KFC Uerdingen 05 vs Wuppertaler SV
Match result probability Model pick: KFC Uerdingen 05 win
KFC Uerdingen 05 winPick
66.4%
Draw
16.0%
Wuppertaler SV win
17.7%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes55.3%
No44.7%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.568.0%
Under 2.532.0%
How much we know
KFC Uerdingen 05 history46 matches
Wuppertaler SV history55 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours KFC Uerdingen 05
Over / under 2.5: ours Over
Both teams to score: ours Yes
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 8 h ahead8 Nov · 08:45 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 16:00 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre14 Nov · 17:00 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 16,809 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 39.9% · said 37.7% · n 2,949
40–49% Won 45.3% · said 44.8% · n 6,860
50–59% Won 55.6% · said 54.4% · n 4,146
60–69% Won 63.9% · said 64.4% · n 2,031
70–79% Won 76.5% · said 73.9% · n 646
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.5% · n 177
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (66.4%). Picks in that band won 63.9% of the time, and the model said 64.4% on average, over 2,031 matches.
Why KFC Uerdingen 05 are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
KFC Uerdingen 05 are rated 184 Elo points higher
Elo 1,576 against 1,392. On rating alone KFC Uerdingen 05 would be expected to take 74% of the points on offer.
-
KFC Uerdingen 05 score far more
1.63 goals a game over 46 matches for KFC Uerdingen 05, against 1.00 over 55 for Wuppertaler SV.
-
KFC Uerdingen 05 concede fewer
KFC Uerdingen 05 concede 1.46 a game, Wuppertaler SV 2.00.
-
Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games
61% of KFC Uerdingen 05 matches, against 55% for Wuppertaler SV. The model puts this match at 68% for over 2.5.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Match history used: up to 22 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Wuppertaler SV@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1576.1
ELO
1392.3
46
ELO · Matches
55
1576.1
Current Team ELO
1392.3
1392.3
Current Opponent ELO
1576.1
183.8
Current ELO Difference
-183.8
0.74
Expected score
0.26
46
History Matches
55
0.08
Residual Mean
-0.10
55.45
Overperformance
42.88
0.19
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.20
Recent form16 signals 160
5
Matches
5
2.00
PPG
0.20
2.40
Goals for per game
0.60
1.20
Goals against per game
2.60
60.0%
Win rate
0.0%
10
Matches
10
2.20
PPG
0.30
2.30
Goals for per game
0.70
1.50
Goals against per game
2.50
70.0%
Win rate
0.0%
2.30
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.70
1.35
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.78
1.50
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.50
1.57
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.56
2.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.78
Overall performance9 signals 90
46
Matches
55
1.65
PPG
0.78
47.8%
Win rate
14.5%
21.7%
Draw rate
34.5%
30.4%
Loss rate
50.9%
76.1%
Over 1.5 rate
76.4%
60.9%
Over 2.5 rate
54.5%
39.1%
Over 3.5 rate
41.8%
2.15
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.00
Venue performance10 signals 100
22
Matches
28
1.73
PPG
0.75
50.0%
Win rate
14.3%
22.7%
Draw rate
32.1%
27.3%
Loss rate
53.6%
68.2%
Over 1.5 rate
78.6%
54.5%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
36.4%
Over 3.5 rate
39.3%
2.03
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.12
22
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
1.63
Goals for per game
1.00
80.4%
Scoring rate
58.2%
60.9%
BTTS rate
52.7%
1.64
Goals for per game
0.93
81.8%
Scoring rate
57.1%
59.1%
BTTS rate
50.0%
5.00
Goals for per game
0.50
100.0%
Scoring rate
50.0%
100.0%
BTTS rate
50.0%
46
History Matches
55
1.63
Goals Mean
1.00
1.42
Goals Std
1.04
80.4%
Scored 1+ rate
58.2%
43.5%
Scored 2+ rate
30.9%
19.6%
Scored 3+ rate
9.1%
1.64
Venue Goals Mean
0.93
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
1.46
Goals against per game
2.00
76.1%
Conceding rate
87.3%
1.32
Goals against per game
2.11
72.7%
Conceding rate
85.7%
1.00
Goals against per game
2.00
100.0%
Conceding rate
100.0%
46
History Matches
55
1.46
Conceded Mean
2.00
1.39
Conceded Std
1.61
34.8%
Conceded 2+ rate
52.7%
17.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
29.1%
1.32
Venue Conceded Mean
2.11
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
23.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.7%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
41.8%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
50.0%
23.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.7%
19.6%
Failed-to-score rate
41.8%
27.3%
Clean-sheet rate
14.3%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
42.9%
23.9%
Clean-sheet rate
12.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
46
History Matches
55
0.95
Result entropy
0.90
2.15
Goal Difference Std
2.00
4.74
Stability score
9.77
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
46
Eligible Matches
55
17
Lead Matches
7
88.2%
Lead Win Rate
57.1%
0.90
Lead Points Retention
0.67
9
Trailing Matches
24
44.4%
Non-loss rate
29.2%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
46
Halftime Coverage Matches
55
0.76
First Half Goals For Mean
0.33
0.46
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
0.87
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.07
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
91.13
Rest days
84.98
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
2
—
Short Rest Points Per Match
1.00
22
Normal Rest History Matches
31
1.86
Normal Rest Points Per Match
0.77
23
Long Rest History Matches
21
1.52
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.76
Competition & season17 signals 170
1
Matches
2
3.00
PPG
0.00
100.0%
Win rate
0.0%
0.0%
Draw rate
0.0%
0.0%
Loss rate
100.0%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
50.0%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0.50
1
Current Competition Matches
2
3.00
Current Competition PPG
0.00
4.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.50
4
Competition Season Count
5
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.54
Portability PPG Std
0.28
1.08
Portability PPG Range
0.67
48.19
Portability Score
64.43
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
46
Clean History Matches
55
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO183.8
PPG0.87
GF0.63
GA-0.54
PPG3.00
PPG0.98
PPG1.80
PPG1.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate11.2%
Failed-to-score rate-0.22
History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate13.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.25
History Matches-9
Goals Mean0.63
Goals Std0.38
Scored 1+ rate22.3%
Scored 2+ rate12.6%
Scored 3+ rate10.5%
Venue Goals Mean0.71
Recent 10 Goals Mean1.60
Recent 10 Goals Std0.56
History Matches-9
Conceded Mean-0.54
Conceded Std-0.21
Clean-sheet rate11.2%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.18
Conceded 3+ rate-0.12
Venue Conceded Mean-0.79
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.07
History Matches-9
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.15
Stability score-5.03
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.58
Eligible Matches-9
Lead Matches10
Lead Win Rate31.1%
Lead Points Retention0.24
Trailing Matches-15
Non-loss rate15.3%
Trailing Win Rate11.1%
Halftime Coverage Matches-9
First Half Goals For Mean0.43
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.47
Second Half Goals For Mean0.20
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.07
Current Competition Matches-1
Current Competition PPG3.00
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean5.50
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.26
Portability PPG Range0.41
Portability Score-16.24
Rest days6.15
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Normal Rest History Matches-9
Normal Rest Points Per Match1.09
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.76
Current Team ELO183.8
Current Opponent ELO-183.8
Current ELO Difference367.6
Expected score0.48
History Matches-9
Residual Mean0.18
Overperformance12.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.38
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
KFC Uerdingen 05
L
KFC Uerdingen 050–1Monheim24 Oct · home
Pick: KFC Uerdingen 05 55% · missed D
Viktoria Jüchen-Garz.1–1KFC Uerdingen 0518 Oct · away
Pick: KFC Uerdingen 05 54% · missed L
SF Baumberg2–1KFC Uerdingen 0530 Aug · away
Pick: KFC Uerdingen 05 46% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Wuppertaler SV
W
Wuppertaler SV4–3Meerbusch6 Nov · home
Pick: Wuppertaler SV 52% · hit D
Sonsbeck0–0Wuppertaler SV25 Oct · away
Pick: Sonsbeck 55% · missed W
Wuppertaler SV1–0SW Essen16 Oct · home
Pick: Wuppertaler SV 54% · hit L
Büderich1–0Wuppertaler SV30 Aug · away
Pick: Büderich 63% · hit Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
KFC Uerdingen 05 and Wuppertaler SV meet in Oberliga - Niederrhein on Saturday 14 November 2026, kickoff 17:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 8 Nov, 08:45 UTC: KFC Uerdingen 05 win 66.4%, draw 16.0%, Wuppertaler SV win 17.7%. The pick is KFC Uerdingen 05 win. Over 2.5 goals: 68.0%. Both teams to score: 55.3%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.