Mega Sport vs El Seka El Hadid
Match result probability Model pick: Draw
Mega Sport win
36.5%
DrawPick
38.5%
El Seka El Hadid win
25.0%
At kickoff this becomes the match centre
Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.
Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · on the pitch, about an hour before kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect
Both teams to score
Yes47.7%
No52.3%
Total goals · 2.5
Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
How much we know
Mega Sport history0 matches
El Seka El Hadid history56 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news
Your call
Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.
Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score
Match result: ours Draw
Over / under 2.5: ours Under
Both teams to score: ours No
Life of this match
One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.
- Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 3 h ahead6 Nov · 08:47 UTC
- Lineups appearAbout an hour before kickoff, where the competition provides them. This prediction does not use lineups.≈ 11:30 UTC
- KickoffThis page becomes the match centre12 Nov · 12:30 UTC
- Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
- Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC
How reliable are picks like this?
Across 15,392 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,699
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,277
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,777
60–69% Won 63.7% · said 64.4% · n 1,884
70–79% Won 76.4% · said 73.9% · n 589
80%+ Won 83.1% · said 84.4% · n 166
This pick sits in the 33–39% band (38.5%). Picks in that band won 40.1% of the time, and the model said 37.7% on average, over 2,699 matches.
Why a draw is the pick
Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.
-
The Elo ratings are level
Elo 1,500 against 1,499. On rating alone the teams are close to even.
These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.
Compare the two teams
Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.
Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
El Seka El Hadid@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals 100
1500.0
ELO
1499.0
0
ELO · Matches
56
1500.0
Current Team ELO
1499.0
1499.0
Current Opponent ELO
1500.0
0.98
Current ELO Difference
-0.98
0.50
Expected score
0.50
0
History Matches
56
—
Residual Mean
0.00
—
Overperformance
49.86
—
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.13
Recent form16 signals 160
0
Matches
5
—
PPG
0.40
—
Goals for per game
0.20
—
Goals against per game
1.60
—
Win rate
0.0%
0
Matches
10
—
PPG
1.10
—
Goals for per game
0.80
—
Goals against per game
1.60
—
Win rate
30.0%
—
Recent 10 Goals Mean
0.80
—
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.75
—
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.60
—
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.50
—
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.94
—
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.60
Overall performance9 signals 90
0
Matches
56
—
PPG
1.41
—
Win rate
35.7%
—
Draw rate
33.9%
—
Loss rate
30.4%
—
Over 1.5 rate
55.4%
—
Over 2.5 rate
39.3%
—
Over 3.5 rate
12.5%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.27
Venue performance10 signals 100
0
Matches
28
—
PPG
1.61
—
Win rate
42.9%
—
Draw rate
32.1%
—
Loss rate
25.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
50.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
32.1%
—
Over 3.5 rate
17.9%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.42
0
History Matches
28
Scoring & attack16 signals 160
—
Goals for per game
0.95
—
Scoring rate
58.9%
—
BTTS rate
41.1%
—
Goals for per game
1.04
—
Scoring rate
60.7%
—
BTTS rate
32.1%
—
Goals for per game
0.00
—
Scoring rate
0.0%
—
BTTS rate
0.0%
0
History Matches
56
—
Goals Mean
0.95
—
Goals Std
0.91
—
Scored 1+ rate
58.9%
—
Scored 2+ rate
32.1%
—
Scored 3+ rate
3.6%
—
Venue Goals Mean
1.04
Defense & conceding12 signals 120
—
Goals against per game
0.95
—
Conceding rate
60.7%
—
Goals against per game
0.82
—
Conceding rate
50.0%
—
Goals against per game
1.00
—
Conceding rate
100.0%
0
History Matches
56
—
Conceded Mean
0.95
—
Conceded Std
0.99
—
Conceded 2+ rate
25.0%
—
Conceded 3+ rate
5.4%
—
Venue Conceded Mean
0.82
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals 110
—
Clean-sheet rate
39.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
41.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
39.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
0.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
100.0%
—
Clean-sheet rate
39.3%
—
Failed-to-score rate
41.1%
—
Clean-sheet rate
50.0%
—
Failed-to-score rate
39.3%
—
Clean-sheet rate
39.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals 40
0
History Matches
56
—
Result entropy
1.00
—
Goal Difference Std
1.27
—
Stability score
0.21
Halftime resilience7 signals 70
0
Eligible Matches
56
0
Lead Matches
11
—
Lead Win Rate
90.9%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.94
0
Trailing Matches
15
—
Non-loss rate
26.7%
—
Trailing Win Rate
13.3%
Goal timing5 signals 50
0
Halftime Coverage Matches
56
—
First Half Goals For Mean
0.36
—
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.41
—
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.59
—
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.54
Rest & schedule9 signals 90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
—
Rest days
82.96
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
36
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.44
0
Long Rest History Matches
19
—
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.37
Competition & season17 signals 170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goal difference · Standard deviation
0
Matches
1
—
PPG
0.00
—
Win rate
0.0%
—
Draw rate
0.0%
—
Loss rate
100.0%
—
Over 1.5 rate
0.0%
—
Over 2.5 rate
0.0%
—
Over 3.5 rate
0.0%
0
Current Competition Matches
1
—
Current Competition PPG
0.00
—
Current Competition Goal Difference Mean
-1.00
0
Competition Season Count
4
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.15
—
Portability PPG Range
0.30
—
Portability Score
77.10
Odds & market11 signals 110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal 10
0
Clean History Matches
56
Matchup differences86 signals 086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGGFGAPPGPPGPPGPPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateClean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rateGoals MeanGoals StdScored 1+ rateScored 2+ rateScored 3+ rateVenue Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals MeanRecent 10 Goals StdConceded MeanConceded StdClean-sheet rateConceded 2+ rateConceded 3+ rateVenue Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded MeanRecent 10 Conceded StdResult entropyGoal Difference StdStability scoreRecent 10 Result EntropyRecent 10 Goal Difference StdLead Win RateLead Points RetentionNon-loss rateTrailing Win RateFirst Half Goals For MeanFirst Half Goals Against MeanSecond Half Goals For MeanSecond Half Goals Against MeanCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreRest daysShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per MatchLong Rest Points Per MatchResidual MeanOverperformanceRecent 10 Residual Mean
ELO0.98
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-56
History Matches-28
History Matches-56
History Matches-56
History Matches-56
Eligible Matches-56
Lead Matches-11
Trailing Matches-15
Halftime Coverage Matches-56
Current Competition Matches-1
Competition Season Count-4
Eligible Competition Season Count-2
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-36
Long Rest History Matches-19
Current Team ELO0.98
Current Opponent ELO-0.98
Current ELO Difference1.96
Expected score0.00
History Matches-56
Latest results, with our pick
Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.
Mega Sport
D
Team1–1Mega Sport29 Oct · away
Pick: Team 50% · missed D
Mega Sport2–2Tanta SC22 Oct · home
Pick: Draw 42% · hit L
Tersana4–0Mega Sport16 Oct · away
Pick: Tersana 63% · hit L
Mega Sport0–1Dayrout8 Oct · home
Pick: Mega Sport 36% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
El Seka El Hadid
W
Dayrout1–5El Seka El Hadid22 Oct · away
Pick: Draw 36% · missed D
El Seka El Hadid0–0Ismaily SC16 Oct · home
Pick: El Seka El Hadid 48% · missed D
Haras El Hodood1–1El Seka El Hadid8 Oct · away
Pick: Haras El Hodood 45% · missed Earlier results appear as match history is added
About this match
Mega Sport and El Seka El Hadid meet in Second League on Thursday 12 November 2026, kickoff 12:30 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 6 Nov, 08:47 UTC: Mega Sport win 36.5%, draw 38.5%, El Seka El Hadid win 25.0%. The pick is a draw. Over 2.5 goals: 41.4%. Both teams to score: 47.7%.
Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.