.15
History Matches0
Clean-sheet rate28.6%
Failed-to-score rate0.0%
History Matches-5
Goals Mean0.86
Goals Std0.80
Scored 1+ rate15.1%
Scored 2+ rate21.4%
Scored 3+ rate15.8%
Venue Goals Mean1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.30
Recent 10 Goals Std2.06
History Matches-5
Conceded Mean-0.85
Conceded Std-0.40
Clean-sheet rate26.6%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.24
Conceded 3+ rate-0.23
Venue Conceded Mean-0.81
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.67
History Matches-5
Result entropy-0.08
Goal Difference Std0.25
Stability score8.37
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.04
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.26
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches7
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches-8
Non-loss rate16.7%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean0.27
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.32
Second Half Goals For Mean0.73
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.54
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.30
Portability PPG Range0.60
Portability Score-28.77
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-7
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.54
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match1.21
Current Team ELO118.4
Current Opponent ELO-118.4
Current ELO Difference236.8
Expected score0.33
History Matches-5
Residual Mean0.16
Overperformance10.70
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.20

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kaizer Chiefs U23

W
Siwelele U230–2Kaizer Chiefs U231 Nov · away
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs U23 49% · hit
W
Kaizer Chiefs U235–1Durban City U2324 Oct · home
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs U23 63% · hit
W
Kaizer Chiefs U234–2Mamelodi Sundowns U234 Oct · home
Pick: Kaizer Chiefs U23 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

AmaZulu U23

L
AmaZulu U230–1Siwelele U2324 Oct · home
Pick: AmaZulu U23 46% · missed
L
Polokwane City U232–1AmaZulu U2317 Oct · away
Pick: AmaZulu U23 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kaizer Chiefs U23 and AmaZulu U23 meet in Diski Challenge on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 08:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kaizer Chiefs U23 win 59.9%, draw 17.5%, AmaZulu U23 win 22.6%. The pick is Kaizer Chiefs U23 win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.4%. Both teams to score: 55.1%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.