ScoreProb
3. Lig - Group 3 Türkiye 3. Lig Group 3 - 10 2026

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu vs Yozgat Bld Bozokspor

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu Home · Elo 1,516
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor Away · Elo 1,583
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Yozgat Bld Bozokspor win
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win
34.1%
Draw
23.7%
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor winPick
42.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes55.0%
No45.0%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%

How much we know

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu history48 matches
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 1 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 10:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.2%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Yozgat Bld Bozokspor are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Yozgat Bld Bozokspor are rated 67 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,583 against 1,516. On rating alone Yozgat Bld Bozokspor would be expected to take 60% of the points on offer.

  • Yozgat Bld Bozokspor score more

    1.38 goals a game over 48 matches for Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu, against 1.88 over 49 for Yozgat Bld Bozokspor.

  • Yozgat Bld Bozokspor concede fewer

    Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu concede 1.54 a game, Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 1.12.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    63% of Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu matches, against 57% for Yozgat Bld Bozokspor. The model puts this match at 55% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1515.8
ELO
1582.7
48
ELO · Matches
49
1515.8
Current Team ELO
1582.7
1582.7
Current Opponent ELO
1515.8
-66.96
Current ELO Difference
66.96
0.40
Expected score
0.60
48
History Matches
49
0.02
Residual Mean
0.09
51.35
Overperformance
56.31
0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.26
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
2.40
PPG
2.00
1.80
Goals for per game
1.60
2.00
Goals against per game
0.80
80.0%
Win rate
60.0%
10
Matches
10
1.90
PPG
2.30
1.40
Goals for per game
1.70
1.60
Goals against per game
0.50
60.0%
Win rate
70.0%
1.40
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
1.11
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.10
1.60
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.50
1.69
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.67
0.82
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
2.23
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.17
Overall performance9 signals
90
48
Matches
49
1.52
PPG
1.78
43.8%
Win rate
53.1%
20.8%
Draw rate
18.4%
35.4%
Loss rate
28.6%
81.3%
Over 1.5 rate
81.6%
62.5%
Over 2.5 rate
57.1%
31.3%
Over 3.5 rate
28.6%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.78
Venue performance10 signals
100
25
Matches
23
1.76
PPG
1.48
48.0%
Win rate
43.5%
32.0%
Draw rate
17.4%
20.0%
Loss rate
39.1%
72.0%
Over 1.5 rate
78.3%
40.0%
Over 2.5 rate
60.9%
20.0%
Over 3.5 rate
34.8%
1.24
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.20
25
History Matches
23
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.38
Goals for per game
1.88
72.9%
Scoring rate
85.7%
60.4%
BTTS rate
59.2%
1.36
Goals for per game
1.91
72.0%
Scoring rate
73.9%
52.0%
BTTS rate
56.5%
48
History Matches
49
1.38
Goals Mean
1.88
1.05
Goals Std
1.39
72.9%
Scored 1+ rate
85.7%
47.9%
Scored 2+ rate
53.1%
16.7%
Scored 3+ rate
30.6%
1.36
Venue Goals Mean
1.91
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.54
Goals against per game
1.12
81.3%
Conceding rate
69.4%
0.92
Goals against per game
1.30
68.0%
Conceding rate
73.9%
48
History Matches
49
1.54
Conceded Mean
1.12
1.47
Conceded Std
1.08
33.3%
Conceded 2+ rate
28.6%
20.8%
Conceded 3+ rate
8.2%
0.92
Venue Conceded Mean
1.30
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
27.1%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.1%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
27.1%
Failed-to-score rate
14.3%
32.0%
Clean-sheet rate
26.1%
28.0%
Failed-to-score rate
26.1%
18.8%
Clean-sheet rate
30.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
48
History Matches
49
0.96
Result entropy
0.92
2.00
Goal Difference Std
1.78
3.87
Stability score
8.48
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
48
Eligible Matches
49
17
Lead Matches
15
76.5%
Lead Win Rate
100.0%
0.84
Lead Points Retention
1.00
18
Trailing Matches
12
22.2%
Non-loss rate
16.7%
11.1%
Trailing Win Rate
8.3%
Goal timing5 signals
50
48
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.60
First Half Goals For Mean
0.67
0.69
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.59
0.77
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.20
0.85
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.53
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
203.0
Rest days
182.7
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
36
Normal Rest History Matches
36
1.58
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.72
11
Long Rest History Matches
12
1.36
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.83
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
4
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.30
Portability PPG Std
0.11
0.67
Portability PPG Range
0.26
62.59
Portability Score
82.58
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
48
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-66.96
PPG-0.25
GF-0.50
GA0.42
PPG0.28
PPG0.40
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate12.8%
History Matches2
Clean-sheet rate5.9%
Failed-to-score rate1.9%
History Matches-1
Goals Mean-0.50
Goals Std-0.34
Scored 1+ rate-0.13
Scored 2+ rate-0.05
Scored 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Goals Mean-0.55
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.30
Recent 10 Goals Std0.01
History Matches-1
Conceded Mean0.42
Conceded Std0.39
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate4.8%
Conceded 3+ rate12.7%
Venue Conceded Mean-0.38
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.01
History Matches-1
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.22
Stability score-4.61
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.09
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std1.06
Eligible Matches-1
Lead Matches2
Lead Win Rate-0.24
Lead Points Retention-0.16
Trailing Matches6
Non-loss rate5.6%
Trailing Win Rate2.8%
Halftime Coverage Matches-1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.07
First Half Goals Against Mean0.10
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.43
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.32
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std0.19
Portability PPG Range0.41
Portability Score-19.99
Rest days20.25
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.14
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.47
Current Team ELO-66.96
Current Opponent ELO66.96
Current ELO Difference-133.9
Expected score-0.19
History Matches-1
Residual Mean-0.07
Overperformance-4.96
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.12

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu

D
Adanaspor1–1Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu30 Oct · away
Pick: Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 74% · missed
W
Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu3–1Osmaniyespor25 Oct · home
Pick: Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu 52% · hit
W
Ağrı 19700–2Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu18 Oct · away
Pick: Ağrı 1970 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Yozgat Bld Bozokspor

W
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor2–0Diyarbekirspor1 Nov · home
Pick: Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 54% · hit
L
Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu2–0Yozgat Bld Bozokspor24 Oct · away
Pick: Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 67% · missed
D
Yozgat Bld Bozokspor0–0Talasgücü Belediyespor18 Oct · home
Pick: Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 37% · missed
L
Gölcükspor2–0Yozgat Bld Bozokspor7 Oct · away
Pick: Yozgat Bld Bozokspor 40% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu and Yozgat Bld Bozokspor meet in 3. Lig - Group 3 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 10:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Kırıkkale Büyük Anadolu win 34.1%, draw 23.7%, Yozgat Bld Bozokspor win 42.2%. The pick is Yozgat Bld Bozokspor win. Over 2.5 goals: 55.0%. Both teams to score: 55.0%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.