ScoreProb
Cup Luxembourg Round 32 2026

Mondercange vs F91 Dudelange

Mondercange Home · Elo 1,412
Sun 8 Nov
UTC
Not started
F91 Dudelange Away · Elo 1,568
Stade Communal, Mondercange Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: F91 Dudelange win
Mondercange win
16.6%
Draw
20.8%
F91 Dudelange winPick
62.6%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · goals, cards, substitutions, VAR
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes51.3%
No48.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.565.3%
Under 2.534.7%

How much we know

Mondercange history16 matches
F91 Dudelange history61 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 6 h ahead
    2 Nov · 08:51 UTC
  2. Re-published 2 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 2 Nov · 20:35 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    8 Nov · 15:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,274 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,668
40–49% Won 45.5% · said 44.8% · n 6,228
50–59% Won 55.7% · said 54.4% · n 3,755
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,872
70–79% Won 76.3% · said 73.9% · n 587
80%+ Won 83.5% · said 84.5% · n 164
This pick sits in the 60–69% band (62.6%). Picks in that band won 63.6% of the time, and the model said 64.3% on average, over 1,872 matches.

Why F91 Dudelange are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • F91 Dudelange are rated 156 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,568 against 1,412. On rating alone F91 Dudelange would be expected to take 71% of the points on offer.

  • F91 Dudelange score far more

    0.81 goals a game over 16 matches for Mondercange, against 1.93 over 61 for F91 Dudelange.

  • F91 Dudelange concede fewer

    Mondercange concede 2.56 a game, F91 Dudelange 1.26.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    56% of Mondercange matches, against 57% for F91 Dudelange. The model puts this match at 65% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 23 Aug 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Mondercange
F91 Dudelange@include('fixtures.partials.crest', ['team' => $away, 'size' => 'sm', 'lazy' => true])
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1412.4
ELO
1568.4
16
ELO · Matches
61
1412.4
Current Team ELO
1568.4
1568.4
Current Opponent ELO
1412.4
-156.0
Current ELO Difference
156.0
0.29
Expected score
0.71
16
History Matches
61
-0.26
Residual Mean
0.06
38.48
Overperformance
54.19
-0.32
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.00
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.60
PPG
0.60
1.60
Goals for per game
0.60
3.00
Goals against per game
1.80
20.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.30
PPG
1.60
0.80
Goals for per game
1.90
3.20
Goals against per game
1.30
10.0%
Win rate
50.0%
0.80
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.90
1.08
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.87
3.20
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.30
1.72
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.78
0.30
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.86
1.91
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
2.24
Overall performance9 signals
90
16
Matches
61
0.50
PPG
1.72
12.5%
Win rate
50.8%
12.5%
Draw rate
19.7%
75.0%
Loss rate
29.5%
81.3%
Over 1.5 rate
85.2%
56.3%
Over 2.5 rate
57.4%
43.8%
Over 3.5 rate
41.0%
1.85
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.91
Venue performance10 signals
100
9
Matches
30
0.44
PPG
1.70
11.1%
Win rate
50.0%
11.1%
Draw rate
20.0%
77.8%
Loss rate
30.0%
77.8%
Over 1.5 rate
86.7%
44.4%
Over 2.5 rate
53.3%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
30.0%
1.33
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.84
9
History Matches
30
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
0.81
Goals for per game
1.93
50.0%
Scoring rate
78.7%
43.8%
BTTS rate
57.4%
0.78
Goals for per game
1.63
55.6%
Scoring rate
73.3%
44.4%
BTTS rate
53.3%
16
History Matches
61
0.81
Goals Mean
1.93
0.95
Goals Std
1.57
50.0%
Scored 1+ rate
78.7%
25.0%
Scored 2+ rate
50.8%
6.3%
Scored 3+ rate
37.7%
0.78
Venue Goals Mean
1.63
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.56
Goals against per game
1.26
87.5%
Conceding rate
75.4%
2.11
Goals against per game
1.23
88.9%
Conceding rate
76.7%
16
History Matches
61
2.56
Conceded Mean
1.26
1.80
Conceded Std
0.97
75.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
37.7%
37.5%
Conceded 3+ rate
13.1%
2.11
Venue Conceded Mean
1.23
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.3%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
44.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
50.0%
Failed-to-score rate
21.3%
11.1%
Clean-sheet rate
23.3%
44.4%
Failed-to-score rate
26.7%
12.5%
Clean-sheet rate
24.6%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
16
History Matches
61
0.67
Result entropy
0.93
1.85
Goal Difference Std
1.91
33.04
Stability score
6.79
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
16
Eligible Matches
59
2
Lead Matches
22
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
77.3%
0.50
Lead Points Retention
0.83
8
Trailing Matches
20
0.0%
Non-loss rate
40.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
20.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
16
Halftime Coverage Matches
59
0.44
First Half Goals For Mean
0.76
1.13
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.56
0.38
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.17
1.44
Second Half Goals Against Mean
0.71
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
364.0
Rest days
77.04
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
11
Normal Rest History Matches
40
0.45
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.53
4
Long Rest History Matches
20
0.75
Long Rest Points Per Match
2.05
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
8
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
5
—
Portability PPG Std
0.61
—
Portability PPG Range
1.75
—
Portability Score
45.10
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
16
Clean History Matches
61
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-156.0
PPG-1.22
GF-1.12
GA1.30
PPG-1.26
PPG0.00
PPG-1.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-45
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate28.7%
History Matches-21
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate17.8%
History Matches-45
Goals Mean-1.12
Goals Std-0.62
Scored 1+ rate-0.29
Scored 2+ rate-0.26
Scored 3+ rate-0.31
Venue Goals Mean-0.86
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.10
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.79
History Matches-45
Conceded Mean1.30
Conceded Std0.83
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Conceded 2+ rate37.3%
Conceded 3+ rate24.4%
Venue Conceded Mean0.88
Recent 10 Conceded Mean1.90
Recent 10 Conceded Std0.94
History Matches-45
Result entropy-0.26
Goal Difference Std-0.06
Stability score26.25
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.56
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std-0.34
Eligible Matches-43
Lead Matches-20
Lead Win Rate-0.27
Lead Points Retention-0.33
Trailing Matches-12
Non-loss rate-0.40
Trailing Win Rate-0.20
Halftime Coverage Matches-43
First Half Goals For Mean-0.33
First Half Goals Against Mean0.57
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.79
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.73
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count-6
Eligible Competition Season Count-4
Rest days287.0
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-29
Normal Rest Points Per Match-1.07
Long Rest History Matches-16
Long Rest Points Per Match-1.30
Current Team ELO-156.0
Current Opponent ELO156.0
Current ELO Difference-312.0
Expected score-0.42
History Matches-45
Residual Mean-0.31
Overperformance-15.71
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Mondercange

No earlier results with our pick yet

F91 Dudelange

W
F91 Dudelange3–0Victoria Rosport31 Oct · home
Pick: F91 Dudelange 48% · hit
L
FC Differdange 032–1F91 Dudelange25 Oct · away
Pick: FC Differdange 03 69% · hit
W
F91 Dudelange5–0Swift Hesperange18 Oct · home
Pick: F91 Dudelange 71% · hit
W
Wiltz1–2F91 Dudelange30 Aug · away
Pick: Wiltz 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Mondercange and F91 Dudelange meet in Cup on Sunday 8 November 2026, kickoff 15:00 UTC. The match is played at Stade Communal, Mondercange. ScoreProb published its prediction on 2 Nov, 08:51 UTC: Mondercange win 16.6%, draw 20.8%, F91 Dudelange win 62.6%. The pick is F91 Dudelange win. Over 2.5 goals: 65.3%. Both teams to score: 51.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.