Lascaris vs Biellese
Lascaris
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
Biellese
Match result probability Model pick: Biellese win
Lascaris win
31.5%
Draw
28.6%
Biellese winPick
39.9%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes49.2%
No50.8%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.545.1%
Under 2.554.9%
How much we know
Lascaris history0 matches
Biellese history35 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Biellese
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 4 h ahead2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
- Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not changeLatest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 12:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre8 Nov · 13:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (39.9%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.
Why Biellese are the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
Biellese are rated 46 Elo points higher
Elo 1,546 against 1,500. On rating alone Biellese would be expected to take 57% of the points on offer.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Lascaris
Biellese
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1545.8
0
ELO · Matches
35
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1545.8
1545.8
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
-45.78
Current ELO Difference
45.78
0.43
Expected score
0.57
0
History Matches
35
—
Residual Mean
0.07
—
Overperformance
54.27
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
1.20
—
Goals for per game
1.60
—
Goals against per game
1.40
—
Win rate
40.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.70
—
Goals for per game
1.90
—
Goals against per game
0.90
—
Win rate
50.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.58
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.90
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.04
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.90
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
35
—
PPG
1.63
—
Win rate
45.7%
—
Draw rate
25.7%
—
Loss rate
28.6%
—
Over 1.5 rate
62.9%
—
Over 2.5 rate
42.9%
—
Over 3.5 rate
22.9%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.73
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
17
—
PPG
1.59
—
Win rate
47.1%
—
Draw rate
17.6%
—
Loss rate
35.3%
—
Over 1.5 rate
70.6%
—
Over 2.5 rate
52.9%
—
Over 3.5 rate
17.6%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.54
0
History Matches
17
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
—
Goals for per game
1.40
—
Scoring rate
77.1%
—
BTTS rate
40.0%
—
Goals for per game
1.41
—
Scoring rate
88.2%
—
BTTS rate
52.9%
0
History Matches
35
—
Goals Mean
1.40
—
Goals Std
1.29
—
Scored 1+ rate
77.1%
—
Scored 2+ rate
37.1%
—
Scored 3+ rate
11.4%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.41
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
—
Goals against per game
0.89
—
Conceding rate
45.7%
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Conceding rate
58.8%
0
History Matches
35
—
Conceded Mean
0.89
—
Conceded Std
1.14
—
Conceded 2+ rate
28.6%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
11.4%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
1.00
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
—
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
22.9%
—
Clean-sheet rate
41.2%
—
Failed-to-score rate
11.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
22.9%
—
Clean-sheet rate
41.2%
—
Failed-to-score rate
11.8%
—
Clean-sheet rate
54.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
35
—
Result entropy
0.97
—
Goal Difference Std
1.73
—
Stability score
3.06
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
35
0
Lead Matches
13
—
Lead Win Rate
92.3%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.92
0
Trailing Matches
8
—
Non-loss rate
12.5%
—
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
35
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.37
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.83
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.51
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
182.9
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
25
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.76
0
Long Rest History Matches
9
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.44
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
0
Competition Season Count
1
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
35
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO-45.78
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-35
History Matches-17
History Matches-35
History Matches-35
History Matches-35
Eligible Matches-35
Lead Matches-13
Trailing Matches-8
Halftime Coverage Matches-35
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-1
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-25
Long Rest History Matches-9
Current Team ELO-45.78
Current Opponent ELO45.78
Current ELO Difference-91.55
Expected score-0.13
History Matches-35
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Lascaris
L
Derthona4–3Lascaris1 Nov · away
Pick: Derthona 66% · hit L
Lascaris0–1Fezzanese25 Oct · home
Pick: Lascaris 37% · missed L
Lascaris1–2Alessandria18 Oct · home
Pick: Lascaris 50% · missed D
Lascaris1–1Imperia4 Oct · home
Pick: Imperia 37% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
Biellese
W
Biellese4–1Millesimo1 Nov · home
Pick: Biellese 61% · hit L
Valenzana3–0Biellese28 Oct · away
Pick: Biellese 45% · missed L
Alessandria2–0Biellese25 Oct · away
Pick: Biellese 40% · missed W
Biellese4–1Gozzano4 Oct · home
Pick: Gozzano 40% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Lascaris and Biellese meet in Serie D - Girone A on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 13:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Lascaris win 31.5%, draw 28.6%, Biellese win 39.9%. The pick is Biellese win. Over 2.5 goals: 45.1%. Both teams to score: 49.2%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.