ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - VFV B Belgium VFV B - 11 2026

Nijlen vs Bocholt

Nijlen Home · Elo 1,444
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Bocholt Away · Elo 1,470
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Bocholt win
Nijlen win
33.0%
Draw
20.3%
Bocholt winPick
46.7%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes63.3%
No36.7%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.573.6%
Under 2.526.4%

How much we know

Nijlen history33 matches
Bocholt history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (46.7%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Bocholt are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Bocholt are rated 27 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,470 against 1,444. On rating alone Bocholt would be expected to take 54% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.58 goals a game over 33 matches for Nijlen, against 1.74 over 39 for Bocholt.

  • Bocholt concede fewer

    Nijlen concede 2.42 a game, Bocholt 1.69.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    76% of Nijlen matches, against 72% for Bocholt. The model puts this match at 74% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 28 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Nijlen
Bocholt
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1443.6
ELO
1470.3
33
ELO · Matches
39
1443.6
Current Team ELO
1470.3
1470.3
Current Opponent ELO
1443.6
-26.64
Current ELO Difference
26.64
0.46
Expected score
0.54
33
History Matches
39
-0.08
Residual Mean
-0.04
44.82
Overperformance
47.31
-0.21
Recent 10 Residual Mean
-0.40
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
0.20
PPG
0.60
1.80
Goals for per game
1.00
4.20
Goals against per game
2.40
0.0%
Win rate
20.0%
10
Matches
10
0.70
PPG
0.40
1.70
Goals for per game
1.20
3.30
Goals against per game
2.80
20.0%
Win rate
10.0%
1.70
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.20
1.42
Recent 10 Goals Std
0.98
3.30
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
2.80
1.55
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.66
0.73
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.58
2.15
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.36
Overall performance9 signals
90
33
Matches
39
1.12
PPG
1.38
27.3%
Win rate
43.6%
30.3%
Draw rate
7.7%
42.4%
Loss rate
48.7%
93.9%
Over 1.5 rate
82.1%
75.8%
Over 2.5 rate
71.8%
57.6%
Over 3.5 rate
51.3%
2.66
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.33
Venue performance10 signals
100
17
Matches
20
1.24
PPG
1.60
29.4%
Win rate
50.0%
35.3%
Draw rate
10.0%
35.3%
Loss rate
40.0%
94.1%
Over 1.5 rate
80.0%
70.6%
Over 2.5 rate
70.0%
58.8%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
3.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
2.27
17
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.58
Goals for per game
1.74
81.8%
Scoring rate
79.5%
69.7%
BTTS rate
51.3%
1.59
Goals for per game
1.75
88.2%
Scoring rate
75.0%
70.6%
BTTS rate
50.0%
33
History Matches
39
1.58
Goals Mean
1.74
1.13
Goals Std
1.41
81.8%
Scored 1+ rate
79.5%
51.5%
Scored 2+ rate
53.8%
18.2%
Scored 3+ rate
23.1%
1.59
Venue Goals Mean
1.75
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.42
Goals against per game
1.69
84.8%
Conceding rate
66.7%
2.35
Goals against per game
1.55
82.4%
Conceding rate
70.0%
33
History Matches
39
2.42
Conceded Mean
1.69
2.16
Conceded Std
1.54
63.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.3%
36.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.9%
2.35
Venue Conceded Mean
1.55
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
15.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
15.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
18.2%
Failed-to-score rate
20.5%
17.6%
Clean-sheet rate
30.0%
11.8%
Failed-to-score rate
25.0%
15.2%
Clean-sheet rate
33.3%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
33
History Matches
39
0.98
Result entropy
0.83
2.66
Goal Difference Std
2.33
1.70
Stability score
17.21
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
21
Eligible Matches
26
6
Lead Matches
8
50.0%
Lead Win Rate
75.0%
0.67
Lead Points Retention
0.75
10
Trailing Matches
8
10.0%
Non-loss rate
12.5%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
21
Halftime Coverage Matches
26
0.71
First Half Goals For Mean
0.58
1.19
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.77
0.81
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.00
1.52
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.00
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
132.2
Rest days
195.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
16
Normal Rest History Matches
21
1.25
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.38
16
Long Rest History Matches
17
0.88
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.47
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
2
1
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
—
Portability PPG Std
0.33
—
Portability PPG Range
0.65
—
Portability Score
60.54
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
33
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-26.64
PPG-0.26
GF-0.17
GA0.73
PPG-0.36
PPG-0.40
PPG0.30
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-6
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Failed-to-score rate-0.02
History Matches-3
Clean-sheet rate-0.12
Failed-to-score rate-0.13
History Matches-6
Goals Mean-0.17
Goals Std-0.28
Scored 1+ rate2.3%
Scored 2+ rate-0.02
Scored 3+ rate-0.05
Venue Goals Mean-0.16
Recent 10 Goals Mean0.50
Recent 10 Goals Std0.44
History Matches-6
Conceded Mean0.73
Conceded Std0.62
Clean-sheet rate-0.18
Conceded 2+ rate12.4%
Conceded 3+ rate0.5%
Venue Conceded Mean0.80
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.50
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.11
History Matches-6
Result entropy0.16
Goal Difference Std0.33
Stability score-15.50
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.15
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.80
Eligible Matches-5
Lead Matches-2
Lead Win Rate-0.25
Lead Points Retention-0.08
Trailing Matches2
Non-loss rate-0.03
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches-5
First Half Goals For Mean0.14
First Half Goals Against Mean0.42
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.19
Second Half Goals Against Mean0.52
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days-63.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-5
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.13
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.60
Current Team ELO-26.64
Current Opponent ELO26.64
Current ELO Difference-53.28
Expected score-0.08
History Matches-6
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean0.19

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Nijlen

L
Rupel Boom1–0Nijlen1 Nov · away
Pick: Rupel Boom 70% · hit
D
Nijlen3–3Hades24 Oct · home
Pick: Hades 49% · missed
W
Diegem Sport1–4Nijlen21 Oct · away
Pick: Diegem Sport 63% · missed
L
Union St. Gilloise3–0Nijlen18 Oct · away
Pick: Union St. Gilloise 75% · hit
L
Royal Antwerp II2–0Nijlen29 Aug · away
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 64% · hit

Bocholt

D
Bocholt0–0Sint-Truiden II31 Oct · home
Pick: Sint-Truiden II 42% · missed
W
Wellen1–3Bocholt24 Oct · away
Pick: Wellen 38% · missed
W
Cappellen0–6Bocholt17 Oct · away
Pick: Cappellen 44% · missed
D
Bocholt2–2Tongeren29 Aug · home
Pick: Tongeren 41% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Nijlen and Bocholt meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Nijlen win 33.0%, draw 20.3%, Bocholt win 46.7%. The pick is Bocholt win. Over 2.5 goals: 73.6%. Both teams to score: 63.3%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.