ScoreProb
Regionalliga - South Austria South - 14 2026

Kalsdorf vs Deutschlandsberger SC

Kalsdorf Home · Elo 1,578
Fri 6 Nov
UTC
Not started
Deutschlandsberger SC Away · Elo 1,522
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Kalsdorf win
Kalsdorf winPick
56.2%
Draw
17.2%
Deutschlandsberger SC win
26.5%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes65.4%
No34.6%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.580.4%
Under 2.519.6%

How much we know

Kalsdorf history51 matches
Deutschlandsberger SC history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 9 h ahead
    31 Oct · 08:40 UTC
  2. Re-published 15 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 06:57 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    6 Nov · 18:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (56.2%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Kalsdorf are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Kalsdorf are rated 57 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,578 against 1,522. On rating alone Kalsdorf would be expected to take 58% of the points on offer.

  • Kalsdorf score more

    2.33 goals a game over 51 matches for Kalsdorf, against 2.09 over 55 for Deutschlandsberger SC.

  • Defences are close

    Kalsdorf concede 1.86 a game, Deutschlandsberger SC 2.05.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    80% of Kalsdorf matches, against 78% for Deutschlandsberger SC. The model puts this match at 80% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 21 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kalsdorf
Deutschlandsberger SC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1578.3
ELO
1521.6
51
ELO · Matches
55
1578.3
Current Team ELO
1521.6
1521.6
Current Opponent ELO
1578.3
56.75
Current ELO Difference
-56.75
0.58
Expected score
0.42
51
History Matches
55
0.07
Residual Mean
0.03
55.24
Overperformance
52.53
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
1.00
2.20
Goals for per game
1.60
2.20
Goals against per game
2.20
80.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
1.20
1.80
Goals for per game
1.70
2.70
Goals against per game
2.50
40.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.47
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
2.70
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
2.38
0.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.74
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.71
Overall performance9 signals
90
51
Matches
55
1.92
PPG
1.47
60.8%
Win rate
40.0%
9.8%
Draw rate
27.3%
29.4%
Loss rate
32.7%
90.2%
Over 1.5 rate
89.1%
80.4%
Over 2.5 rate
78.2%
58.8%
Over 3.5 rate
58.2%
2.46
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.60
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
23
2.20
PPG
1.04
72.0%
Win rate
26.1%
4.0%
Draw rate
26.1%
24.0%
Loss rate
47.8%
96.0%
Over 1.5 rate
95.7%
92.0%
Over 2.5 rate
87.0%
68.0%
Over 3.5 rate
60.9%
2.71
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.58
25
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
2.33
Goals for per game
2.09
84.3%
Scoring rate
87.3%
68.6%
BTTS rate
76.4%
2.76
Goals for per game
1.61
88.0%
Scoring rate
82.6%
72.0%
BTTS rate
78.3%
2.67
Goals for per game
1.67
100.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
66.7%
BTTS rate
33.3%
51
History Matches
55
2.33
Goals Mean
2.09
1.68
Goals Std
1.60
84.3%
Scored 1+ rate
87.3%
60.8%
Scored 2+ rate
58.2%
47.1%
Scored 3+ rate
32.7%
2.76
Venue Goals Mean
1.61
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
1.86
Goals against per game
2.05
82.4%
Conceding rate
85.5%
1.84
Goals against per game
2.65
84.0%
Conceding rate
95.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
1.67
66.7%
Conceding rate
66.7%
51
History Matches
55
1.86
Conceded Mean
2.05
1.52
Conceded Std
1.78
51.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
54.5%
29.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
25.5%
1.84
Venue Conceded Mean
2.65
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
15.7%
Failed-to-score rate
12.7%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
4.3%
12.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
15.7%
Failed-to-score rate
12.7%
16.0%
Clean-sheet rate
4.3%
12.0%
Failed-to-score rate
17.4%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
14.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
51
History Matches
55
0.81
Result entropy
0.99
2.46
Goal Difference Std
2.60
18.97
Stability score
1.11
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
50
Eligible Matches
55
21
Lead Matches
24
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.81
18
Trailing Matches
15
27.8%
Non-loss rate
20.0%
16.7%
Trailing Win Rate
6.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
50
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.96
First Half Goals For Mean
1.11
0.92
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.89
1.42
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.98
0.98
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.16
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
77.04
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
2
Short Rest History Matches
0
1.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
32
Normal Rest History Matches
33
2.22
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.61
16
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.44
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.33
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
3.00
PPG
1.33
100.0%
Win rate
33.3%
0.0%
Draw rate
33.3%
0.0%
Loss rate
33.3%
66.7%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
66.7%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
66.7%
0.94
Goal difference · Standard deviation
3.27
3
Current Competition Matches
3
3.00
Current Competition PPG
1.33
1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
0.00
6
Competition Season Count
6
4
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.59
Portability PPG Std
0.23
1.50
Portability PPG Range
0.57
45.97
Portability Score
68.10
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
51
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO56.75
PPG0.45
GF0.24
GA-0.19
PPG1.67
PPG1.16
PPG1.40
PPG0.00
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate3.1%
Failed-to-score rate3.0%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate11.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.05
History Matches-4
Goals Mean0.24
Goals Std0.08
Scored 1+ rate-0.03
Scored 2+ rate2.6%
Scored 3+ rate14.3%
Venue Goals Mean1.15
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.10
Recent 10 Goals Std0.37
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.19
Conceded Std-0.26
Clean-sheet rate3.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate4.0%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.81
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.37
History Matches-4
Result entropy-0.18
Goal Difference Std-0.14
Stability score17.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.38
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.02
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches-3
Lead Win Rate25.0%
Lead Points Retention0.19
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate7.8%
Trailing Win Rate10.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean-0.15
First Half Goals Against Mean0.03
Second Half Goals For Mean0.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean1.67
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.35
Portability PPG Range0.93
Portability Score-22.13
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match0.61
Long Rest History Matches-5
Long Rest Points Per Match0.10
Current Team ELO56.75
Current Opponent ELO-56.75
Current ELO Difference113.5
Expected score0.16
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.04
Overperformance2.71
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.05

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kalsdorf

L
Hartberg (Am)2–1Kalsdorf30 Oct · away
Pick: Kalsdorf 58% · missed
D
Kalsdorf1–1SV Lafnitz21 Oct · home
Pick: Kalsdorf 58% · missed
D
Weiz0–0Kalsdorf16 Oct · away
Pick: Weiz 46% · missed
D
SV Lafnitz2–2Kalsdorf1 Sep · away
Pick: Kalsdorf 50% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Deutschlandsberger SC

D
Deutschlandsberger SC2–2SV Lafnitz30 Oct · home
Pick: Deutschlandsberger SC 49% · missed
L
Gleisdorf 095–3Deutschlandsberger SC23 Oct · away
Pick: Deutschlandsberger SC 45% · missed
W
Deutschlandsberger SC2–1Tillmitsch16 Oct · home
Pick: Deutschlandsberger SC 40% · hit
W
Deutschlandsberger SC4–2Gleisdorf 091 Sep · home
Pick: Deutschlandsberger SC 54% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kalsdorf and Deutschlandsberger SC meet in Regionalliga - South on Friday 6 November 2026, kickoff 18:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 31 Oct, 08:40 UTC: Kalsdorf win 56.2%, draw 17.2%, Deutschlandsberger SC win 26.5%. The pick is Kalsdorf win. Over 2.5 goals: 80.4%. Both teams to score: 65.4%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.