ScoreProb
Ligue 2 Algeria Round 9 2026

MC Saida vs RC Kouba

MC Saida Home · Elo 1,475
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
RC Kouba Away · Elo 1,592
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: MC Saida win
MC Saida winPick
36.2%
Draw
29.4%
RC Kouba win
34.4%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes46.3%
No53.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.536.4%
Under 2.563.6%

How much we know

MC Saida history46 matches
RC Kouba history45 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 5 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 14:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (36.2%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,635 matches.

Why MC Saida are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • RC Kouba are rated 117 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,592 against 1,475. On rating alone RC Kouba would be expected to take 66% of the points on offer.

  • RC Kouba score more

    0.93 goals a game over 46 matches for MC Saida, against 1.16 over 45 for RC Kouba.

  • RC Kouba concede fewer

    MC Saida concede 1.00 a game, RC Kouba 0.60.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    33% of MC Saida matches, against 29% for RC Kouba. The model puts this match at 36% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 9 May 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
MC Saida
RC Kouba
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1474.6
ELO
1591.8
46
ELO · Matches
45
1474.6
Current Team ELO
1591.8
1591.8
Current Opponent ELO
1474.6
-117.3
Current ELO Difference
117.3
0.34
Expected score
0.66
46
History Matches
45
-0.04
Residual Mean
0.10
47.54
Overperformance
57.11
-0.15
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.21
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.00
PPG
2.60
0.80
Goals for per game
2.00
1.00
Goals against per game
0.40
20.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
0.90
PPG
2.30
0.70
Goals for per game
1.50
1.00
Goals against per game
0.40
20.0%
Win rate
70.0%
0.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.50
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.12
1.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
0.40
0.63
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.49
0.94
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.73
1.10
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.14
Overall performance9 signals
90
46
Matches
45
1.24
PPG
1.80
32.6%
Win rate
51.1%
26.1%
Draw rate
26.7%
41.3%
Loss rate
22.2%
54.3%
Over 1.5 rate
48.9%
32.6%
Over 2.5 rate
28.9%
13.0%
Over 3.5 rate
8.9%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.24
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
22
1.57
PPG
1.45
42.9%
Win rate
40.9%
28.6%
Draw rate
22.7%
28.6%
Loss rate
36.4%
71.4%
Over 1.5 rate
40.9%
42.9%
Over 2.5 rate
31.8%
19.0%
Over 3.5 rate
4.5%
1.36
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.02
21
History Matches
22
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.93
Goals for per game
1.16
52.2%
Scoring rate
71.1%
39.1%
BTTS rate
35.6%
1.33
Goals for per game
0.82
66.7%
Scoring rate
63.6%
47.6%
BTTS rate
36.4%
46
History Matches
45
0.93
Goals Mean
1.16
1.07
Goals Std
1.07
52.2%
Scored 1+ rate
71.1%
30.4%
Scored 2+ rate
26.7%
8.7%
Scored 3+ rate
13.3%
1.33
Venue Goals Mean
0.82
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.00
Goals against per game
0.60
73.9%
Conceding rate
48.9%
1.00
Goals against per game
0.77
66.7%
Conceding rate
54.5%
46
History Matches
45
1.00
Conceded Mean
0.60
0.83
Conceded Std
0.68
19.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
11.1%
4.3%
Conceded 3+ rate
0.0%
1.00
Venue Conceded Mean
0.77
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
51.1%
47.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
45.5%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
51.1%
47.8%
Failed-to-score rate
28.9%
33.3%
Clean-sheet rate
45.5%
33.3%
Failed-to-score rate
36.4%
26.1%
Clean-sheet rate
51.1%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
46
History Matches
45
0.98
Result entropy
0.94
1.33
Goal Difference Std
1.24
1.59
Stability score
6.27
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
45
Eligible Matches
44
8
Lead Matches
14
100.0%
Lead Win Rate
92.9%
1.00
Lead Points Retention
0.93
14
Trailing Matches
5
21.4%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
7.1%
Trailing Win Rate
40.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
45
Halftime Coverage Matches
44
0.40
First Half Goals For Mean
0.50
0.53
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.20
0.56
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.66
0.49
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
183.0
Rest days
183.0
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
26
Normal Rest History Matches
24
1.23
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.96
19
Long Rest History Matches
20
1.26
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.55
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
3
Competition Season Count
3
3
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.52
Portability PPG Std
0.13
1.25
Portability PPG Range
0.26
49.08
Portability Score
79.09
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
46
Clean History Matches
45
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-117.3
PPG-0.56
GF-0.22
GA0.40
PPG0.12
PPG-1.60
PPG-1.40
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Failed-to-score rate18.9%
History Matches-1
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.03
History Matches1
Goals Mean-0.22
Goals Std0.00
Scored 1+ rate-0.19
Scored 2+ rate3.8%
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean0.52
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.11
History Matches1
Conceded Mean0.40
Conceded Std0.15
Clean-sheet rate-0.25
Conceded 2+ rate8.5%
Conceded 3+ rate4.3%
Venue Conceded Mean0.23
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.60
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.14
History Matches1
Result entropy0.05
Goal Difference Std0.09
Stability score-4.68
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.21
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.04
Eligible Matches1
Lead Matches-6
Lead Win Rate7.1%
Lead Points Retention0.07
Trailing Matches9
Non-loss rate-0.19
Trailing Win Rate-0.33
Halftime Coverage Matches1
First Half Goals For Mean-0.10
First Half Goals Against Mean0.33
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.10
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.08
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count1
Portability PPG Std0.39
Portability PPG Range0.99
Portability Score-30.01
Rest days0.00
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches2
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.73
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.29
Current Team ELO-117.3
Current Opponent ELO117.3
Current ELO Difference-234.5
Expected score-0.33
History Matches1
Residual Mean-0.14
Overperformance-9.57
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.37

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

MC Saida

L
Mostaganem1–0MC Saida30 Oct · away
Pick: Mostaganem 35% · hit
W
MC Saida1–0Tiaret13 Oct · home
Pick: MC Saida 50% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

RC Kouba

W
RC Kouba4–0Taghit30 Oct · home
Pick: RC Kouba 68% · hit
D
Tiaret2–2RC Kouba24 Oct · away
Pick: RC Kouba 39% · missed
D
WA Mostaganem0–0RC Kouba14 Oct · away
Pick: RC Kouba 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

MC Saida and RC Kouba meet in Ligue 2 on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 14:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: MC Saida win 36.2%, draw 29.4%, RC Kouba win 34.4%. The pick is MC Saida win. Over 2.5 goals: 36.4%. Both teams to score: 46.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.