ScoreProb
2. SNL Slovenia Round 14 2026

Krško vs Rudar

Krško Home · Elo 1,417
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rudar Away · Elo 1,479
Stadion Matije Gubca Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Rudar win
Krško win
22.5%
Draw
23.1%
Rudar winPick
54.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes49.2%
No50.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.553.7%
Under 2.546.3%

How much we know

Krško history34 matches
Rudar history49 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 7 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 16:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 50–59% band (54.4%). Picks in that band won 55.8% of the time, and the model said 54.4% on average, over 3,719 matches.

Why Rudar are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Rudar are rated 62 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,479 against 1,417. On rating alone Rudar would be expected to take 59% of the points on offer.

  • Rudar score far more

    0.79 goals a game over 34 matches for Krško, against 1.33 over 49 for Rudar.

  • Rudar concede fewer

    Krško concede 2.15 a game, Rudar 1.24.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    59% of Krško matches, against 53% for Rudar. The model puts this match at 54% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Krško
Rudar
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1417.5
ELO
1479.1
34
ELO · Matches
49
1417.5
Current Team ELO
1479.1
1479.1
Current Opponent ELO
1417.5
-61.62
Current ELO Difference
61.62
0.41
Expected score
0.59
34
History Matches
49
-0.12
Residual Mean
-0.03
42.54
Overperformance
48.11
-0.13
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.10
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
0.80
1.20
Goals for per game
1.00
2.00
Goals against per game
1.60
40.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.80
PPG
1.20
0.80
Goals for per game
1.30
2.40
Goals against per game
1.30
20.0%
Win rate
30.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.30
0.75
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.27
2.40
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.74
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.90
0.86
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.42
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.79
Overall performance9 signals
90
34
Matches
49
0.88
PPG
1.27
23.5%
Win rate
32.7%
17.6%
Draw rate
28.6%
58.8%
Loss rate
38.8%
88.2%
Over 1.5 rate
75.5%
58.8%
Over 2.5 rate
53.1%
29.4%
Over 3.5 rate
26.5%
2.23
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.05
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
26
1.06
PPG
1.19
29.4%
Win rate
34.6%
17.6%
Draw rate
15.4%
52.9%
Loss rate
50.0%
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
76.9%
52.9%
Over 2.5 rate
50.0%
35.3%
Over 3.5 rate
23.1%
2.38
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.95
17
History Matches
26
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
0.79
Goals for per game
1.33
52.9%
Scoring rate
61.2%
44.1%
BTTS rate
38.8%
0.88
Goals for per game
1.15
52.9%
Scoring rate
61.5%
35.3%
BTTS rate
38.5%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.00
66.7%
Scoring rate
33.3%
66.7%
BTTS rate
0.0%
34
History Matches
49
0.79
Goals Mean
1.33
0.87
Goals Std
1.39
52.9%
Scored 1+ rate
61.2%
23.5%
Scored 2+ rate
40.8%
2.9%
Scored 3+ rate
18.4%
0.88
Venue Goals Mean
1.15
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
2.15
Goals against per game
1.24
91.2%
Conceding rate
63.3%
2.06
Goals against per game
1.42
82.4%
Conceding rate
69.2%
2.67
Goals against per game
1.33
100.0%
Conceding rate
66.7%
34
History Matches
49
2.15
Conceded Mean
1.24
1.61
Conceded Std
1.20
52.9%
Conceded 2+ rate
42.9%
32.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
12.2%
2.06
Venue Conceded Mean
1.42
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
8.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
47.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.8%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
47.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
66.7%
8.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
47.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.8%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.8%
47.1%
Failed-to-score rate
38.5%
8.8%
Clean-sheet rate
36.7%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
34
History Matches
49
0.87
Result entropy
0.99
2.23
Goal Difference Std
2.05
12.74
Stability score
0.72
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
34
Eligible Matches
49
9
Lead Matches
16
55.6%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.63
Lead Points Retention
0.77
17
Trailing Matches
14
11.8%
Non-loss rate
14.3%
5.9%
Trailing Win Rate
7.1%
Goal timing5 signals
50
34
Halftime Coverage Matches
49
0.35
First Half Goals For Mean
0.65
0.88
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.55
0.44
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.67
1.26
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.69
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
76.02
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
1
Short Rest History Matches
3
0.00
Short Rest Points Per Match
2.00
19
Normal Rest History Matches
20
0.84
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.40
13
Long Rest History Matches
25
0.85
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.08
Competition & season17 signals
170
3
Matches
3
1.33
PPG
1.00
33.3%
Win rate
33.3%
33.3%
Draw rate
0.0%
33.3%
Loss rate
66.7%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
100.0%
66.7%
Over 2.5 rate
33.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
3.09
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.36
3
Current Competition Matches
3
1.33
Current Competition PPG
1.00
-1.67
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-0.33
3
Competition Season Count
4
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
3
0.23
Portability PPG Std
0.15
0.47
Portability PPG Range
0.36
68.18
Portability Score
77.15
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
34
Clean History Matches
49
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
ELO-61.62
PPG-0.38
GF-0.53
GA0.90
PPG0.33
PPG-0.13
PPG0.60
PPG-0.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate-0.28
Failed-to-score rate8.3%
History Matches-9
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate8.6%
History Matches-15
Goals Mean-0.53
Goals Std-0.52
Scored 1+ rate-0.08
Scored 2+ rate-0.17
Scored 3+ rate-0.15
Venue Goals Mean-0.27
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.52
History Matches-15
Conceded Mean0.90
Conceded Std0.41
Clean-sheet rate-0.28
Conceded 2+ rate10.1%
Conceded 3+ rate20.1%
Venue Conceded Mean0.64
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.84
History Matches-15
Result entropy-0.12
Goal Difference Std0.19
Stability score12.02
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.13
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.63
Eligible Matches-15
Lead Matches-7
Lead Win Rate-0.19
Lead Points Retention-0.14
Trailing Matches3
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate-0.01
Halftime Coverage Matches-15
First Half Goals For Mean-0.30
First Half Goals Against Mean0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.23
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.57
Current Competition Matches0
Current Competition PPG0.33
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean-1.33
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Portability PPG Std0.09
Portability PPG Range0.11
Portability Score-8.97
Rest days-1.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches-2
Short Rest Points Per Match-2.00
Normal Rest History Matches-1
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.56
Long Rest History Matches-12
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.23
Current Team ELO-61.62
Current Opponent ELO61.62
Current ELO Difference-123.2
Expected score-0.18
History Matches-15
Residual Mean-0.09
Overperformance-5.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Krško

L
Bistrica2–0Krško1 Nov · away
Pick: Bistrica 65% · hit
L
Krško0–6Dravinja28 Oct · home
Pick: Dravinja 42% · hit
L
Brežice2–1Krško18 Oct · away
Pick: Brežice 63% · hit
D
Krško0–0Dekani29 Aug · home
Pick: Krško 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Rudar

D
Rudar2–2Jesenice31 Oct · home
Pick: Rudar 57% · missed
L
Primorje1–0Rudar27 Oct · away
Pick: Rudar 41% · missed
W
Rudar2–0Slovan Ljubljana17 Oct · home
Pick: Rudar 45% · hit
L
Bistrica3–1Rudar4 Oct · away
Pick: Bistrica 43% · hit
W
Rudar4–1Bilje29 Aug · home
Pick: Rudar 46% · hit

About this match

Krško and Rudar meet in 2. SNL on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 16:00 UTC. The match is played at Stadion Matije Gubca. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Krško win 22.5%, draw 23.1%, Rudar win 54.4%. The pick is Rudar win. Over 2.5 goals: 53.7%. Both teams to score: 49.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.