ScoreProb
Thai League 2 Thailand Round 10 2026

Khon Kaen United vs Songkhla

Khon Kaen United Home · Elo 1,475
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Songkhla Away · Elo 1,460
Khonkaen Stadium, Khon Kaen Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Khon Kaen United win
Khon Kaen United winPick
52.8%
Draw
20.6%
Songkhla win
26.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Lineups · not provided for this competition by our data source
Live score and events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Live stats · not provided for this competition by our data source
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes54.3%
No45.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%

How much we know

Khon Kaen United history53 matches
Songkhla history34 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 2 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 11:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (52.8%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Khon Kaen United are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • The Elo ratings are level

    Elo 1,475 against 1,460. On rating alone the teams are close to even.

  • Khon Kaen United score more

    1.58 goals a game over 53 matches for Khon Kaen United, against 1.09 over 34 for Songkhla.

  • Songkhla concede fewer

    Khon Kaen United concede 1.92 a game, Songkhla 1.35.

  • Khon Kaen United games more often go over 2.5 goals

    70% of Khon Kaen United matches, against 35% for Songkhla. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 25 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Khon Kaen United
Songkhla
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1475.4
ELO
1459.8
53
ELO · Matches
34
1475.4
Current Team ELO
1459.8
1459.8
Current Opponent ELO
1475.4
15.54
Current ELO Difference
-15.54
0.52
Expected score
0.48
53
History Matches
34
-0.03
Residual Mean
-0.06
48.08
Overperformance
46.33
-0.05
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
1.00
1.40
Goals for per game
1.00
2.80
Goals against per game
1.40
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
1.10
PPG
1.50
1.20
Goals for per game
1.40
2.60
Goals against per game
1.30
30.0%
Win rate
40.0%
1.20
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.40
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.50
2.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
2.24
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.55
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.73
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.21
Overall performance9 signals
90
53
Matches
34
1.15
PPG
1.21
28.3%
Win rate
32.4%
30.2%
Draw rate
23.5%
41.5%
Loss rate
44.1%
81.1%
Over 1.5 rate
70.6%
69.8%
Over 2.5 rate
35.3%
47.2%
Over 3.5 rate
11.8%
2.21
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.72
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
17
1.80
PPG
0.35
52.0%
Win rate
5.9%
24.0%
Draw rate
17.6%
24.0%
Loss rate
76.5%
76.0%
Over 1.5 rate
70.6%
60.0%
Over 2.5 rate
35.3%
32.0%
Over 3.5 rate
17.6%
1.72
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.33
25
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.58
Goals for per game
1.09
77.4%
Scoring rate
67.6%
69.8%
BTTS rate
47.1%
1.96
Goals for per game
0.65
84.0%
Scoring rate
52.9%
72.0%
BTTS rate
47.1%
53
History Matches
34
1.58
Goals Mean
1.09
1.39
Goals Std
1.12
77.4%
Scored 1+ rate
67.6%
43.4%
Scored 2+ rate
23.5%
18.9%
Scored 3+ rate
11.8%
1.96
Venue Goals Mean
0.65
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.92
Goals against per game
1.35
81.1%
Conceding rate
76.5%
1.40
Goals against per game
2.00
76.0%
Conceding rate
94.1%
53
History Matches
34
1.92
Conceded Mean
1.35
1.75
Conceded Std
1.28
49.1%
Conceded 2+ rate
32.4%
26.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
11.8%
1.40
Venue Conceded Mean
2.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.9%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
47.1%
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
22.6%
Failed-to-score rate
32.4%
24.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.9%
16.0%
Failed-to-score rate
47.1%
18.9%
Clean-sheet rate
23.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
53
History Matches
34
0.99
Result entropy
0.97
2.21
Goal Difference Std
1.72
1.35
Stability score
2.92
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
53
Eligible Matches
34
13
Lead Matches
10
69.2%
Lead Win Rate
70.0%
0.74
Lead Points Retention
0.80
21
Trailing Matches
9
28.6%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
14.3%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
53
Halftime Coverage Matches
34
0.72
First Half Goals For Mean
0.59
0.89
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.50
0.87
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.50
1.04
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.85
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
196.0
Rest days
196.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
6
Short Rest History Matches
4
1.67
Short Rest Points Per Match
0.50
32
Normal Rest History Matches
17
0.97
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.53
14
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.43
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.83
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
5
Competition Season Count
1
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
0.45
Portability PPG Std
—
1.08
Portability PPG Range
—
52.88
Portability Score
—
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
53
Clean History Matches
34
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
ELO15.54
PPG-0.05
GF0.50
GA0.57
PPG1.45
PPG0.40
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches19
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Failed-to-score rate-0.10
History Matches8
Clean-sheet rate18.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.31
History Matches19
Goals Mean0.50
Goals Std0.27
Scored 1+ rate9.7%
Scored 2+ rate19.9%
Scored 3+ rate7.1%
Venue Goals Mean1.31
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.75
History Matches19
Conceded Mean0.57
Conceded Std0.47
Clean-sheet rate-0.05
Conceded 2+ rate16.7%
Conceded 3+ rate14.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.30
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.69
History Matches19
Result entropy0.02
Goal Difference Std0.49
Stability score-1.57
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.05
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.52
Eligible Matches19
Lead Matches3
Lead Win Rate-0.01
Lead Points Retention-0.06
Trailing Matches12
Non-loss rate28.6%
Trailing Win Rate14.3%
Halftime Coverage Matches19
First Half Goals For Mean0.13
First Half Goals Against Mean0.39
Second Half Goals For Mean0.37
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.18
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count4
Eligible Competition Season Count2
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches2
Short Rest Points Per Match1.17
Normal Rest History Matches15
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.56
Long Rest History Matches2
Long Rest Points Per Match0.60
Current Team ELO15.54
Current Opponent ELO-15.54
Current ELO Difference31.09
Expected score0.04
History Matches19
Residual Mean0.03
Overperformance1.75
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Khon Kaen United

W
Phrae United0–3Khon Kaen United31 Oct · away
Pick: Phrae United 42% · missed
W
Khon Kaen United4–2Muang Loei United25 Oct · home
Pick: Khon Kaen United 76% · hit
W
Khon Kaen United1–0BG Pathum United21 Oct · home
Pick: BG Pathum United 61% · missed
W
Esan Pattaya0–2Khon Kaen United18 Oct · away
Pick: Khon Kaen United 39% · hit
W
Khon Kaen United2–1Chainat15 Oct · home
Pick: Khon Kaen United 46% · hit

Songkhla

L
Nakhon Ratchasima FC4–1Songkhla31 Oct · away
Pick: Nakhon Ratchasima FC 52% · hit
D
Songkhla1–1Phrae United24 Oct · home
Pick: Phrae United 40% · missed
W
Chumphon United3–6Songkhla21 Oct · away
Pick: Songkhla 37% · hit
D
Chiangmai United1–1Songkhla17 Oct · away
Pick: Chiangmai United 52% · missed
L
Esan Pattaya3–2Songkhla14 Oct · away
Pick: Esan Pattaya 53% · hit

About this match

Khon Kaen United and Songkhla meet in Thai League 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 11:00 UTC. The match is played at Khonkaen Stadium, Khon Kaen. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Khon Kaen United win 52.8%, draw 20.6%, Songkhla win 26.6%. The pick is Khon Kaen United win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.1%. Both teams to score: 54.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.