ScoreProb
Botola Pro Morocco Round 7 2026

Kawkab Marrakech vs Wydad AC

Kawkab Marrakech Home · Elo 1,532
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Wydad AC Away · Elo 1,521
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Kawkab Marrakech win
30.2%
DrawPick
36.7%
Wydad AC win
33.1%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · shots, possession, corners, side by side
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes44.6%
No55.4%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.536.8%
Under 2.563.2%

How much we know

Kawkab Marrakech history49 matches
Wydad AC history53 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.7%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why a draw is the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,532 against 1,521. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Wydad AC score more

    1.06 goals a game over 49 matches for Kawkab Marrakech, against 1.36 over 53 for Wydad AC.

  • Kawkab Marrakech concede fewer

    Kawkab Marrakech concede 0.80 a game, Wydad AC 0.94.

  • Wydad AC games more often go over 2.5 goals

    31% of Kawkab Marrakech matches, against 40% for Wydad AC. The model puts this match at 37% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 6 Jul 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kawkab Marrakech
Wydad AC
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1532.1
ELO
1520.7
49
ELO · Matches
53
1532.1
Current Team ELO
1520.7
1520.7
Current Opponent ELO
1532.1
11.41
Current ELO Difference
-11.41
0.52
Expected score
0.48
49
History Matches
53
0.03
Residual Mean
0.02
52.42
Overperformance
51.24
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.35
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.20
PPG
0.00
0.80
Goals for per game
0.40
0.80
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
1.30
PPG
0.60
0.90
Goals for per game
0.90
0.80
Goals against per game
1.70
30.0%
Win rate
20.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.90
1.04
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.83
0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.70
0.75
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.46
1.45
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
0.98
Overall performance9 signals
90
49
Matches
53
1.47
PPG
1.57
36.7%
Win rate
45.3%
36.7%
Draw rate
20.8%
26.5%
Loss rate
34.0%
69.4%
Over 1.5 rate
66.0%
30.6%
Over 2.5 rate
39.6%
4.1%
Over 3.5 rate
18.9%
1.34
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.62
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
27
1.84
PPG
1.41
52.0%
Win rate
40.7%
28.0%
Draw rate
18.5%
20.0%
Loss rate
40.7%
72.0%
Over 1.5 rate
59.3%
44.0%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
8.0%
Over 3.5 rate
14.8%
1.49
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.75
25
History Matches
27
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.06
Goals for per game
1.36
65.3%
Scoring rate
75.5%
42.9%
BTTS rate
45.3%
1.32
Goals for per game
1.19
68.0%
Scoring rate
66.7%
36.0%
BTTS rate
40.7%
49
History Matches
53
1.06
Goals Mean
1.36
0.96
Goals Std
1.25
65.3%
Scored 1+ rate
75.5%
32.7%
Scored 2+ rate
35.8%
8.2%
Scored 3+ rate
13.2%
1.32
Venue Goals Mean
1.19
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
0.80
Goals against per game
0.94
59.2%
Conceding rate
62.3%
0.68
Goals against per game
0.96
44.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
49
History Matches
53
0.80
Conceded Mean
0.94
0.78
Conceded Std
0.92
18.4%
Conceded 2+ rate
26.4%
2.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
3.8%
0.68
Venue Conceded Mean
0.96
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
40.8%
Clean-sheet rate
37.7%
34.7%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
56.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
32.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
40.8%
Clean-sheet rate
37.7%
34.7%
Failed-to-score rate
24.5%
56.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
32.0%
Failed-to-score rate
33.3%
40.8%
Clean-sheet rate
37.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
49
History Matches
53
0.99
Result entropy
0.96
1.34
Goal Difference Std
1.62
0.99
Stability score
4.26
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
47
Eligible Matches
53
21
Lead Matches
19
71.4%
Lead Win Rate
84.2%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.88
9
Trailing Matches
12
22.2%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
47
Halftime Coverage Matches
53
0.64
First Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.26
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.42
0.47
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.70
0.57
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
125.0
Rest days
125.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
6
0.50
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.17
23
Normal Rest History Matches
27
1.48
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.52
19
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.68
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.68
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
7
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
4
0.33
Portability PPG Std
0.88
0.66
Portability PPG Range
2.30
60.25
Portability Score
36.11
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
49
Clean History Matches
53
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
ELO11.41
PPG-0.10
GF-0.30
GA-0.15
PPG0.43
PPG1.20
PPG0.70
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-4
Clean-sheet rate3.1%
Failed-to-score rate10.2%
History Matches-2
Clean-sheet rate22.7%
Failed-to-score rate-0.01
History Matches-4
Goals Mean-0.30
Goals Std-0.29
Scored 1+ rate-0.10
Scored 2+ rate-0.03
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.13
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std0.21
History Matches-4
Conceded Mean-0.15
Conceded Std-0.14
Clean-sheet rate3.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.08
Conceded 3+ rate-0.02
Venue Conceded Mean-0.28
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches-4
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.28
Stability score-3.27
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.54
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.47
Eligible Matches-6
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.13
Lead Points Retention-0.10
Trailing Matches-3
Non-loss rate5.6%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-6
First Half Goals For Mean-0.02
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.16
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.05
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-2
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Portability PPG Std-0.55
Portability PPG Range-1.64
Portability Score24.14
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Short Rest Points Per Match-0.67
Normal Rest History Matches-4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.04
Long Rest History Matches0
Long Rest Points Per Match0.00
Current Team ELO11.41
Current Opponent ELO-11.41
Current ELO Difference22.81
Expected score0.03
History Matches-4
Residual Mean0.02
Overperformance1.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.36

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kawkab Marrakech

W
Amal Tiznit0–1Kawkab Marrakech31 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 38% · missed
D
Kawkab Marrakech1–1Difaa EL Jadida25 Oct · home
Pick: Kawkab Marrakech 54% · missed
W
Widad Témara0–1Kawkab Marrakech18 Oct · away
Pick: Kawkab Marrakech 38% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Wydad AC

W
Wydad AC1–0Moghreb Tetouan31 Oct · home
Pick: Wydad AC 53% · hit
W
UTS Rabat0–1Wydad AC24 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 39% · missed
D
Wydad AC1–1Amal Tiznit18 Oct · home
Pick: Wydad AC 57% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kawkab Marrakech and Wydad AC meet in Botola Pro on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kawkab Marrakech win 30.2%, draw 36.7%, Wydad AC win 33.1%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 36.8%. Both teams to score: 44.6%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.