ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - VFV B Belgium VFV B - 11 2026

Racing Mechelen vs Hades

Racing Mechelen Home · Elo 1,459
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Hades Away · Elo 1,493
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Racing Mechelen win
Racing Mechelen winPick
45.0%
Draw
23.7%
Hades win
31.2%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes58.2%
No41.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%

How much we know

Racing Mechelen history42 matches
Hades history39 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (45.0%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Racing Mechelen are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Hades are rated 34 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,493 against 1,459. On rating alone Hades would be expected to take 55% of the points on offer.

  • Scoring rates are level

    1.36 goals a game over 42 matches for Racing Mechelen, against 1.28 over 39 for Hades.

  • Racing Mechelen concede fewer

    Racing Mechelen concede 1.60 a game, Hades 1.85.

  • Both teams play a similar number of high-scoring games

    60% of Racing Mechelen matches, against 62% for Hades. The model puts this match at 60% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 26 Apr 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Racing Mechelen
Hades
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1458.7
ELO
1492.5
42
ELO · Matches
39
1458.7
Current Team ELO
1492.5
1492.5
Current Opponent ELO
1458.7
-33.84
Current ELO Difference
33.84
0.45
Expected score
0.55
42
History Matches
39
-0.05
Residual Mean
-0.01
46.75
Overperformance
49.24
0.01
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.32
Recent form16 signals
160
5
Matches
5
1.40
PPG
2.60
0.40
Goals for per game
1.80
0.80
Goals against per game
0.80
40.0%
Win rate
80.0%
10
Matches
10
1.20
PPG
2.10
0.90
Goals for per game
1.70
1.10
Goals against per game
1.20
30.0%
Win rate
60.0%
0.90
Recent 10 Goals Mean
1.70
0.94
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.00
1.10
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.20
1.04
Recent 10 Conceded Std
1.08
0.99
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.82
1.60
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.02
Overall performance9 signals
90
42
Matches
39
1.12
PPG
1.26
28.6%
Win rate
35.9%
26.2%
Draw rate
17.9%
45.2%
Loss rate
46.2%
81.0%
Over 1.5 rate
79.5%
59.5%
Over 2.5 rate
61.5%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
35.9%
1.78
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.82
Venue performance10 signals
100
21
Matches
20
1.14
PPG
1.00
28.6%
Win rate
25.0%
28.6%
Draw rate
25.0%
42.9%
Loss rate
50.0%
85.7%
Over 1.5 rate
90.0%
57.1%
Over 2.5 rate
65.0%
33.3%
Over 3.5 rate
40.0%
1.59
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.80
21
History Matches
20
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.36
Goals for per game
1.28
78.6%
Scoring rate
71.8%
64.3%
BTTS rate
56.4%
1.48
Goals for per game
1.20
95.2%
Scoring rate
55.0%
76.2%
BTTS rate
55.0%
42
History Matches
39
1.36
Goals Mean
1.28
1.17
Goals Std
1.20
78.6%
Scored 1+ rate
71.8%
31.0%
Scored 2+ rate
30.8%
19.0%
Scored 3+ rate
17.9%
1.48
Venue Goals Mean
1.20
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
1.60
Goals against per game
1.85
81.0%
Conceding rate
82.1%
1.52
Goals against per game
2.25
81.0%
Conceding rate
95.0%
42
History Matches
39
1.60
Conceded Mean
1.85
1.25
Conceded Std
1.39
47.6%
Conceded 2+ rate
51.3%
21.4%
Conceded 3+ rate
35.9%
1.52
Venue Conceded Mean
2.25
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.9%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
28.2%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
4.8%
Failed-to-score rate
45.0%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.9%
21.4%
Failed-to-score rate
28.2%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
5.0%
4.8%
Failed-to-score rate
45.0%
19.0%
Clean-sheet rate
17.9%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
42
History Matches
39
0.97
Result entropy
0.94
1.78
Goal Difference Std
1.82
2.82
Stability score
5.98
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
28
Eligible Matches
28
3
Lead Matches
7
66.7%
Lead Win Rate
71.4%
0.78
Lead Points Retention
0.76
9
Trailing Matches
10
11.1%
Non-loss rate
0.0%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
0.0%
Goal timing5 signals
50
28
Halftime Coverage Matches
28
0.54
First Half Goals For Mean
0.71
0.89
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.93
0.61
Second Half Goals For Mean
0.46
0.61
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.18
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
195.3
Rest days
195.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
23
Normal Rest History Matches
19
0.96
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.16
18
Long Rest History Matches
19
1.39
Long Rest Points Per Match
1.42
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference Mean
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
4
Competition Season Count
2
2
Eligible Competition Season Count
2
0.06
Portability PPG Std
0.24
0.12
Portability PPG Range
0.48
89.61
Portability Score
67.67
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
42
Clean History Matches
39
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanShort Rest Points Per Match
ELO-33.84
PPG-0.14
GF0.08
GA-0.25
PPG0.14
PPG-1.20
PPG-0.90
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches3
Clean-sheet rate1.1%
Failed-to-score rate-0.07
History Matches1
Clean-sheet rate14.0%
Failed-to-score rate-0.40
History Matches3
Goals Mean0.08
Goals Std-0.03
Scored 1+ rate6.8%
Scored 2+ rate0.2%
Scored 3+ rate1.1%
Venue Goals Mean0.28
Recent 10 Goals Mean-0.80
Recent 10 Goals Std-0.06
History Matches3
Conceded Mean-0.25
Conceded Std-0.13
Clean-sheet rate1.1%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.04
Conceded 3+ rate-0.14
Venue Conceded Mean-0.73
Recent 10 Conceded Mean-0.10
Recent 10 Conceded Std-0.03
History Matches3
Result entropy0.03
Goal Difference Std-0.04
Stability score-3.16
Recent 10 Result Entropy0.17
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.58
Eligible Matches0
Lead Matches-4
Lead Win Rate-0.05
Lead Points Retention0.02
Trailing Matches-1
Non-loss rate11.1%
Trailing Win Rate0.0%
Halftime Coverage Matches0
First Half Goals For Mean-0.18
First Half Goals Against Mean-0.04
Second Half Goals For Mean0.14
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.57
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count2
Eligible Competition Season Count0
Portability PPG Std-0.18
Portability PPG Range-0.36
Portability Score21.94
Rest days-0.02
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches4
Normal Rest Points Per Match-0.20
Long Rest History Matches-1
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.03
Current Team ELO-33.84
Current Opponent ELO33.84
Current ELO Difference-67.68
Expected score-0.10
History Matches3
Residual Mean-0.04
Overperformance-2.49
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.32

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Racing Mechelen

L
Eendracht Termien3–1Racing Mechelen1 Nov · away
Pick: Eendracht Termien 45% · hit
L
Racing Mechelen1–3Cappellen24 Oct · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 47% · missed
W
Racing Mechelen4–1Tongeren17 Oct · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 46% · hit
D
Racing Mechelen1–1Diegem Sport30 Aug · home
Pick: Racing Mechelen 43% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

Hades

L
Hades2–3Wilrijk31 Oct · home
Pick: Hades 63% · missed
D
Nijlen3–3Hades24 Oct · away
Pick: Hades 49% · missed
L
Hades1–2Sint-Truiden II17 Oct · home
Pick: Hades 42% · missed
L
Tempo Overijse3–0Hades29 Aug · away
Pick: Hades 42% · missed
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Racing Mechelen and Hades meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Racing Mechelen win 45.0%, draw 23.7%, Hades win 31.2%. The pick is Racing Mechelen win. Over 2.5 goals: 59.8%. Both teams to score: 58.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.