ScoreProb
Second Amateur Division - VFV B Belgium VFV B - 11 2026

Wilrijk vs Rotselaar

Wilrijk Home · Elo 1,501
Sat 7 Nov
UTC
Not started
Rotselaar Away · Elo 1,460
Venue to be confirmed Referee: to be announced Verified before kickoff · first published 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC
Match result probability Model pick: Rotselaar win
Wilrijk win
32.3%
Draw
24.9%
Rotselaar winPick
42.9%

At kickoff this becomes the match centre

Same page, same address. This page updates by itself.

Live score · score and minute, updated by itself
Events · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Lineups · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Live stats · not available for this match, even after kickoff
Pick tracker · is our pre-match pick holding, and what did we expect

Both teams to score

Yes56.2%
No43.8%

Total goals · 2.5

Over 2.561.5%
Under 2.538.5%

How much we know

Wilrijk history2 matches
Rotselaar history31 matches
Signals used362
Not includedTeam news

Your call

Make your own picks, then see how they compare with ours. Your calls stay in this browser.

Match result
Over / under 2.5
Both teams to score

Life of this match

One page from first prediction to settled result. Every step is time-stamped.

  1. Prediction publishedBefore kickoff, 6 d 10 h ahead
    1 Nov · 08:41 UTC
  2. Re-published 11 more timesThe numbers did not change
    Latest 4 Nov · 07:21 UTC
  3. KickoffThis page becomes the match centre
    7 Nov · 19:00 UTC
  4. Full timeResult and our verdict appear at once
  5. Added to the public recordSettled automatically, nightly at 03:17 UTC

How reliable are picks like this?

Across 15,112 settled matches since 24 Aug 2026, grouped by how confident the top pick was.

See the full record
How often the top pick won What the model said on average
33–39% Won 40.1% · said 37.7% · n 2,635
40–49% Won 45.4% · said 44.8% · n 6,162
50–59% Won 55.8% · said 54.4% · n 3,719
60–69% Won 63.6% · said 64.3% · n 1,851
70–79% Won 76.2% · said 73.9% · n 583
80%+ Won 83.3% · said 84.5% · n 162
This pick sits in the 40–49% band (42.9%). Picks in that band won 45.4% of the time, and the model said 44.8% on average, over 6,162 matches.

Why Rotselaar are the pick

Four things in the data that move the probabilities most. Real values for this match.

See all 362 signals

  • Wilrijk are rated 41 Elo points higher

    Elo 1,501 against 1,460. On rating alone Wilrijk would be expected to take 56% of the points on offer.

  • Rotselaar score more

    1.00 goals a game over 2 matches for Wilrijk, against 1.52 over 31 for Rotselaar.

  • Defences are close

    Wilrijk concede 2.00 a game, Rotselaar 1.94.

  • Rotselaar games more often go over 2.5 goals

    50% of Wilrijk matches, against 71% for Rotselaar. The model puts this match at 61% for over 2.5.

These are long-run records. The prediction does not include team news such as injuries, suspensions or the starting lineup.

Compare the two teams

Every signal the model reads for this match, side by side: 138 for each team and 86 gaps between them.

Match history used: up to 27 Jun 2026 Values come from each team's earlier matches. Bars compare the two sides of each signal.
Wilrijk
Rotselaar
ELO & ratings10 signals
100
1500.9
ELO
1459.7
2
ELO · Matches
31
1500.9
Current Team ELO
1459.7
1459.7
Current Opponent ELO
1500.9
41.22
Current ELO Difference
-41.22
0.56
Expected score
0.44
2
History Matches
31
0.02
Residual Mean
-0.07
50.20
Overperformance
45.91
0.02
Recent 10 Residual Mean
0.06
Recent form16 signals
160
2
Matches
5
1.50
PPG
1.20
1.00
Goals for per game
2.20
2.00
Goals against per game
2.00
50.0%
Win rate
20.0%
2
Matches
10
1.50
PPG
1.30
1.00
Goals for per game
2.20
2.00
Goals against per game
1.80
50.0%
Win rate
30.0%
1.00
Recent 10 Goals Mean
2.20
0.00
Recent 10 Goals Std
1.33
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Mean
1.80
2.00
Recent 10 Conceded Std
0.60
0.63
Recent 10 Result Entropy
0.99
2.00
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std
1.50
Overall performance9 signals
90
2
Matches
31
1.50
PPG
1.06
50.0%
Win rate
25.8%
0.0%
Draw rate
29.0%
50.0%
Loss rate
45.2%
50.0%
Over 1.5 rate
87.1%
50.0%
Over 2.5 rate
71.0%
50.0%
Over 3.5 rate
41.9%
2.00
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.68
Venue performance10 signals
100
1
Matches
16
0.00
PPG
1.50
0.0%
Win rate
43.8%
0.0%
Draw rate
18.8%
100.0%
Loss rate
37.5%
100.0%
Over 1.5 rate
81.3%
100.0%
Over 2.5 rate
62.5%
100.0%
Over 3.5 rate
31.3%
—
Goal difference · Standard deviation
1.63
1
History Matches
16
Scoring & attack16 signals
160
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals for per gameScoring rateBTTS rate
1.00
Goals for per game
1.52
100.0%
Scoring rate
83.9%
50.0%
BTTS rate
77.4%
1.00
Goals for per game
1.44
100.0%
Scoring rate
81.3%
100.0%
BTTS rate
68.8%
2
History Matches
31
1.00
Goals Mean
1.52
0.00
Goals Std
1.13
100.0%
Scored 1+ rate
83.9%
0.0%
Scored 2+ rate
45.2%
0.0%
Scored 3+ rate
12.9%
1.00
Venue Goals Mean
1.44
Defense & conceding12 signals
120
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Goals against per gameConceding rate
2.00
Goals against per game
1.94
50.0%
Conceding rate
93.5%
4.00
Goals against per game
1.63
100.0%
Conceding rate
87.5%
2
History Matches
31
2.00
Conceded Mean
1.94
2.00
Conceded Std
1.19
50.0%
Conceded 2+ rate
61.3%
50.0%
Conceded 3+ rate
22.6%
4.00
Venue Conceded Mean
1.63
Clean sheets & scoring failure11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Clean-sheet rateFailed-to-score rate
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.5%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.5%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
16.1%
0.0%
Clean-sheet rate
12.5%
0.0%
Failed-to-score rate
18.8%
50.0%
Clean-sheet rate
6.5%
Volatility & stability4 signals
40
2
History Matches
31
0.63
Result entropy
0.97
2.00
Goal Difference Std
1.68
36.91
Stability score
2.82
Halftime resilience7 signals
70
1
Eligible Matches
21
0
Lead Matches
5
—
Lead Win Rate
60.0%
—
Lead Points Retention
0.67
1
Trailing Matches
6
0.0%
Non-loss rate
33.3%
0.0%
Trailing Win Rate
16.7%
Goal timing5 signals
50
1
Halftime Coverage Matches
21
0.00
First Half Goals For Mean
0.57
3.00
First Half Goals Against Mean
0.76
1.00
Second Half Goals For Mean
1.05
1.00
Second Half Goals Against Mean
1.19
Rest & schedule9 signals
90
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Short Rest Points Per Match
133.0
Rest days
195.3
0
Matches Previous 7 Days
0
0
Matches Previous 14 Days
0
0
Short Rest History Matches
0
0
Normal Rest History Matches
14
—
Normal Rest Points Per Match
1.29
1
Long Rest History Matches
16
0.00
Long Rest Points Per Match
0.75
Competition & season17 signals
170
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin rateDraw rateLoss rateOver 1.5 rateOver 2.5 rateOver 3.5 rateGoal difference · Standard deviationCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability Score
0
Matches
0
0
Current Competition Matches
0
2
Competition Season Count
2
0
Eligible Competition Season Count
1
Odds & market11 signals
110
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
Win ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower score
No
Available
No
0
Matches
0
Sample & availability1 signal
10
2
Clean History Matches
31
Matchup differences86 signals
086
No value for this match · The model could not compute these from the match history available for this fixture.
PPGWin ProbabilityDraw ProbabilityOpponent ProbabilityBookmakersActual · Win rateExpected · Win rateWin ResidualPoints ResidualPower scoreLead Win RateLead Points RetentionCurrent Competition PPGCurrent Competition Goal Difference MeanPortability PPG StdPortability PPG RangePortability ScoreShort Rest Points Per MatchNormal Rest Points Per Match
ELO41.22
PPG0.44
GF-0.52
GA0.06
PPG-1.50
PPG0.30
PPG0.20
AvailableNo
Matches0
Clean History Matches-29
Clean-sheet rate43.5%
Failed-to-score rate-0.16
History Matches-15
Clean-sheet rate-0.13
Failed-to-score rate-0.19
History Matches-29
Goals Mean-0.52
Goals Std-1.13
Scored 1+ rate16.1%
Scored 2+ rate-0.45
Scored 3+ rate-0.13
Venue Goals Mean-0.44
Recent 10 Goals Mean-1.20
Recent 10 Goals Std-1.33
History Matches-29
Conceded Mean0.06
Conceded Std0.81
Clean-sheet rate43.5%
Conceded 2+ rate-0.11
Conceded 3+ rate27.4%
Venue Conceded Mean2.38
Recent 10 Conceded Mean0.20
Recent 10 Conceded Std1.40
History Matches-29
Result entropy-0.34
Goal Difference Std0.32
Stability score34.09
Recent 10 Result Entropy-0.36
Recent 10 Goal Difference Std0.50
Eligible Matches-20
Lead Matches-5
Trailing Matches-5
Non-loss rate-0.33
Trailing Win Rate-0.17
Halftime Coverage Matches-20
First Half Goals For Mean-0.57
First Half Goals Against Mean2.24
Second Half Goals For Mean-0.05
Second Half Goals Against Mean-0.19
Current Competition Matches0
Competition Season Count0
Eligible Competition Season Count-1
Rest days-62.21
Matches Previous 7 Days0
Matches Previous 14 Days0
Short Rest History Matches0
Normal Rest History Matches-14
Long Rest History Matches-15
Long Rest Points Per Match-0.75
Current Team ELO41.22
Current Opponent ELO-41.22
Current ELO Difference82.44
Expected score0.12
History Matches-29
Residual Mean0.09
Overperformance4.29
Recent 10 Residual Mean-0.03

Latest results, with our pick

Every result shows what we predicted before the match. Misses are shown as clearly as hits.

Wilrijk

W
Hades2–3Wilrijk31 Oct · away
Pick: Hades 63% · missed
L
Wilrijk1–2Royal Antwerp II24 Oct · home
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 47% · hit
L
Rupel Boom4–1Wilrijk18 Oct · away
Pick: Rupel Boom 74% · hit
W
Eendracht Termien2–3Wilrijk4 Oct · away
Pick: Eendracht Termien 74% · missed
W
Sint-Truiden II0–5Wilrijk30 Aug · away
Pick: Sint-Truiden II 61% · missed

Rotselaar

W
Tongeren3–4Rotselaar31 Oct · away
Pick: Tongeren 47% · missed
L
Rotselaar1–2Tempo Overijse24 Oct · home
Pick: Rotselaar 58% · missed
L
Royal Antwerp II3–0Rotselaar17 Oct · away
Pick: Royal Antwerp II 62% · hit
L
Wellen1–0Rotselaar29 Aug · away
Pick: Wellen 52% · hit
Earlier results appear as match history is added

About this match

Wilrijk and Rotselaar meet in Second Amateur Division - VFV B on Saturday 7 November 2026, kickoff 19:00 UTC. ScoreProb published its prediction on 1 Nov, 08:41 UTC: Wilrijk win 32.3%, draw 24.9%, Rotselaar win 42.9%. The pick is Rotselaar win. Over 2.5 goals: 61.5%. Both teams to score: 56.2%.

Predictions come from a statistical model that reads 362 signals about both teams, and are published before kickoff. Each one is graded automatically from the final score, and misses stay on the record. They are probabilities, not guarantees.